Syria vs Türkiye: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 89.6 nights in Syria and 19.8 nights in Türkiye, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Syria, by 69.8 nights, or 4.52 times that in Türkiye.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

SyriaTürkiyeCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Syria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Syria at 133.8 nights and Türkiye at 45.5 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Syria	Türkiye
2014	89.6	19.8
2013	90.8	18.5
2012	91.2	18.7
2011	89.6	18.5
2010	88.1	18.7
2009	86.2	17.6
2008	87.9	18.2
2007	85	16.6
2006	87.3	17.7
2005	85.3	17.2
2004	86.7	17.1
2003	86.7	17.6
2002	84.3	16.8
2001	85.9	17.3
2000	83.2	16.4
1999	82.1	15.9
1998	80.5	14.7
1997	80.5	15
1996	78.1	14.8
1995	75.8	14.1
1994	76.7	13.5
1993	71.5	12.1
1992	71.3	11.5
1991	75.5	13.4
1990	79.3	14.6
1989	75.7	13.1
1988	76.2	12.9
1987	73	12.5
1986	76	13.3
1985	72.6	12.4
1984	69.6	11.9
1983	67.9	10.7
1982	72	12.4
1981	72	12.2
1980	75	12.4
1979	67.7	12
1978	70.2	11.5
1977	70.1	11.2
1976	73.4	12
1975	69	11.5
1974	70	11.8
1973	70.7	11.6
1972	70.1	11.5
1971	70.7	12.1
1970	70.9	11.6
1969	71.3	12
1968	68.7	12
1967	68.8	11.3
1966	68.8	11.5
1965	64.3	10.8
1964	66.4	11.2
1963	69.1	12
1962	71.5	11.8
1961	70.8	12
1960	71.7	12.9
1959	72.7	12.6
1958	72.8	13
1957	72.6	12.2
1956	72.2	12.7
1955	70.3	11.9
1954	68.9	11.9
1953	72.2	12.9
1952	70.8	12.1
1951	72.4	12.5
1950	68.9	12.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Syria	Türkiye
2015	96.981.9–110.9	22.216.2–29.8
2016	93.581.2–108.2	21.114.7–29.6
2017	9782.1–109.5	21.914.3–29.4
2018	97.785.9–111	22.916–29.9
2019	98.983.7–111.2	21.916.4–29.5
2020	98.683.7–112.6	23.617–31.6
2021	10087.1–110.7	2317.1–30.9
2022	101.684.9–113.2	23.617.3–31.6
2023	101.988.3–115.3	24.717.8–33.4
2024	102.790.7–113.8	25.418.6–34.1
2025	102.988.6–114.2	2518.1–33
2026	103.389.5–116.1	25.618.3–34.1
2027	103.886.7–116.5	24.816.9–34.8
2028	103.589.2–116.4	25.218.7–32
2029	105.694–116.3	26.219.8–34.4
2030	105.991.3–119.2	25.919.3–34.5
2031	105.190.7–116	26.419.7–35.1
2032	107.893.2–119.4	27.219.9–35.6
2033	108.796.6–119.1	28.721.4–36.9
2034	107.593.9–119	27.620.8–34.7
2035	108.596.3–118.3	28.721.7–37
2036	105.793.2–118.7	28.720.9–38.1
2037	109.294.8–121.9	29.721.3–38.6
2038	111.897.8–125.5	29.922–41.6
2039	112.398.9–128	30.923.6–40.3
2040	111.898.5–127.5	30.923.2–40.9
2041	110.799.1–124.5	30.122.2–40.5
2042	112.996.4–126.5	29.920.1–40.7
2043	113.199.7–127.3	3123.6–40.4
2044	112.599.8–128.8	30.823.1–43.5
2045	118.4105.5–131.3	32.424–43.1
2046	117.2104.7–129	32.923.5–42.8
2047	114.9100.6–129.1	32.324.1–44.9
2048	114.3101.2–130.8	34.123–45.9
2049	11499.3–128.9	31.622.1–43.2
2050	116.8104.6–132.7	33.423.8–44.2
2051	117.7105.5–129	34.125–43.1
2052	116.2103.9–128.2	33.325.3–42.6
2053	119.1105.2–131.3	35.326.6–44.2
2054	119.7102.7–135.5	34.624–44.1
2055	120.8104.3–134.2	35.425.9–47.7
2056	119.799.9–132.9	34.424.1–45.6
2057	120.6102.3–137.1	36.326–47.4
2058	120.1103.1–136.5	36.425.8–51.8
2059	123.5107.4–137.2	37.124.8–48.1
2060	119.6106.4–140.3	35.826.7–48.3
2061	122.8103.9–136.1	38.826.3–49.7
2062	121.8104.3–136.5	37.725.3–49.5
2063	122.1106.2–136.7	38.426.6–51.7
2064	124.3108.4–136.6	38.928.4–49.9
2065	123.7108.9–138.7	39.628.6–49.4
2066	122.1104.4–136.2	36.325–49.1
2067	126111.1–142.7	38.327.7–50.7
2068	126.8112.1–140.3	39.928–50.7
2069	123107.9–137.3	39.729.2–52.2
2070	126.5110.3–139.4	39.527.6–51.7
2071	126109.5–142.8	39.829.1–51.7
2072	128111.8–141.9	41.928.9–54.2
2073	127.6108–143.7	40.927.2–54.6
2074	124.2107–139.7	39.428–51.9
2075	124.7109.2–140.6	39.828.4–53.9
2076	126.6109.8–140.8	41.529.1–53.7
2077	127.5109–143.3	41.329–53.3
2078	127.2113.3–141.8	42.231.3–52.9
2079	132.9116–146.9	4430.8–56.6
2080	129111.8–144.3	43.432.5–54.9
2081	127.6112.5–145.6	42.131.7–54.6
2082	129.1111.3–143.8	43.630.9–56
2083	133.2110.3–144.1	4629.6–57.6
2084	132.2111–145.1	45.131–56.8
2085	130.9112.7–143.3	43.330.3–54.5
2086	130.9112.6–146.5	43.830.2–56.4
2087	129.6109.8–148.7	44.229.2–59
2088	132.5116.9–146.5	44.932.7–58.1
2089	130.4115.3–148.4	44.630.7–59.3
2090	128.9115–145.8	46.132.8–59.2
2091	133.4116–150.3	45.332.2–61.2
2092	131.6115.3–149	45.631.1–59.2
2093	135119.8–151	47.631.5–61.8
2094	134118–148.5	47.533.7–61.2
2095	134.3117.3–148.9	46.232.3–60.2
2096	131.5113.7–148.7	45.731.1–60.7
2097	136.2112.7–154.1	48.432.1–61
2098	131.5115.2–152.2	46.431.2–59.5
2099	132.8116–145.1	45.430.8–58
2100	133.8113.2–152.2	45.530.4–60.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Syria vs Türkiye: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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