马达加斯加与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：马达加斯加为 138.3 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年马达加斯加的数值较高，高出 111.2 夜，是南非的 5.1 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

马达加斯加南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，马达加斯加的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年马达加斯加为 198.5 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	马达加斯加	南非
2014	138.3	27.1
2013	138	28.3
2012	138.3	27.9
2011	136.8	26.1
2010	134.2	26
2009	133.5	25.8
2008	132.3	24.8
2007	133.1	24.7
2006	131.6	25.5
2005	130.3	25.3
2004	133.5	25.8
2003	131	25.1
2002	131.8	25
2001	131.7	24.5
2000	127.4	23.3
1999	128.4	23
1998	128.6	23.4
1997	125.3	22.5
1996	121.8	20.4
1995	123.3	19.3
1994	121.8	20
1993	116	18.1
1992	116.6	18.1
1991	124.9	22.3
1990	126.2	22.7
1989	124	22
1988	123.8	21.2
1987	122.8	21.9
1986	123.8	21
1985	120	18.9
1984	118.6	20
1983	116.5	19
1982	121.8	20.3
1981	122.1	20
1980	120.3	21.2
1979	120.7	19.9
1978	119.3	19.8
1977	119	19.2
1976	117.4	19.2
1975	116.5	18.8
1974	119.5	19.7
1973	119	19.6
1972	117	19
1971	116.3	19.1
1970	117	18.6
1969	116.3	18.7
1968	113.1	17.8
1967	113	17.5
1966	114.1	17.8
1965	112.2	17.2
1964	109.6	14.9
1963	109.7	16.5
1962	115.3	19.6
1961	118.5	19.7
1960	118.2	19.8
1959	119	18.5
1958	118.7	19.3
1957	117.6	19.4
1956	115.5	18
1955	116.6	19.5
1954	115.9	18.4
1953	116.4	18.4
1952	117.4	19.3
1951	116	18.9
1950	116.3	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	马达加斯加	南非
2015	142.8126.7–159.3	28.620–39.5
2016	137.8122.2–156	26.817.8–37.9
2017	143.1125.6–159.4	28.919.6–37.8
2018	143.7125.9–160.3	29.620.6–40.6
2019	143.4124.4–162.3	29.820.8–41.5
2020	143.4125.2–159	29.518.9–39.1
2021	145.4128.8–160.4	31.121.4–42.9
2022	150.4133.4–165.2	3223.7–43.1
2023	149.7132.1–166	31.922.9–41.8
2024	150.7131.4–167.9	3324–45.6
2025	149128.8–169.1	31.920.7–44.5
2026	150.1127.4–169.9	34.521.9–46.9
2027	151.8131.9–170.8	34.423–47.7
2028	154.9137.7–173.1	33.522.9–46
2029	155.7135.2–173.8	36.226.5–48.3
2030	154.8136.4–171.3	36.124.9–49
2031	158.1141.3–174.8	36.324.5–50.3
2032	157.9136.2–178.4	36.424.5–49.2
2033	158.9136.7–177.8	36.924.5–48.3
2034	158.6140.6–179.6	37.626.4–51.8
2035	161.1140.2–181.6	37.625.2–49.5
2036	159.5139.4–177.1	3826.5–50.5
2037	165.8144.7–182.8	39.928.2–53.4
2038	166.5149.3–183.9	41.528.4–54.2
2039	164.1145.1–183.9	39.227–52.9
2040	162.8144.5–184.8	38.125.6–55.6
2041	165.8143.5–183.9	40.227.4–54.3
2042	165.1144.3–188.4	4229–56.4
2043	165.6148.5–184.7	42.128.2–58.4
2044	167.3145.8–187	41.929.5–57.8
2045	166.9147.1–187.1	42.728.2–59
2046	171.4149.6–193	44.130–59.5
2047	171.7148.8–193.4	44.630.7–61.2
2048	173.7151.7–193.6	4531.9–61.5
2049	172.2151.4–192.9	45.632.3–61.4
2050	174.4150.5–193.6	46.931–63.6
2051	175154.3–195.1	47.532–65
2052	176153.8–196.7	48.332.7–64.3
2053	176.6151.1–197.8	45.733.7–62.1
2054	175.5152.8–199.2	4833.3–64.3
2055	179.2157.3–196.8	46.833–68.4
2056	178.8156.5–199.7	47.933.2–64.8
2057	177.7155.5–201	50.232.6–68.9
2058	180.5158.9–202.4	47.934–66.4
2059	181.8158.3–202.5	51.333.1–66.9
2060	185.1159.5–207.8	51.936–69.9
2061	180.6157.6–203.8	50.534.8–71.3
2062	180.6157.1–205.6	50.532.7–71
2063	185156.8–210.7	50.434.3–69.7
2064	184.7159.1–205.7	5134.1–67.7
2065	183.8157.1–208.5	50.433.6–70.2
2066	187.3159.6–211	5335.7–72.4
2067	184.9155.9–208.9	50.634.8–70.4
2068	187.5161.7–211.1	54.837.8–72.5
2069	187.5162–211.3	54.339.1–73.4
2070	187.8160.4–213.6	54.337.2–73.3
2071	190.7162.7–216.6	55.837.9–76.9
2072	191.8168.2–215.8	5639.4–78.6
2073	191.4168.7–214.5	60.443.4–80.3
2074	189.4162.6–217.7	57.439.1–75.3
2075	189.3163.8–214.2	56.137.7–76
2076	191.1164.3–214	58.538.4–75.3
2077	191.9168.8–217.1	57.341–80.5
2078	190.1166.5–219.3	5639.5–79
2079	190.1163.7–216.2	57.639.3–78
2080	194.8167.7–219.4	59.540.3–80.9
2081	191.7166.7–218.1	5841.5–79.6
2082	193.8169.2–216.7	58.839.7–77.7
2083	194.6166.1–218.1	60.839.1–82.9
2084	197.9170–219.7	62.540.4–82.9
2085	197.8172.3–223.7	60.741.3–87.6
2086	192.9169.6–220	60.542.1–83.3
2087	195.2170.4–220.1	57.941–82.9
2088	198.1165.1–225.5	64.243.4–85.3
2089	196.3167.9–227.6	61.541.3–81.2
2090	197.5172.4–228.1	61.641.5–86.8
2091	199.2172.7–226.7	63.341.6–86.3
2092	202.4170.7–226.6	63.144.9–84.8
2093	202.1172.3–230.5	62.443.2–86.1
2094	198.3168.6–224	63.145.6–87.4
2095	200.7171.7–225.1	65.342.6–91.7
2096	199.8173.6–226.3	6142.7–90.1
2097	201.2170–227.6	58.841.2–84.6
2098	201.1170.7–227.2	65.143.8–89.8
2099	198.3173.8–225.8	64.345–87
2100	198.5173.3–227.7	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数马达加斯加：2022 年为 0 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡