叙利亚与土耳其：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：叙利亚为 89.6 夜，土耳其为 19.8 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年叙利亚的数值较高，高出 69.8 夜，是土耳其的 4.52 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

叙利亚土耳其CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，叙利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年叙利亚为 133.8 夜，土耳其为 45.5 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	叙利亚	土耳其
2014	89.6	19.8
2013	90.8	18.5
2012	91.2	18.7
2011	89.6	18.5
2010	88.1	18.7
2009	86.2	17.6
2008	87.9	18.2
2007	85	16.6
2006	87.3	17.7
2005	85.3	17.2
2004	86.7	17.1
2003	86.7	17.6
2002	84.3	16.8
2001	85.9	17.3
2000	83.2	16.4
1999	82.1	15.9
1998	80.5	14.7
1997	80.5	15
1996	78.1	14.8
1995	75.8	14.1
1994	76.7	13.5
1993	71.5	12.1
1992	71.3	11.5
1991	75.5	13.4
1990	79.3	14.6
1989	75.7	13.1
1988	76.2	12.9
1987	73	12.5
1986	76	13.3
1985	72.6	12.4
1984	69.6	11.9
1983	67.9	10.7
1982	72	12.4
1981	72	12.2
1980	75	12.4
1979	67.7	12
1978	70.2	11.5
1977	70.1	11.2
1976	73.4	12
1975	69	11.5
1974	70	11.8
1973	70.7	11.6
1972	70.1	11.5
1971	70.7	12.1
1970	70.9	11.6
1969	71.3	12
1968	68.7	12
1967	68.8	11.3
1966	68.8	11.5
1965	64.3	10.8
1964	66.4	11.2
1963	69.1	12
1962	71.5	11.8
1961	70.8	12
1960	71.7	12.9
1959	72.7	12.6
1958	72.8	13
1957	72.6	12.2
1956	72.2	12.7
1955	70.3	11.9
1954	68.9	11.9
1953	72.2	12.9
1952	70.8	12.1
1951	72.4	12.5
1950	68.9	12.3

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	叙利亚	土耳其
2015	96.981.9–110.9	22.216.2–29.8
2016	93.581.2–108.2	21.114.7–29.6
2017	9782.1–109.5	21.914.3–29.4
2018	97.785.9–111	22.916–29.9
2019	98.983.7–111.2	21.916.4–29.5
2020	98.683.7–112.6	23.617–31.6
2021	10087.1–110.7	2317.1–30.9
2022	101.684.9–113.2	23.617.3–31.6
2023	101.988.3–115.3	24.717.8–33.4
2024	102.790.7–113.8	25.418.6–34.1
2025	102.988.6–114.2	2518.1–33
2026	103.389.5–116.1	25.618.3–34.1
2027	103.886.7–116.5	24.816.9–34.8
2028	103.589.2–116.4	25.218.7–32
2029	105.694–116.3	26.219.8–34.4
2030	105.991.3–119.2	25.919.3–34.5
2031	105.190.7–116	26.419.7–35.1
2032	107.893.2–119.4	27.219.9–35.6
2033	108.796.6–119.1	28.721.4–36.9
2034	107.593.9–119	27.620.8–34.7
2035	108.596.3–118.3	28.721.7–37
2036	105.793.2–118.7	28.720.9–38.1
2037	109.294.8–121.9	29.721.3–38.6
2038	111.897.8–125.5	29.922–41.6
2039	112.398.9–128	30.923.6–40.3
2040	111.898.5–127.5	30.923.2–40.9
2041	110.799.1–124.5	30.122.2–40.5
2042	112.996.4–126.5	29.920.1–40.7
2043	113.199.7–127.3	3123.6–40.4
2044	112.599.8–128.8	30.823.1–43.5
2045	118.4105.5–131.3	32.424–43.1
2046	117.2104.7–129	32.923.5–42.8
2047	114.9100.6–129.1	32.324.1–44.9
2048	114.3101.2–130.8	34.123–45.9
2049	11499.3–128.9	31.622.1–43.2
2050	116.8104.6–132.7	33.423.8–44.2
2051	117.7105.5–129	34.125–43.1
2052	116.2103.9–128.2	33.325.3–42.6
2053	119.1105.2–131.3	35.326.6–44.2
2054	119.7102.7–135.5	34.624–44.1
2055	120.8104.3–134.2	35.425.9–47.7
2056	119.799.9–132.9	34.424.1–45.6
2057	120.6102.3–137.1	36.326–47.4
2058	120.1103.1–136.5	36.425.8–51.8
2059	123.5107.4–137.2	37.124.8–48.1
2060	119.6106.4–140.3	35.826.7–48.3
2061	122.8103.9–136.1	38.826.3–49.7
2062	121.8104.3–136.5	37.725.3–49.5
2063	122.1106.2–136.7	38.426.6–51.7
2064	124.3108.4–136.6	38.928.4–49.9
2065	123.7108.9–138.7	39.628.6–49.4
2066	122.1104.4–136.2	36.325–49.1
2067	126111.1–142.7	38.327.7–50.7
2068	126.8112.1–140.3	39.928–50.7
2069	123107.9–137.3	39.729.2–52.2
2070	126.5110.3–139.4	39.527.6–51.7
2071	126109.5–142.8	39.829.1–51.7
2072	128111.8–141.9	41.928.9–54.2
2073	127.6108–143.7	40.927.2–54.6
2074	124.2107–139.7	39.428–51.9
2075	124.7109.2–140.6	39.828.4–53.9
2076	126.6109.8–140.8	41.529.1–53.7
2077	127.5109–143.3	41.329–53.3
2078	127.2113.3–141.8	42.231.3–52.9
2079	132.9116–146.9	4430.8–56.6
2080	129111.8–144.3	43.432.5–54.9
2081	127.6112.5–145.6	42.131.7–54.6
2082	129.1111.3–143.8	43.630.9–56
2083	133.2110.3–144.1	4629.6–57.6
2084	132.2111–145.1	45.131–56.8
2085	130.9112.7–143.3	43.330.3–54.5
2086	130.9112.6–146.5	43.830.2–56.4
2087	129.6109.8–148.7	44.229.2–59
2088	132.5116.9–146.5	44.932.7–58.1
2089	130.4115.3–148.4	44.630.7–59.3
2090	128.9115–145.8	46.132.8–59.2
2091	133.4116–150.3	45.332.2–61.2
2092	131.6115.3–149	45.631.1–59.2
2093	135119.8–151	47.631.5–61.8
2094	134118–148.5	47.533.7–61.2
2095	134.3117.3–148.9	46.232.3–60.2
2096	131.5113.7–148.7	45.731.1–60.7
2097	136.2112.7–154.1	48.432.1–61
2098	131.5115.2–152.2	46.431.2–59.5
2099	132.8116–145.1	45.430.8–58
2100	133.8113.2–152.2	45.530.4–60.1

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

叙利亚与土耳其对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡土耳其：2022 年为 128 人死亡