Iraq vs Syria: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 143.3 days in Iraq and 77.6 days in Syria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Iraq, by 65.7 days, or 1.85 times that in Syria.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

IraqSyriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Iraq has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Iraq at 168.1 days and Syria at 117.9 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Iraq	Syria
2014	143.3	77.6
2013	143.1	74.8
2012	142.6	76
2011	142.2	74.8
2010	139.4	75
2009	138.4	73
2008	141.5	74.9
2007	139.4	71.1
2006	140	73
2005	139.3	72.8
2004	139.9	72.6
2003	138.9	74.8
2002	138.1	69.9
2001	140	73.3
2000	140.9	70.4
1999	136.7	70.1
1998	135.3	68.8
1997	137	67
1996	137.4	66.7
1995	133.4	64.4
1994	133.6	62.6
1993	130.1	59.4
1992	127.6	58
1991	131.5	62.4
1990	136	67.5
1989	135.7	65.3
1988	134.3	63.6
1987	132.2	61
1986	135.4	65.1
1985	131	59.8
1984	129.7	58.6
1983	127.6	55.7
1982	129.4	59.7
1981	132.1	61.8
1980	134.4	63.5
1979	130.4	57.3
1978	129.9	58.4
1977	129.8	58.8
1976	132.6	62.1
1975	128.2	55.6
1974	129.9	59
1973	129.9	58.6
1972	130.2	60.3
1971	128.3	60.1
1970	130	60.9
1969	131.1	60.9
1968	127.9	58.1
1967	128.3	57.6
1966	129	57.4
1965	128.6	55.8
1964	129.3	55.9
1963	130	58.3
1962	130.2	59.5
1961	134	61.1
1960	131.1	60.9
1959	133.8	61.6
1958	131.8	61.9
1957	131.7	62.9
1956	130.7	61.3
1955	129.8	58.3
1954	131.7	58.7
1953	132.9	62
1952	133.6	61.5
1951	133.5	63.3
1950	130.2	59.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Iraq	Syria
2015	146.5134.9–155.9	81.668.2–95.6
2016	145.4133.9–160.3	79.368.4–97.9
2017	146132.3–158.3	8368.3–94.2
2018	146.2132.5–158.8	8469.7–97.7
2019	146.8135.9–158.8	8673–95.9
2020	148.8135.8–160.2	8469.3–99.4
2021	146.6135.6–157.1	85.372.2–96.2
2022	148.4136.8–159.5	86.571–98.2
2023	149.7138.7–161.4	88.576.4–101
2024	148.6138.1–160.9	90.378–101.5
2025	149.3137.3–161.5	89.170.7–102.4
2026	147.6136.7–158.3	87.971.8–100.7
2027	150.9138.6–161.1	90.575.7–102
2028	149.4134.2–162.8	89.175.9–103.8
2029	149.1139.1–159.9	9078.6–104
2030	149.4138.7–161.4	90.477.7–104.4
2031	149.8138.5–163.1	88.677.8–102.7
2032	151.3138.1–162.1	9477.4–106.1
2033	153.3141.2–164.6	95.579.3–106.3
2034	151.3139–165.8	93.979.7–108
2035	152141.2–165.7	9583–104.6
2036	150.3136.4–161.5	91.177.5–105.2
2037	152.6138.8–165.1	94.978.3–107.6
2038	153.8140.6–166.8	97.379.4–111.2
2039	155.8142.5–168.3	98.182.9–115.3
2040	156.2144.7–166.4	97.985.1–111.3
2041	154.2140.9–163.6	96.584.7–109.2
2042	157.4142.7–166.1	98.877.8–110.2
2043	156.5139.2–166.1	99.785.9–112.7
2044	155.9146.3–166	98.585–114.7
2045	158.2146.5–171.2	103.692.5–115.5
2046	156.8145.5–169.4	101.389.1–114.4
2047	157.7145.9–169.1	100.786.8–117.8
2048	156.8145.8–169	101.485.4–115.8
2049	156.1144.3–166.8	100.982.6–116.6
2050	159.3146.2–171	102.588–117.1
2051	160.8148.7–171.4	103.191.6–114.5
2052	157.8144.1–169	100.388–112.1
2053	156.4144.3–169.1	10390.8–117.1
2054	158.8143.4–175.1	103.182–121.3
2055	162.7147.9–174.7	105.790–119.1
2056	156.9143.8–169.1	101.787.7–117.2
2057	158.5144.4–172.5	105.190.4–121.4
2058	160.7147.3–172.2	105.488.3–122.7
2059	158.5145.8–173.2	106.787.8–122.4
2060	159.6148–175.7	105.592.3–122.3
2061	162.4149.3–172.8	109.790.9–122.3
2062	160.3147.2–173.3	107.786.7–124.6
2063	162.1146.3–173.4	107.692.2–124.2
2064	161.2147.6–172.3	110.291.7–123.3
2065	160.4149.2–172.3	108.295.2–122.1
2066	159.6149.3–173.8	105.388.6–121.8
2067	162.7152.7–179.1	109.795.4–127.6
2068	163.1147.4–173.5	111.395.4–126
2069	163.9149.4–172.1	107.594–120.1
2070	165153.2–175.5	113.395.9–123.2
2071	163.2151.8–177.8	109.495.7–126.5
2072	163.9150.2–174.6	112.698.1–127
2073	166.2151.5–179.5	11393.2–127.9
2074	163.7147.1–179	109.592.9–123.7
2075	163.3148.9–175.3	111.795.5–125.4
2076	163148.4–175.1	112.294–126.5
2077	165.4149.6–178	110.895.6–128
2078	165151.6–176.3	112100–127.9
2079	165.3151.1–177.6	117.9100.2–129.8
2080	165.1153.7–177.3	116.8101.5–128.9
2081	165.4151.8–180.6	112.597.1–132
2082	165.4151.9–178.4	11596.5–130.3
2083	166.3149.9–178.5	115.894.1–131.2
2084	168.8156.7–179.6	117.696.5–129.2
2085	164.8153.3–179	114.695.2–129.1
2086	168155.9–178.1	114.3100–129.2
2087	167.4152.7–179.4	113.497.9–129.4
2088	168.3153.6–181.4	118.1101–132.7
2089	166.3150.5–179.8	117.199–132.8
2090	165.5150–179.2	116.4101.5–129.4
2091	166.8154.8–181	117100.2–135.8
2092	167.6155.6–178.5	116100.5–134.1
2093	168.4156.2–180.5	119.9102.9–137.9
2094	169.3158.3–181.6	117.4104.3–133.7
2095	166.8154.1–181.1	117100.8–133.2
2096	167.4154.4–181.6	115.1100.9–129.7
2097	170.5151.7–182.3	121.498.4–136.9
2098	166.4152.3–182.3	117.397.7–133
2099	168.4155.5–179.9	117.9102.9–129.7
2100	168.1155.5–182.3	117.998.2–137.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Iraq vs Syria: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Iraq vs Syria

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