Tunisia

Days above 35 °C in Tunisia

Days above 35 °C in Tunisia: 47 days in 1950 and 62.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
62.9 days
Modelled
Since 1950
+15.9 days
Projected, 2100
95.5 days
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

days a year · CMIP6

Days above 35 °C in TunisiaDays above 35 °C in Tunisia: 47 days in 1950 and 62.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 95.5 days in 2100, between 78.5 days and 115.7 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 95.5 days in 2100, between 78.5 days and 115.7 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 64.3 days in 2010, the lowest 40.3 days in 1965.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearTunisia
201462.9
201361.2
201260.5
201160.4
201064.3
200958.6
200860.2
200757.2
200658.7
200556.1
200456.3
200356.5
200257.2
200154.7
200057.5
199952.7
199853.9
199753.1
199650.8
199549
199448.8
199346
199246.1
199151
199053.5
198949.6
198849.4
198747.4
198647.7
198545
198446
198345.6
198248.5
198148.9
198048.9
197948.8
197845.1
197743.8
197645.8
197544.6
197442.4
197342.9
197247
197146
197046.1
196945
196845.6
196744.7
196643.5
196540.3
196442
196345.8
196247.6
196145.1
196047.6
195949.5
195847.1
195748.4
195646
195546.7
195446.1
195348
195247.4
195147.3
195047
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearTunisia
20156350.7–78.1
201663.348.7–80.3
201768.549.7–81.6
201865.751.9–82.5
201967.753.6–78.2
202065.550.3–79.6
202167.653.2–78.6
20227053.2–88
202369.755.7–81
202471.357.2–81.4
202569.150.4–87.5
202671.457.1–85.3
202767.852.6–83.6
202871.859–85.3
202972.759.6–85.6
203073.756.9–86.9
20316957.5–80.5
20327662.7–87
203376.157.7–86.6
203477.255.3–91.3
20357663–92.6
203676.861.2–90.8
203775.961.6–88.6
203877.463.1–91.4
203977.761.2–90.6
204082.164.8–95.1
204177.462.1–92.6
204281.660.2–97.2
204377.163.8–93
204478.760.9–94.8
204579.165.1–90.5
204678.962.9–97.3
204780.966.8–98.8
204879.961.9–96.3
204980.563.5–97.9
205084.466.7–99.7
205180.965.3–96.8
205282.267.3–97.7
205383.771.6–101.5
205483.369.5–98.4
205586.865.3–102.6
205685.669.3–101.2
205784.770.4–98.5
205888.773.8–106.1
205984.366.3–102.5
206087.170.9–99.2
206188.970.3–100.4
206287.769.6–103.4
206389.272.4–103.3
206488.472.5–107.6
206589.975.6–106.9
206685.568.8–101.1
206793.276.1–109.3
206893.474.5–108.8
206989.973.9–101.7
207087.873.3–105.8
207191.674.1–108
207293.579.3–105.5
207390.477.9–104.5
207489.971.1–106.9
207589.676.2–108.2
207693.875.3–106.5
207791.774.1–106.7
207893.176–110.3
20799873.5–114.5
20809474.2–111.7
20819176.7–108.9
208298.176.1–112.6
208395.176.2–110
208495.379.6–115.5
20859678–114.8
208693.279.4–107.8
208793.374.9–113.6
208899.578.1–114
208995.278.6–114.8
209096.476.6–113.9
209199.478.1–113.5
209296.776.4–109.2
209396.881–113
209494.677.7–111.6
209597.479.7–111.8
209697.479.5–118.2
209795.581.2–115.5
209898.283.3–113.8
209999.779.3–112.5
210095.578.5–115.7

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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