Temperature in Tunisia

Temperature in Tunisia: 18.5 °C in 1950 and 21.2 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025: 21.2 °C
Since 1950: +2.7 °C
Rank, 2025: 140 of 233; counting from the highest
Projected, 2100: 22.8 °C; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 22.8 °C in 2100, between 21.6 °C and 24.1 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 21.7 °C in 2024, the lowest 17.9 °C in 1956.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	21.2	21.2
2024	21.7	21.2
2023	21.2	21
2022	21.5	21.2
2021	21.4	20.9
2020	20.9	20.9
2019	20.5	20.9
2018	20.6	20.9
2017	20.2	20.9
2016	21	20.6
2015	20.4	20.7
2014	21	20.5
2013	20.5	20.5
2012	20.8	20.5
2011	20.1	20.5
2010	20.8	20.6
2009	20.3	20.4
2008	20.5	20.5
2007	20.4	20.4
2006	20.5	20.3
2005	20.1	20.3
2004	20.2	20.2
2003	20.6	20.2
2002	20.5	20.2
2001	20.9	20.2
2000	20.3	20.2
1999	21	20.1
1998	19.9	20
1997	20.2	19.8
1996	19.7	19.9
1995	19.8	19.7
1994	20.5	19.7
1993	19.7	19.6
1992	19.1	19.3
1991	18.9	19.9
1990	20	19.9
1989	19.9	19.7
1988	20.1	19.6
1987	20	19.5
1986	19.5	19.6
1985	19.7	19.3
1984	18.9	19.6
1983	19.5	19.4
1982	19.7	19.6
1981	19.4	19.6
1980	18.5	19.5
1979	19	19.5
1978	18.8	19.4
1977	19.6	19.3
1976	18.1	19.3
1975	18.7	19.3
1974	18.5	19.3
1973	18.9	19.4
1972	18.4	19.4
1971	18.5	19.3
1970	19	19.3
1969	18.7	19.3
1968	19.1	19.3
1967	18.9	19.4
1966	19.1	19.4
1965	18.7	19.2
1964	18.6	19.3
1963	18.7	19.4
1962	18.6	19.4
1961	18.9	19.4
1960	19.1	19.5
1959	18.5	19.6
1958	18.9	19.5
1957	18.2	19.5
1956	17.9	19.3
1955	19.3	19.6
1954	18	19.4
1953	18.2	19.5
1952	19.3	19.4
1951	18.6	19.4
1950	18.5	19.4

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Observed, ERA5	CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	21.120.5–21.9
2027	–	21.220.4–22.1
2028	–	21.220.5–22.2
2029	–	21.220.6–21.9
2030	–	2120.5–21.9
2031	–	21.220.4–21.8
2032	–	21.420.8–22.2
2033	–	21.420.5–22.2
2034	–	21.420.5–22.2
2035	–	21.520.9–22.3
2036	–	21.420.7–22.3
2037	–	21.620.8–22.1
2038	–	21.620.8–22.3
2039	–	21.520.6–22.5
2040	–	21.620.8–22.5
2041	–	21.620.8–22.1
2042	–	21.821.2–22.4
2043	–	21.620.8–22.3
2044	–	21.620.7–22.6
2045	–	21.621–22.3
2046	–	21.721–22.5
2047	–	21.720.8–22.7
2048	–	21.920.9–22.7
2049	–	21.820.8–22.7
2050	–	21.921.2–22.8
2051	–	21.720.9–22.8
2052	–	2221.1–22.8
2053	–	21.821.3–22.9
2054	–	21.921.1–23.1
2055	–	22.121.3–22.9
2056	–	21.821–23.1
2057	–	22.121.1–23.1
2058	–	22.121.5–23.3
2059	–	22.121.4–23.1
2060	–	22.121.3–23
2061	–	22.321.2–23
2062	–	22.221.3–23.6
2063	–	22.321.2–23.1
2064	–	22.221.3–22.9
2065	–	22.321.4–23.1
2066	–	22.121.6–23.2
2067	–	22.421.5–23.1
2068	–	22.521.6–23.6
2069	–	22.421.6–23.2
2070	–	22.421.4–23.3
2071	–	22.621.5–23.4
2072	–	22.621.7–23.3
2073	–	22.521.7–23.3
2074	–	22.721.5–23.4
2075	–	22.521.7–23.4
2076	–	22.521.5–23.7
2077	–	22.521.3–23.5
2078	–	22.721.8–23.5
2079	–	22.821.6–23.7
2080	–	22.621.8–23.7
2081	–	22.421.7–23.7
2082	–	22.821.6–23.6
2083	–	22.821.6–23.5
2084	–	22.821.8–23.5
2085	–	22.921.7–23.5
2086	–	22.721.9–23.9
2087	–	22.721.7–23.9
2088	–	22.921.8–24.2
2089	–	22.721.5–24
2090	–	22.821.8–24
2091	–	22.821.8–23.9
2092	–	22.921.6–23.9
2093	–	22.821.9–24.3
2094	–	22.721.9–23.8
2095	–	22.921.6–24
2096	–	22.921.9–24.2
2097	–	22.821.9–24
2098	–	22.822.2–24.2
2099	–	22.921.8–23.9
2100	–	22.821.6–24.1

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Temperature in Tunisia

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

Tunisia in numbers

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