Days above 35 °C in Syria

Days above 35 °C in Syria: 59.6 days in 1950 and 77.6 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 77.6 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +17.9 days
Projected, 2100: 117.9 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 117.9 days in 2100, between 98.2 days and 137.3 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 77.6 days in 2014, the lowest 55.6 days in 1975.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Syria
2014	77.6
2013	74.8
2012	76
2011	74.8
2010	75
2009	73
2008	74.9
2007	71.1
2006	73
2005	72.8
2004	72.6
2003	74.8
2002	69.9
2001	73.3
2000	70.4
1999	70.1
1998	68.8
1997	67
1996	66.7
1995	64.4
1994	62.6
1993	59.4
1992	58
1991	62.4
1990	67.5
1989	65.3
1988	63.6
1987	61
1986	65.1
1985	59.8
1984	58.6
1983	55.7
1982	59.7
1981	61.8
1980	63.5
1979	57.3
1978	58.4
1977	58.8
1976	62.1
1975	55.6
1974	59
1973	58.6
1972	60.3
1971	60.1
1970	60.9
1969	60.9
1968	58.1
1967	57.6
1966	57.4
1965	55.8
1964	55.9
1963	58.3
1962	59.5
1961	61.1
1960	60.9
1959	61.6
1958	61.9
1957	62.9
1956	61.3
1955	58.3
1954	58.7
1953	62
1952	61.5
1951	63.3
1950	59.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Syria
2015	81.668.2–95.6
2016	79.368.4–97.9
2017	8368.3–94.2
2018	8469.7–97.7
2019	8673–95.9
2020	8469.3–99.4
2021	85.372.2–96.2
2022	86.571–98.2
2023	88.576.4–101
2024	90.378–101.5
2025	89.170.7–102.4
2026	87.971.8–100.7
2027	90.575.7–102
2028	89.175.9–103.8
2029	9078.6–104
2030	90.477.7–104.4
2031	88.677.8–102.7
2032	9477.4–106.1
2033	95.579.3–106.3
2034	93.979.7–108
2035	9583–104.6
2036	91.177.5–105.2
2037	94.978.3–107.6
2038	97.379.4–111.2
2039	98.182.9–115.3
2040	97.985.1–111.3
2041	96.584.7–109.2
2042	98.877.8–110.2
2043	99.785.9–112.7
2044	98.585–114.7
2045	103.692.5–115.5
2046	101.389.1–114.4
2047	100.786.8–117.8
2048	101.485.4–115.8
2049	100.982.6–116.6
2050	102.588–117.1
2051	103.191.6–114.5
2052	100.388–112.1
2053	10390.8–117.1
2054	103.182–121.3
2055	105.790–119.1
2056	101.787.7–117.2
2057	105.190.4–121.4
2058	105.488.3–122.7
2059	106.787.8–122.4
2060	105.592.3–122.3
2061	109.790.9–122.3
2062	107.786.7–124.6
2063	107.692.2–124.2
2064	110.291.7–123.3
2065	108.295.2–122.1
2066	105.388.6–121.8
2067	109.795.4–127.6
2068	111.395.4–126
2069	107.594–120.1
2070	113.395.9–123.2
2071	109.495.7–126.5
2072	112.698.1–127
2073	11393.2–127.9
2074	109.592.9–123.7
2075	111.795.5–125.4
2076	112.294–126.5
2077	110.895.6–128
2078	112100–127.9
2079	117.9100.2–129.8
2080	116.8101.5–128.9
2081	112.597.1–132
2082	11596.5–130.3
2083	115.894.1–131.2
2084	117.696.5–129.2
2085	114.695.2–129.1
2086	114.3100–129.2
2087	113.497.9–129.4
2088	118.1101–132.7
2089	117.199–132.8
2090	116.4101.5–129.4
2091	117100.2–135.8
2092	116100.5–134.1
2093	119.9102.9–137.9
2094	117.4104.3–133.7
2095	117100.8–133.2
2096	115.1100.9–129.7
2097	121.498.4–136.9
2098	117.397.7–133
2099	117.9102.9–129.7
2100	117.998.2–137.3

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Syria

What the numbers say

Every year

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