Senegal

Tropical nights in Senegal

Tropical nights in Senegal: 270.8 nights in 1950 and 302.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
302.1 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+31.3 nights
Projected, 2100
347.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in SenegalTropical nights in Senegal: 270.8 nights in 1950 and 302.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 347.3 nights in 2100, between 323.6 nights and 359.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 347.3 nights in 2100, between 323.6 nights and 359.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 304.1 nights in 2012, the lowest 270.8 nights in 1950.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearSenegal
2014302.1
2013300.9
2012304.1
2011302.1
2010301.5
2009302.1
2008298.3
2007298.5
2006298.6
2005298.1
2004294.7
2003296.1
2002296
2001298.9
2000295
1999293.2
1998292.5
1997288.5
1996285.1
1995285.9
1994283.7
1993282
1992277.6
1991286.7
1990292.5
1989282.1
1988282.4
1987281.8
1986283
1985278.1
1984274.6
1983276.3
1982281.3
1981277.9
1980277.6
1979281
1978280.7
1977278
1976274.4
1975278.4
1974273.8
1973274.5
1972273.5
1971273.4
1970271.3
1969271.6
1968272.6
1967275.4
1966273.3
1965272.8
1964271.8
1963272.8
1962280.2
1961276.9
1960279.2
1959277.4
1958278.8
1957274.4
1956273.2
1955273.4
1954275
1953271.7
1952271
1951272.9
1950270.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearSenegal
2015298.9275.9–321
2016302.7276.5–319
2017302.9285.4–318.6
2018305.6289.2–321.5
2019307.6280.6–328.1
2020305.2276.2–322.9
2021307.6286–325.6
2022312.9289.6–334.3
2023307.5292.2–328.6
2024313.2294.6–326.9
2025311.8289–329.4
2026308.3285.2–328.6
2027310.7287.8–330
2028316.3289.2–331.6
2029315.7291.2–334.2
2030311.5289.1–329.1
2031318.8296.3–335
2032316295.7–332.4
2033316.7289.6–336.4
2034315.4291.6–335.1
2035316.8291.1–335.3
2036320.8298.5–335.3
2037324.5303.1–337.7
2038323.5304.2–339.7
2039323.3300.9–337
2040322.4298.9–339.5
2041320.2300.1–343.6
2042320302.1–339.9
2043320.4303.7–340.4
2044326.9301.5–340.9
2045324.1304.1–340
2046325.9304.7–340.6
2047329301.4–347
2048331.1314.3–344.8
2049331.3308.3–343.7
2050327.6306.5–341.9
2051328307.1–344
2052325.4308.1–344.2
2053331.8304.9–347.2
2054330.1310.8–345.2
2055330.1305.5–344
2056331.4307.4–349.8
2057337306.4–351.5
2058333313.2–350.2
2059334315.6–353.5
2060334.5316.4–351.1
2061333.7307.5–352.9
2062333.3312.4–350.2
2063335.4313.2–352.8
2064335.4307.1–351.1
2065334.8314.1–352.8
2066337.3312.9–351
2067335.5309.9–349.9
2068335.5313.5–354
2069336.1316.9–351.8
2070333.3312.9–352.9
2071335.7321.1–351.9
2072342.3321–354.6
2073339.4320.1–356.1
2074335.9317.1–351.8
2075338.4320.7–354.1
2076338.7321.9–352
2077342.8314.8–357.3
2078343325.8–355.4
2079341.2322.3–357.6
2080340.9317.7–358.1
2081339.8315.5–357.1
2082341.6316.4–354.9
2083340.8324.8–356.9
2084340.4322.8–354.9
2085346.8325.6–357
2086341.7324.4–357.6
2087343.9325.9–357.7
2088341.5321.6–358.2
2089343.2324.3–355.2
2090342320.6–356
2091341.7319.8–356.4
2092339.7318.4–357.7
2093345326.8–356.4
2094344.4324.3–357.6
2095346.3320.6–359.4
2096344.4323.1–359.2
2097341.4321.3–353.8
2098345322.3–357
2099344.6322.7–357.5
2100347.3323.6–359.2

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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