Tunisia

Tropical nights in Tunisia

Tropical nights in Tunisia: 89.6 nights in 1950 and 110.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
110.5 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+20.9 nights
Projected, 2100
143.8 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in TunisiaTropical nights in Tunisia: 89.6 nights in 1950 and 110.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 143.8 nights in 2100, between 124.8 nights and 163.8 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 143.8 nights in 2100, between 124.8 nights and 163.8 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 110.7 nights in 2013, the lowest 84.5 nights in 1965.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearTunisia
2014110.5
2013110.7
2012110
2011108.9
2010109.6
2009106.1
2008108.6
2007106.6
2006107.6
2005105.6
2004105
2003105.5
2002103.8
2001101.8
2000104.5
1999100.1
1998100.1
1997100.1
199699.1
199595.9
199495
199391.3
199289.9
199198.2
199098.6
198994.7
198894.2
198792.7
198693.7
198590.6
198491.8
198390
198293.9
198193.3
198092.5
197993.8
197890.2
197788.3
197690.5
197588.6
197488.3
197390.5
197291
197188.8
197087.3
196990.1
196888.9
196787.6
196687.5
196584.5
196485.7
196388
196292.7
196188.3
196090.7
195992.2
195891.8
195792.3
195690
195592.7
195489.9
195389.4
195291.8
195191.6
195089.6
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearTunisia
2015110.796.9–126.1
2016111.596.6–130.1
2017116.5102.4–131.8
2018115.999.4–131.9
2019116.598.5–129.5
2020113.899.9–130.1
2021117.4104.1–129.3
2022119.7103–137.3
2023118.7102.2–131.9
2024121107.5–132.6
2025120.2100–134
2026122.1110.1–134.5
2027119103.6–134.1
2028121.1104.5–135.4
2029121.5110.2–135.8
2030121.6104–133.4
2031121.8105.7–134.9
2032125.2111.6–138.9
2033124.7107.6–137.5
2034124.6107–141.7
2035126.3115.5–142.6
2036126112.5–141.9
2037126.5110–140
2038126.2111.1–139.1
2039127112.5–142.3
2040127.5112.8–144.3
2041125.5109.1–140.4
2042129.9114.8–145.8
2043129.1111.6–142
2044127.1112.8–141.8
2045128.5113.8–140.8
2046128.3109.9–144
2047131.2113.6–147.5
2048129.9114.9–142.3
2049130115.4–143.5
2050132.3117.6–147.6
2051130.1112.6–148.6
2052132.7116.8–146.7
2053132.5119.5–149.8
2054135.2118.4–148.8
2055135.1119.2–151.6
2056134.8119.6–149.5
2057131.9118.5–148.6
2058137.8122.5–156.5
2059134.9117.1–152.5
2060136.2120.5–150.1
2061139119.4–154
2062134.9119.1–155.9
2063138.6119.2–152.5
2064134.9121.1–152.7
2065137.1123.3–150.5
2066136.6119.2–155.1
2067138.9124.4–154.3
2068141.7124.8–159.2
2069140.3123.5–154.1
2070137123.6–155.3
2071140.5123.1–156.1
2072142.6128–154.3
2073139.3124.7–154.6
2074140.1123–156.5
2075139.6124.5–157.1
2076143.4125.2–158.8
2077141.3119.1–158.3
2078143127.2–155.9
2079144.7123.9–158.5
2080143.6123.6–158.7
2081139.9126.3–158.8
2082145.5125.9–158.1
2083143.4124.3–158.7
2084144.8129.6–159.7
2085145.3124.7–159.5
2086144.7129.5–162.7
2087144125.7–159.2
2088147.3127.2–165.4
2089142.7125.3–164.8
2090145.2126.3–165.1
2091144.9127.4–164.4
2092148.2126.3–161.1
2093146.9127.2–165.6
2094145.7126.8–160.4
2095145.5125.4–161.5
2096146.3130–169.4
2097144.6125.7–160.6
2098147129.6–161.9
2099145.8130.3–163.7
2100143.8124.8–163.8

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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