Senegal vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 302.1 nights in Senegal and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Senegal, by 275 nights, or 11 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

SenegalSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Senegal has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Senegal at 347.3 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Senegal	South Africa
2014	302.1	27.1
2013	300.9	28.3
2012	304.1	27.9
2011	302.1	26.1
2010	301.5	26
2009	302.1	25.8
2008	298.3	24.8
2007	298.5	24.7
2006	298.6	25.5
2005	298.1	25.3
2004	294.7	25.8
2003	296.1	25.1
2002	296	25
2001	298.9	24.5
2000	295	23.3
1999	293.2	23
1998	292.5	23.4
1997	288.5	22.5
1996	285.1	20.4
1995	285.9	19.3
1994	283.7	20
1993	282	18.1
1992	277.6	18.1
1991	286.7	22.3
1990	292.5	22.7
1989	282.1	22
1988	282.4	21.2
1987	281.8	21.9
1986	283	21
1985	278.1	18.9
1984	274.6	20
1983	276.3	19
1982	281.3	20.3
1981	277.9	20
1980	277.6	21.2
1979	281	19.9
1978	280.7	19.8
1977	278	19.2
1976	274.4	19.2
1975	278.4	18.8
1974	273.8	19.7
1973	274.5	19.6
1972	273.5	19
1971	273.4	19.1
1970	271.3	18.6
1969	271.6	18.7
1968	272.6	17.8
1967	275.4	17.5
1966	273.3	17.8
1965	272.8	17.2
1964	271.8	14.9
1963	272.8	16.5
1962	280.2	19.6
1961	276.9	19.7
1960	279.2	19.8
1959	277.4	18.5
1958	278.8	19.3
1957	274.4	19.4
1956	273.2	18
1955	273.4	19.5
1954	275	18.4
1953	271.7	18.4
1952	271	19.3
1951	272.9	18.9
1950	270.8	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Senegal	South Africa
2015	298.9275.9–321	28.620–39.5
2016	302.7276.5–319	26.817.8–37.9
2017	302.9285.4–318.6	28.919.6–37.8
2018	305.6289.2–321.5	29.620.6–40.6
2019	307.6280.6–328.1	29.820.8–41.5
2020	305.2276.2–322.9	29.518.9–39.1
2021	307.6286–325.6	31.121.4–42.9
2022	312.9289.6–334.3	3223.7–43.1
2023	307.5292.2–328.6	31.922.9–41.8
2024	313.2294.6–326.9	3324–45.6
2025	311.8289–329.4	31.920.7–44.5
2026	308.3285.2–328.6	34.521.9–46.9
2027	310.7287.8–330	34.423–47.7
2028	316.3289.2–331.6	33.522.9–46
2029	315.7291.2–334.2	36.226.5–48.3
2030	311.5289.1–329.1	36.124.9–49
2031	318.8296.3–335	36.324.5–50.3
2032	316295.7–332.4	36.424.5–49.2
2033	316.7289.6–336.4	36.924.5–48.3
2034	315.4291.6–335.1	37.626.4–51.8
2035	316.8291.1–335.3	37.625.2–49.5
2036	320.8298.5–335.3	3826.5–50.5
2037	324.5303.1–337.7	39.928.2–53.4
2038	323.5304.2–339.7	41.528.4–54.2
2039	323.3300.9–337	39.227–52.9
2040	322.4298.9–339.5	38.125.6–55.6
2041	320.2300.1–343.6	40.227.4–54.3
2042	320302.1–339.9	4229–56.4
2043	320.4303.7–340.4	42.128.2–58.4
2044	326.9301.5–340.9	41.929.5–57.8
2045	324.1304.1–340	42.728.2–59
2046	325.9304.7–340.6	44.130–59.5
2047	329301.4–347	44.630.7–61.2
2048	331.1314.3–344.8	4531.9–61.5
2049	331.3308.3–343.7	45.632.3–61.4
2050	327.6306.5–341.9	46.931–63.6
2051	328307.1–344	47.532–65
2052	325.4308.1–344.2	48.332.7–64.3
2053	331.8304.9–347.2	45.733.7–62.1
2054	330.1310.8–345.2	4833.3–64.3
2055	330.1305.5–344	46.833–68.4
2056	331.4307.4–349.8	47.933.2–64.8
2057	337306.4–351.5	50.232.6–68.9
2058	333313.2–350.2	47.934–66.4
2059	334315.6–353.5	51.333.1–66.9
2060	334.5316.4–351.1	51.936–69.9
2061	333.7307.5–352.9	50.534.8–71.3
2062	333.3312.4–350.2	50.532.7–71
2063	335.4313.2–352.8	50.434.3–69.7
2064	335.4307.1–351.1	5134.1–67.7
2065	334.8314.1–352.8	50.433.6–70.2
2066	337.3312.9–351	5335.7–72.4
2067	335.5309.9–349.9	50.634.8–70.4
2068	335.5313.5–354	54.837.8–72.5
2069	336.1316.9–351.8	54.339.1–73.4
2070	333.3312.9–352.9	54.337.2–73.3
2071	335.7321.1–351.9	55.837.9–76.9
2072	342.3321–354.6	5639.4–78.6
2073	339.4320.1–356.1	60.443.4–80.3
2074	335.9317.1–351.8	57.439.1–75.3
2075	338.4320.7–354.1	56.137.7–76
2076	338.7321.9–352	58.538.4–75.3
2077	342.8314.8–357.3	57.341–80.5
2078	343325.8–355.4	5639.5–79
2079	341.2322.3–357.6	57.639.3–78
2080	340.9317.7–358.1	59.540.3–80.9
2081	339.8315.5–357.1	5841.5–79.6
2082	341.6316.4–354.9	58.839.7–77.7
2083	340.8324.8–356.9	60.839.1–82.9
2084	340.4322.8–354.9	62.540.4–82.9
2085	346.8325.6–357	60.741.3–87.6
2086	341.7324.4–357.6	60.542.1–83.3
2087	343.9325.9–357.7	57.941–82.9
2088	341.5321.6–358.2	64.243.4–85.3
2089	343.2324.3–355.2	61.541.3–81.2
2090	342320.6–356	61.641.5–86.8
2091	341.7319.8–356.4	63.341.6–86.3
2092	339.7318.4–357.7	63.144.9–84.8
2093	345326.8–356.4	62.443.2–86.1
2094	344.4324.3–357.6	63.145.6–87.4
2095	346.3320.6–359.4	65.342.6–91.7
2096	344.4323.1–359.2	6142.7–90.1
2097	341.4321.3–353.8	58.841.2–84.6
2098	345322.3–357	65.143.8–89.8
2099	344.6322.7–357.5	64.345–87
2100	347.3323.6–359.2	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Senegal vs South Africa: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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