Gambia

Tropical nights in Gambia

Tropical nights in Gambia: 276.7 nights in 1950 and 313.4 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
313.4 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+36.7 nights
Projected, 2100
354.4 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in GambiaTropical nights in Gambia: 276.7 nights in 1950 and 313.4 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 354.4 nights in 2100, between 329 nights and 363.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 354.4 nights in 2100, between 329 nights and 363.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearGambia
2014313.4
2013308.8
2012313
2011311.6
2010311.3
2009309.3
2008307
2007307.4
2006306.5
2005307.5
2004301.3
2003304.9
2002306.8
2001307.9
2000303.6
1999301.6
1998299.9
1997296.5
1996293.1
1995294.6
1994291.2
1993288.6
1992284.5
1991294.2
1990302.2
1989289.1
1988290.6
1987289.1
1986289.7
1985284.8
1984281.1
1983284.4
1982289.3
1981284.2
1980285.7
1979288.6
1978287.6
1977286.2
1976280.9
1975286
1974281.7
1973281
1972281.7
1971280.7
1970277.5
1969278.5
1968277.7
1967283.7
1966279.9
1965277.6
1964279.9
1963279.7
1962286.8
1961285
1960286
1959283.9
1958286.6
1957282.4
1956280.9
1955280.7
1954283.5
1953280
1952278.6
1951279.8
1950276.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearGambia
2015307.8287.7–330.7
2016312.8281.6–328.8
2017311.8294.1–327.5
2018315.8300.1–330.5
2019318.1290.2–337.9
2020314.9285.8–330.5
2021316.7295–333.2
2022322.4295.9–343.6
2023318.3301.1–335.9
2024322302.6–333
2025322.4298.4–336.4
2026320.4295.9–338.9
2027321.7297.6–338.2
2028326.5296–340.7
2029324.8295.2–342
2030323.3302.4–337.1
2031328.4310.6–342.9
2032326.3303.6–341.4
2033325.1301.2–344.4
2034322.4300.4–344.2
2035328.7300.6–343.2
2036329.2310.6–344
2037334.1313.7–345.1
2038334.4315.3–348.1
2039334.9311.8–346.6
2040332.4311.9–349
2041330.1310–350.3
2042330.3310.5–348.2
2043329.8312.9–347.3
2044337.2311.8–346.4
2045333.2315.3–348.2
2046335310.9–348.9
2047339.1310–353.5
2048340.7327.1–351.4
2049340.4317.8–349.3
2050336.3314.3–350.5
2051337.2318.3–350.8
2052333.5317.9–352.7
2053340.5314.4–353.7
2054338.4320.8–354.2
2055338.9315.6–351.8
2056340.9317.4–355.6
2057346.9318.4–357.2
2058342326.6–357.7
2059341.8327.4–359.7
2060344.6327.1–357.9
2061343.3315.3–359.5
2062343.4326.8–356.2
2063345.3320.7–357.8
2064344.9315.7–357.4
2065343.2322.2–360.4
2066346.6318.4–357.4
2067343.6313.8–357.3
2068344.6326.4–359.3
2069345.8329.9–358.3
2070342.7322.6–358.7
2071345.4332.2–358.5
2072351327.9–359.2
2073346.6327.8–360.3
2074343.7326–357.7
2075346.1330.3–359.6
2076348.2333.5–358.4
2077351.2325.1–362.2
2078349.8334.4–360.6
2079348.4334.1–363.1
2080350.2330.8–362.3
2081348.5326.4–361.1
2082349.4323.9–360.4
2083349.4335.6–361.7
2084348.2333.6–361.3
2085353.8334.3–361.9
2086349.7338.3–362.8
2087353.1337.1–362.6
2088348.7333.1–363
2089351.5335.1–359.8
2090350.4333.6–360.9
2091350.5328.6–361.1
2092347.8329.1–363.1
2093354.1337.9–361
2094352.2336.1–361
2095353.8333.3–362.6
2096353.1331.7–363
2097351.3328–359.7
2098354331.1–362.4
2099353.5335.7–361.5
2100354.4329–363.2

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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