Morocco vs Tunisia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 41.7 days in Morocco and 62.9 days in Tunisia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Tunisia, by 21.2 days, or 1.51 times that in Morocco.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

MoroccoTunisiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Tunisia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Morocco at 67.8 days and Tunisia at 95.5 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Morocco	Tunisia
2014	41.7	62.9
2013	40.8	61.2
2012	40	60.5
2011	39.6	60.4
2010	39.5	64.3
2009	39.6	58.6
2008	39.4	60.2
2007	37.2	57.2
2006	38.4	58.7
2005	37.5	56.1
2004	37.4	56.3
2003	38	56.5
2002	37.2	57.2
2001	36.7	54.7
2000	36	57.5
1999	36.8	52.7
1998	35.3	53.9
1997	35.1	53.1
1996	33.4	50.8
1995	32.4	49
1994	31.5	48.8
1993	29.8	46
1992	27.8	46.1
1991	33.6	51
1990	35.6	53.5
1989	32.6	49.6
1988	33.6	49.4
1987	31.1	47.4
1986	29.8	47.7
1985	29.7	45
1984	29.4	46
1983	28.4	45.6
1982	31.1	48.5
1981	29.6	48.9
1980	29.8	48.9
1979	32.2	48.8
1978	29.5	45.1
1977	30.3	43.8
1976	28.1	45.8
1975	29.4	44.6
1974	29.3	42.4
1973	28.9	42.9
1972	29	47
1971	28.6	46
1970	29.3	46.1
1969	29.1	45
1968	28.9	45.6
1967	28.3	44.7
1966	28.8	43.5
1965	27.3	40.3
1964	28.3	42
1963	29.2	45.8
1962	29.4	47.6
1961	30.2	45.1
1960	30.1	47.6
1959	30.3	49.5
1958	30	47.1
1957	30.1	48.4
1956	29.1	46
1955	30.3	46.7
1954	30	46.1
1953	30	48
1952	30.6	47.4
1951	30.9	47.3
1950	31.2	47

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Morocco	Tunisia
2015	41.632.3–52.5	6350.7–78.1
2016	42.631.6–53.9	63.348.7–80.3
2017	43.533.5–53.8	68.549.7–81.6
2018	43.233.3–54.9	65.751.9–82.5
2019	4534–56.1	67.753.6–78.2
2020	44.733.4–55.1	65.550.3–79.6
2021	44.235.1–55.2	67.653.2–78.6
2022	47.336.3–58.5	7053.2–88
2023	45.335.1–56.5	69.755.7–81
2024	47.136.3–58.6	71.357.2–81.4
2025	45.434.2–57.2	69.150.4–87.5
2026	45.834.5–58	71.457.1–85.3
2027	48.237–59.9	67.852.6–83.6
2028	48.736–59.7	71.859–85.3
2029	47.337.9–58.7	72.759.6–85.6
2030	47.437.1–58.3	73.756.9–86.9
2031	46.835.2–56.7	6957.5–80.5
2032	48.839.2–59	7662.7–87
2033	49.338–58.5	76.157.7–86.6
2034	51.338.8–61.8	77.255.3–91.3
2035	50.838.7–63.1	7663–92.6
2036	50.240.1–63.2	76.861.2–90.8
2037	50.140–61.5	75.961.6–88.6
2038	52.841.5–63.7	77.463.1–91.4
2039	52.142.9–64.3	77.761.2–90.6
2040	5239.7–63.8	82.164.8–95.1
2041	51.240.2–62.7	77.462.1–92.6
2042	5341.8–65.9	81.660.2–97.2
2043	53.442–64.8	77.163.8–93
2044	5340.7–65.3	78.760.9–94.8
2045	54.243.2–65.4	79.165.1–90.5
2046	54.539.9–66.8	78.962.9–97.3
2047	54.543.4–66.5	80.966.8–98.8
2048	53.142.4–67.9	79.961.9–96.3
2049	54.743.5–68	80.563.5–97.9
2050	56.344.6–68.1	84.466.7–99.7
2051	57.144.2–68.9	80.965.3–96.8
2052	57.843.1–72.1	82.267.3–97.7
2053	58.644.8–72	83.771.6–101.5
2054	56.443–71	83.369.5–98.4
2055	5946.3–71.5	86.865.3–102.6
2056	58.346.8–71.6	85.669.3–101.2
2057	5947.3–71.8	84.770.4–98.5
2058	58.644.7–71.7	88.773.8–106.1
2059	56.844.8–72.3	84.366.3–102.5
2060	60.947.1–74.2	87.170.9–99.2
2061	60.949–73.7	88.970.3–100.4
2062	59.446.1–74.4	87.769.6–103.4
2063	62.148.5–77.1	89.272.4–103.3
2064	60.947.2–75.8	88.472.5–107.6
2065	62.349.4–76.3	89.975.6–106.9
2066	61.948.1–76.9	85.568.8–101.1
2067	6148.5–76.5	93.276.1–109.3
2068	63.248.7–78.4	93.474.5–108.8
2069	64.249.2–76	89.973.9–101.7
2070	63.750.7–77.6	87.873.3–105.8
2071	64.252.7–78.3	91.674.1–108
2072	6448.5–79.4	93.579.3–105.5
2073	65.150.8–78.8	90.477.9–104.5
2074	6449.7–78.3	89.971.1–106.9
2075	62.447.6–78.9	89.676.2–108.2
2076	64.950.8–77.9	93.875.3–106.5
2077	65.650.7–79.4	91.774.1–106.7
2078	65.349.7–81.2	93.176–110.3
2079	6652–80.4	9873.5–114.5
2080	65.749.8–79.6	9474.2–111.7
2081	65.150.9–80.5	9176.7–108.9
2082	67.452.6–80.6	98.176.1–112.6
2083	67.852.8–82.8	95.176.2–110
2084	66.251.5–82.8	95.379.6–115.5
2085	67.152.2–85.5	9678–114.8
2086	66.351.5–82.1	93.279.4–107.8
2087	6651.4–83.9	93.374.9–113.6
2088	69.850.3–84.9	99.578.1–114
2089	67.953.8–82	95.278.6–114.8
2090	69.254.5–83.3	96.476.6–113.9
2091	69.353.1–82.9	99.478.1–113.5
2092	68.752.6–80.8	96.776.4–109.2
2093	68.352.3–81.3	96.881–113
2094	68.953.1–84.9	94.677.7–111.6
2095	69.454.7–82.2	97.479.7–111.8
2096	70.752.4–85.8	97.479.5–118.2
2097	69.155.1–85	95.581.2–115.5
2098	68.752.1–83.8	98.283.3–113.8
2099	71.754.2–86.4	99.779.3–112.5
2100	67.853.9–83.5	95.578.5–115.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Morocco vs Tunisia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Morocco vs Tunisia

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