Syria vs Tunisia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 77.6 days in Syria and 62.9 days in Tunisia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Syria, by 14.7 days, or 1.23 times that in Tunisia.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

SyriaTunisiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Syria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Syria at 117.9 days and Tunisia at 95.5 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Syria	Tunisia
2014	77.6	62.9
2013	74.8	61.2
2012	76	60.5
2011	74.8	60.4
2010	75	64.3
2009	73	58.6
2008	74.9	60.2
2007	71.1	57.2
2006	73	58.7
2005	72.8	56.1
2004	72.6	56.3
2003	74.8	56.5
2002	69.9	57.2
2001	73.3	54.7
2000	70.4	57.5
1999	70.1	52.7
1998	68.8	53.9
1997	67	53.1
1996	66.7	50.8
1995	64.4	49
1994	62.6	48.8
1993	59.4	46
1992	58	46.1
1991	62.4	51
1990	67.5	53.5
1989	65.3	49.6
1988	63.6	49.4
1987	61	47.4
1986	65.1	47.7
1985	59.8	45
1984	58.6	46
1983	55.7	45.6
1982	59.7	48.5
1981	61.8	48.9
1980	63.5	48.9
1979	57.3	48.8
1978	58.4	45.1
1977	58.8	43.8
1976	62.1	45.8
1975	55.6	44.6
1974	59	42.4
1973	58.6	42.9
1972	60.3	47
1971	60.1	46
1970	60.9	46.1
1969	60.9	45
1968	58.1	45.6
1967	57.6	44.7
1966	57.4	43.5
1965	55.8	40.3
1964	55.9	42
1963	58.3	45.8
1962	59.5	47.6
1961	61.1	45.1
1960	60.9	47.6
1959	61.6	49.5
1958	61.9	47.1
1957	62.9	48.4
1956	61.3	46
1955	58.3	46.7
1954	58.7	46.1
1953	62	48
1952	61.5	47.4
1951	63.3	47.3
1950	59.6	47

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Syria	Tunisia
2015	81.668.2–95.6	6350.7–78.1
2016	79.368.4–97.9	63.348.7–80.3
2017	8368.3–94.2	68.549.7–81.6
2018	8469.7–97.7	65.751.9–82.5
2019	8673–95.9	67.753.6–78.2
2020	8469.3–99.4	65.550.3–79.6
2021	85.372.2–96.2	67.653.2–78.6
2022	86.571–98.2	7053.2–88
2023	88.576.4–101	69.755.7–81
2024	90.378–101.5	71.357.2–81.4
2025	89.170.7–102.4	69.150.4–87.5
2026	87.971.8–100.7	71.457.1–85.3
2027	90.575.7–102	67.852.6–83.6
2028	89.175.9–103.8	71.859–85.3
2029	9078.6–104	72.759.6–85.6
2030	90.477.7–104.4	73.756.9–86.9
2031	88.677.8–102.7	6957.5–80.5
2032	9477.4–106.1	7662.7–87
2033	95.579.3–106.3	76.157.7–86.6
2034	93.979.7–108	77.255.3–91.3
2035	9583–104.6	7663–92.6
2036	91.177.5–105.2	76.861.2–90.8
2037	94.978.3–107.6	75.961.6–88.6
2038	97.379.4–111.2	77.463.1–91.4
2039	98.182.9–115.3	77.761.2–90.6
2040	97.985.1–111.3	82.164.8–95.1
2041	96.584.7–109.2	77.462.1–92.6
2042	98.877.8–110.2	81.660.2–97.2
2043	99.785.9–112.7	77.163.8–93
2044	98.585–114.7	78.760.9–94.8
2045	103.692.5–115.5	79.165.1–90.5
2046	101.389.1–114.4	78.962.9–97.3
2047	100.786.8–117.8	80.966.8–98.8
2048	101.485.4–115.8	79.961.9–96.3
2049	100.982.6–116.6	80.563.5–97.9
2050	102.588–117.1	84.466.7–99.7
2051	103.191.6–114.5	80.965.3–96.8
2052	100.388–112.1	82.267.3–97.7
2053	10390.8–117.1	83.771.6–101.5
2054	103.182–121.3	83.369.5–98.4
2055	105.790–119.1	86.865.3–102.6
2056	101.787.7–117.2	85.669.3–101.2
2057	105.190.4–121.4	84.770.4–98.5
2058	105.488.3–122.7	88.773.8–106.1
2059	106.787.8–122.4	84.366.3–102.5
2060	105.592.3–122.3	87.170.9–99.2
2061	109.790.9–122.3	88.970.3–100.4
2062	107.786.7–124.6	87.769.6–103.4
2063	107.692.2–124.2	89.272.4–103.3
2064	110.291.7–123.3	88.472.5–107.6
2065	108.295.2–122.1	89.975.6–106.9
2066	105.388.6–121.8	85.568.8–101.1
2067	109.795.4–127.6	93.276.1–109.3
2068	111.395.4–126	93.474.5–108.8
2069	107.594–120.1	89.973.9–101.7
2070	113.395.9–123.2	87.873.3–105.8
2071	109.495.7–126.5	91.674.1–108
2072	112.698.1–127	93.579.3–105.5
2073	11393.2–127.9	90.477.9–104.5
2074	109.592.9–123.7	89.971.1–106.9
2075	111.795.5–125.4	89.676.2–108.2
2076	112.294–126.5	93.875.3–106.5
2077	110.895.6–128	91.774.1–106.7
2078	112100–127.9	93.176–110.3
2079	117.9100.2–129.8	9873.5–114.5
2080	116.8101.5–128.9	9474.2–111.7
2081	112.597.1–132	9176.7–108.9
2082	11596.5–130.3	98.176.1–112.6
2083	115.894.1–131.2	95.176.2–110
2084	117.696.5–129.2	95.379.6–115.5
2085	114.695.2–129.1	9678–114.8
2086	114.3100–129.2	93.279.4–107.8
2087	113.497.9–129.4	93.374.9–113.6
2088	118.1101–132.7	99.578.1–114
2089	117.199–132.8	95.278.6–114.8
2090	116.4101.5–129.4	96.476.6–113.9
2091	117100.2–135.8	99.478.1–113.5
2092	116100.5–134.1	96.776.4–109.2
2093	119.9102.9–137.9	96.881–113
2094	117.4104.3–133.7	94.677.7–111.6
2095	117100.8–133.2	97.479.7–111.8
2096	115.1100.9–129.7	97.479.5–118.2
2097	121.498.4–136.9	95.581.2–115.5
2098	117.397.7–133	98.283.3–113.8
2099	117.9102.9–129.7	99.779.3–112.5
2100	117.998.2–137.3	95.578.5–115.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Syria vs Tunisia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Syria vs Tunisia

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