Pakistan vs Syria: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 118.6 days in Pakistan and 77.6 days in Syria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Pakistan, by 41 days, or 1.53 times that in Syria.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

PakistanSyriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Pakistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Pakistan at 147.6 days and Syria at 117.9 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Pakistan	Syria
2014	118.6	77.6
2013	117.5	74.8
2012	117.5	76
2011	118	74.8
2010	114.3	75
2009	115.3	73
2008	115.4	74.9
2007	112.5	71.1
2006	112.9	73
2005	114.9	72.8
2004	116.1	72.6
2003	114.6	74.8
2002	115.9	69.9
2001	114.4	73.3
2000	114.6	70.4
1999	114.2	70.1
1998	111.7	68.8
1997	112	67
1996	108.3	66.7
1995	110	64.4
1994	108.6	62.6
1993	107.2	59.4
1992	105.2	58
1991	110.6	62.4
1990	110.7	67.5
1989	110.9	65.3
1988	109.8	63.6
1987	108.3	61
1986	108.7	65.1
1985	105.6	59.8
1984	108	58.6
1983	104.7	55.7
1982	108	59.7
1981	109.5	61.8
1980	109.7	63.5
1979	108.7	57.3
1978	108.6	58.4
1977	106.5	58.8
1976	108.2	62.1
1975	105	55.6
1974	108.8	59
1973	108	58.6
1972	104.5	60.3
1971	106.2	60.1
1970	106.5	60.9
1969	105.8	60.9
1968	104.4	58.1
1967	106.4	57.6
1966	106.4	57.4
1965	106	55.8
1964	103	55.9
1963	104.3	58.3
1962	106.7	59.5
1961	108.7	61.1
1960	108.7	60.9
1959	110.4	61.6
1958	108.5	61.9
1957	110.7	62.9
1956	108.8	61.3
1955	108.3	58.3
1954	107	58.7
1953	107.6	62
1952	108.9	61.5
1951	108.1	63.3
1950	110.5	59.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Pakistan	Syria
2015	122100.8–136.6	81.668.2–95.6
2016	119.5104.9–132	79.368.4–97.9
2017	119.999.5–134.3	8368.3–94.2
2018	119.7103–133.8	8469.7–97.7
2019	118.997.2–133.8	8673–95.9
2020	122.8105–136.3	8469.3–99.4
2021	122.9103.2–138.2	85.372.2–96.2
2022	120.7101.9–136.4	86.571–98.2
2023	123.3104.8–138.8	88.576.4–101
2024	124.4105.4–139.1	90.378–101.5
2025	123.8102.8–139.1	89.170.7–102.4
2026	122.5101.9–141.8	87.971.8–100.7
2027	124.4101.5–141	90.575.7–102
2028	124.8103.6–140.2	89.175.9–103.8
2029	126.499.2–141.6	9078.6–104
2030	122.5103.5–140.1	90.477.7–104.4
2031	122.7105.6–139.9	88.677.8–102.7
2032	126104–143.9	9477.4–106.1
2033	125.9106.6–144.1	95.579.3–106.3
2034	130.9113.2–147.8	93.979.7–108
2035	127.1107.6–143.6	9583–104.6
2036	125.5108.3–143.4	91.177.5–105.2
2037	130.7112.4–147.9	94.978.3–107.6
2038	130.9108.6–144.9	97.379.4–111.2
2039	128.6110.2–144.9	98.182.9–115.3
2040	133.2115.1–146.1	97.985.1–111.3
2041	127.2108.3–143.5	96.584.7–109.2
2042	134.6112.8–150.7	98.877.8–110.2
2043	131.6112.5–149.3	99.785.9–112.7
2044	128.2108.1–145.9	98.585–114.7
2045	133.4116.7–148.7	103.692.5–115.5
2046	133.8109–151.1	101.389.1–114.4
2047	134.6110–150.9	100.786.8–117.8
2048	136117.1–152.3	101.485.4–115.8
2049	133.3115.2–152.5	100.982.6–116.6
2050	138.4119.4–157.4	102.588–117.1
2051	138115.5–158.2	103.191.6–114.5
2052	138.3120.3–155.3	100.388–112.1
2053	137.4117.7–155.8	10390.8–117.1
2054	137116–152.4	103.182–121.3
2055	139.6120–157.2	105.790–119.1
2056	135.8117.3–154.1	101.787.7–117.2
2057	141.5119.5–158.8	105.190.4–121.4
2058	137.1114.3–154.7	105.488.3–122.7
2059	141.4122.6–156.6	106.787.8–122.4
2060	142.5124.1–158.6	105.592.3–122.3
2061	142.3123.2–157.4	109.790.9–122.3
2062	141.3118.8–161.2	107.786.7–124.6
2063	143.1125.6–160.6	107.692.2–124.2
2064	140.7119.8–163.5	110.291.7–123.3
2065	141.1121.5–159.3	108.295.2–122.1
2066	143.8122.5–163.4	105.388.6–121.8
2067	144.2125.9–162.3	109.795.4–127.6
2068	143.2126–162.2	111.395.4–126
2069	144.7119.8–163.2	107.594–120.1
2070	143.7126.5–163	113.395.9–123.2
2071	145.5121.8–164.4	109.495.7–126.5
2072	147.1125.5–165.1	112.698.1–127
2073	149.2122.1–164.7	11393.2–127.9
2074	145.8126.7–162.2	109.592.9–123.7
2075	145.1126.2–160.5	111.795.5–125.4
2076	145.7126.4–165.9	112.294–126.5
2077	146.1126.2–164.4	110.895.6–128
2078	146.5121.4–164.4	112100–127.9
2079	144.6122.7–161	117.9100.2–129.8
2080	148.2123.7–166.4	116.8101.5–128.9
2081	145.8122.2–167	112.597.1–132
2082	146123.3–168.8	11596.5–130.3
2083	148.3127–167.4	115.894.1–131.2
2084	150.5128.5–167.6	117.696.5–129.2
2085	149.9126.1–170.8	114.695.2–129.1
2086	146.3124.2–165	114.3100–129.2
2087	149.9124.3–167.3	113.497.9–129.4
2088	149.3127.9–169.7	118.1101–132.7
2089	148.9129.6–166.7	117.199–132.8
2090	150.3131.5–166.7	116.4101.5–129.4
2091	151.1128.4–168.7	117100.2–135.8
2092	150.5129.8–170.2	116100.5–134.1
2093	151.6131.8–167.9	119.9102.9–137.9
2094	151.5130.4–168.6	117.4104.3–133.7
2095	152.5130.6–169.2	117100.8–133.2
2096	150.8124.2–169	115.1100.9–129.7
2097	149.4130.3–167.5	121.498.4–136.9
2098	151.7125.4–168.2	117.397.7–133
2099	151.6124.4–170.6	117.9102.9–129.7
2100	147.6125.2–167.5	117.998.2–137.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Pakistan vs Syria: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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