Tropical nights in Türkiye

Tropical nights in Türkiye: 12.3 nights in 1950 and 19.8 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 19.8 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +7.6 nights
Projected, 2100: 45.5 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 45.5 nights in 2100, between 30.4 nights and 60.1 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 19.8 nights in 2014, the lowest 10.7 nights in 1983.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Türkiye
2014	19.8
2013	18.5
2012	18.7
2011	18.5
2010	18.7
2009	17.6
2008	18.2
2007	16.6
2006	17.7
2005	17.2
2004	17.1
2003	17.6
2002	16.8
2001	17.3
2000	16.4
1999	15.9
1998	14.7
1997	15
1996	14.8
1995	14.1
1994	13.5
1993	12.1
1992	11.5
1991	13.4
1990	14.6
1989	13.1
1988	12.9
1987	12.5
1986	13.3
1985	12.4
1984	11.9
1983	10.7
1982	12.4
1981	12.2
1980	12.4
1979	12
1978	11.5
1977	11.2
1976	12
1975	11.5
1974	11.8
1973	11.6
1972	11.5
1971	12.1
1970	11.6
1969	12
1968	12
1967	11.3
1966	11.5
1965	10.8
1964	11.2
1963	12
1962	11.8
1961	12
1960	12.9
1959	12.6
1958	13
1957	12.2
1956	12.7
1955	11.9
1954	11.9
1953	12.9
1952	12.1
1951	12.5
1950	12.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Türkiye
2015	22.216.2–29.8
2016	21.114.7–29.6
2017	21.914.3–29.4
2018	22.916–29.9
2019	21.916.4–29.5
2020	23.617–31.6
2021	2317.1–30.9
2022	23.617.3–31.6
2023	24.717.8–33.4
2024	25.418.6–34.1
2025	2518.1–33
2026	25.618.3–34.1
2027	24.816.9–34.8
2028	25.218.7–32
2029	26.219.8–34.4
2030	25.919.3–34.5
2031	26.419.7–35.1
2032	27.219.9–35.6
2033	28.721.4–36.9
2034	27.620.8–34.7
2035	28.721.7–37
2036	28.720.9–38.1
2037	29.721.3–38.6
2038	29.922–41.6
2039	30.923.6–40.3
2040	30.923.2–40.9
2041	30.122.2–40.5
2042	29.920.1–40.7
2043	3123.6–40.4
2044	30.823.1–43.5
2045	32.424–43.1
2046	32.923.5–42.8
2047	32.324.1–44.9
2048	34.123–45.9
2049	31.622.1–43.2
2050	33.423.8–44.2
2051	34.125–43.1
2052	33.325.3–42.6
2053	35.326.6–44.2
2054	34.624–44.1
2055	35.425.9–47.7
2056	34.424.1–45.6
2057	36.326–47.4
2058	36.425.8–51.8
2059	37.124.8–48.1
2060	35.826.7–48.3
2061	38.826.3–49.7
2062	37.725.3–49.5
2063	38.426.6–51.7
2064	38.928.4–49.9
2065	39.628.6–49.4
2066	36.325–49.1
2067	38.327.7–50.7
2068	39.928–50.7
2069	39.729.2–52.2
2070	39.527.6–51.7
2071	39.829.1–51.7
2072	41.928.9–54.2
2073	40.927.2–54.6
2074	39.428–51.9
2075	39.828.4–53.9
2076	41.529.1–53.7
2077	41.329–53.3
2078	42.231.3–52.9
2079	4430.8–56.6
2080	43.432.5–54.9
2081	42.131.7–54.6
2082	43.630.9–56
2083	4629.6–57.6
2084	45.131–56.8
2085	43.330.3–54.5
2086	43.830.2–56.4
2087	44.229.2–59
2088	44.932.7–58.1
2089	44.630.7–59.3
2090	46.132.8–59.2
2091	45.332.2–61.2
2092	45.631.1–59.2
2093	47.631.5–61.8
2094	47.533.7–61.2
2095	46.232.3–60.2
2096	45.731.1–60.7
2097	48.432.1–61
2098	46.431.2–59.5
2099	45.430.8–58
2100	45.530.4–60.1

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tropical nights in Türkiye

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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