叙利亚与突尼斯：35 °C 以上天数

2014 年35 °C 以上天数：叙利亚为 77.6 天，突尼斯为 62.9 天（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年叙利亚的数值较高，高出 14.7 天，是突尼斯的 1.23 倍。

每年天数 · CMIP6

叙利亚突尼斯CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，叙利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年叙利亚为 117.9 天，突尼斯为 95.5 天。

逐年数据

每年天数 · CMIP6

年份	叙利亚	突尼斯
2014	77.6	62.9
2013	74.8	61.2
2012	76	60.5
2011	74.8	60.4
2010	75	64.3
2009	73	58.6
2008	74.9	60.2
2007	71.1	57.2
2006	73	58.7
2005	72.8	56.1
2004	72.6	56.3
2003	74.8	56.5
2002	69.9	57.2
2001	73.3	54.7
2000	70.4	57.5
1999	70.1	52.7
1998	68.8	53.9
1997	67	53.1
1996	66.7	50.8
1995	64.4	49
1994	62.6	48.8
1993	59.4	46
1992	58	46.1
1991	62.4	51
1990	67.5	53.5
1989	65.3	49.6
1988	63.6	49.4
1987	61	47.4
1986	65.1	47.7
1985	59.8	45
1984	58.6	46
1983	55.7	45.6
1982	59.7	48.5
1981	61.8	48.9
1980	63.5	48.9
1979	57.3	48.8
1978	58.4	45.1
1977	58.8	43.8
1976	62.1	45.8
1975	55.6	44.6
1974	59	42.4
1973	58.6	42.9
1972	60.3	47
1971	60.1	46
1970	60.9	46.1
1969	60.9	45
1968	58.1	45.6
1967	57.6	44.7
1966	57.4	43.5
1965	55.8	40.3
1964	55.9	42
1963	58.3	45.8
1962	59.5	47.6
1961	61.1	45.1
1960	60.9	47.6
1959	61.6	49.5
1958	61.9	47.1
1957	62.9	48.4
1956	61.3	46
1955	58.3	46.7
1954	58.7	46.1
1953	62	48
1952	61.5	47.4
1951	63.3	47.3
1950	59.6	47

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	叙利亚	突尼斯
2015	81.668.2–95.6	6350.7–78.1
2016	79.368.4–97.9	63.348.7–80.3
2017	8368.3–94.2	68.549.7–81.6
2018	8469.7–97.7	65.751.9–82.5
2019	8673–95.9	67.753.6–78.2
2020	8469.3–99.4	65.550.3–79.6
2021	85.372.2–96.2	67.653.2–78.6
2022	86.571–98.2	7053.2–88
2023	88.576.4–101	69.755.7–81
2024	90.378–101.5	71.357.2–81.4
2025	89.170.7–102.4	69.150.4–87.5
2026	87.971.8–100.7	71.457.1–85.3
2027	90.575.7–102	67.852.6–83.6
2028	89.175.9–103.8	71.859–85.3
2029	9078.6–104	72.759.6–85.6
2030	90.477.7–104.4	73.756.9–86.9
2031	88.677.8–102.7	6957.5–80.5
2032	9477.4–106.1	7662.7–87
2033	95.579.3–106.3	76.157.7–86.6
2034	93.979.7–108	77.255.3–91.3
2035	9583–104.6	7663–92.6
2036	91.177.5–105.2	76.861.2–90.8
2037	94.978.3–107.6	75.961.6–88.6
2038	97.379.4–111.2	77.463.1–91.4
2039	98.182.9–115.3	77.761.2–90.6
2040	97.985.1–111.3	82.164.8–95.1
2041	96.584.7–109.2	77.462.1–92.6
2042	98.877.8–110.2	81.660.2–97.2
2043	99.785.9–112.7	77.163.8–93
2044	98.585–114.7	78.760.9–94.8
2045	103.692.5–115.5	79.165.1–90.5
2046	101.389.1–114.4	78.962.9–97.3
2047	100.786.8–117.8	80.966.8–98.8
2048	101.485.4–115.8	79.961.9–96.3
2049	100.982.6–116.6	80.563.5–97.9
2050	102.588–117.1	84.466.7–99.7
2051	103.191.6–114.5	80.965.3–96.8
2052	100.388–112.1	82.267.3–97.7
2053	10390.8–117.1	83.771.6–101.5
2054	103.182–121.3	83.369.5–98.4
2055	105.790–119.1	86.865.3–102.6
2056	101.787.7–117.2	85.669.3–101.2
2057	105.190.4–121.4	84.770.4–98.5
2058	105.488.3–122.7	88.773.8–106.1
2059	106.787.8–122.4	84.366.3–102.5
2060	105.592.3–122.3	87.170.9–99.2
2061	109.790.9–122.3	88.970.3–100.4
2062	107.786.7–124.6	87.769.6–103.4
2063	107.692.2–124.2	89.272.4–103.3
2064	110.291.7–123.3	88.472.5–107.6
2065	108.295.2–122.1	89.975.6–106.9
2066	105.388.6–121.8	85.568.8–101.1
2067	109.795.4–127.6	93.276.1–109.3
2068	111.395.4–126	93.474.5–108.8
2069	107.594–120.1	89.973.9–101.7
2070	113.395.9–123.2	87.873.3–105.8
2071	109.495.7–126.5	91.674.1–108
2072	112.698.1–127	93.579.3–105.5
2073	11393.2–127.9	90.477.9–104.5
2074	109.592.9–123.7	89.971.1–106.9
2075	111.795.5–125.4	89.676.2–108.2
2076	112.294–126.5	93.875.3–106.5
2077	110.895.6–128	91.774.1–106.7
2078	112100–127.9	93.176–110.3
2079	117.9100.2–129.8	9873.5–114.5
2080	116.8101.5–128.9	9474.2–111.7
2081	112.597.1–132	9176.7–108.9
2082	11596.5–130.3	98.176.1–112.6
2083	115.894.1–131.2	95.176.2–110
2084	117.696.5–129.2	95.379.6–115.5
2085	114.695.2–129.1	9678–114.8
2086	114.3100–129.2	93.279.4–107.8
2087	113.497.9–129.4	93.374.9–113.6
2088	118.1101–132.7	99.578.1–114
2089	117.199–132.8	95.278.6–114.8
2090	116.4101.5–129.4	96.476.6–113.9
2091	117100.2–135.8	99.478.1–113.5
2092	116100.5–134.1	96.776.4–109.2
2093	119.9102.9–137.9	96.881–113
2094	117.4104.3–133.7	94.677.7–111.6
2095	117100.8–133.2	97.479.7–111.8
2096	115.1100.9–129.7	97.479.5–118.2
2097	121.498.4–136.9	95.581.2–115.5
2098	117.397.7–133	98.283.3–113.8
2099	117.9102.9–129.7	99.779.3–112.5
2100	117.998.2–137.3	95.578.5–115.7

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须知

一年中最高气温超过 35 °C 的天数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

叙利亚与突尼斯对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡突尼斯：2022 年为 0 人死亡