坦桑尼亚与乌干达：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：坦桑尼亚为 106.3 夜，乌干达为 124.7 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年乌干达的数值较高，高出 18.4 夜，是坦桑尼亚的 1.17 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

坦桑尼亚乌干达CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，乌干达的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年坦桑尼亚为 208 夜，乌干达为 245.3 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	坦桑尼亚	乌干达
2014	106.3	124.7
2013	105.5	124
2012	108.4	122.2
2011	109	125.7
2010	103.9	122.5
2009	101.1	114.8
2008	100.3	114.1
2007	99.5	111.2
2006	100.4	117.4
2005	98.7	113.8
2004	100.4	114.6
2003	99.6	114.4
2002	98.4	114.4
2001	101.5	117.1
2000	94.9	109
1999	94.2	105.5
1998	96.8	105
1997	93.5	106.1
1996	89.6	102.1
1995	88.5	99.9
1994	85.4	94.6
1993	81.2	90.8
1992	80.1	89.9
1991	89.6	102.1
1990	91.1	103.8
1989	89.1	99.1
1988	87.6	98.6
1987	88.5	98.3
1986	89.4	99.2
1985	83	92.1
1984	83.1	94.6
1983	82.1	90.4
1982	84.8	94.4
1981	88	98.5
1980	85	96.3
1979	85.5	93.9
1978	82.9	91
1977	84.1	95.1
1976	81	92
1975	80.8	89.6
1974	82.2	91.8
1973	83.6	92.8
1972	81.4	90
1971	80.7	87.1
1970	81.8	88.8
1969	79.5	88
1968	79.1	87.3
1967	77.5	82.3
1966	78.1	82.5
1965	78	82.2
1964	73.8	78.2
1963	73.1	80.3
1962	81.1	88.5
1961	82.6	90.7
1960	83.9	93.2
1959	81.4	91.3
1958	82.1	88.7
1957	80.9	90.1
1956	80	88.8
1955	81.6	89
1954	81.4	89.5
1953	80.6	89
1952	81.4	89.6
1951	82.1	91.1
1950	80.7	87.7

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	坦桑尼亚	乌干达
2015	114.895.2–137.4	131.598.6–164.1
2016	108.391.6–125.6	12398.5–154.1
2017	114.893.6–137.8	133.7108.6–162.7
2018	116.497.4–137.1	134.2102.5–164
2019	113.495.2–133.2	131.3104.8–166.2
2020	119.396.2–143.5	140.7102.6–171.5
2021	119.5100.9–147.1	137.9112.9–175.4
2022	124.4105.3–147.4	140116.2–169.9
2023	122.1102.1–147.8	140.4114.2–184.8
2024	126.2100–150.1	151.1113.5–186.7
2025	124.6100.9–154	143108.5–176.4
2026	126.999.1–155.6	144.6109.7–179.6
2027	128102.9–147.7	147.6116–175.4
2028	129.9106.4–152.1	151.6120.2–179.6
2029	134.1111–156.5	155.2127.3–178.6
2030	129.4106.4–151.1	150.4117.6–185.1
2031	136.4115.9–158.4	161.6132–187.2
2032	135.1114–166.8	159.1134.2–190.5
2033	135.2110.9–161.9	158.9123.4–200.6
2034	134.7112.5–166.3	161.5135.6–202.5
2035	140.2114.6–165	164.9126.3–193
2036	137.8113.3–165.5	158.5127.7–195.4
2037	142.9121.5–168.9	168.3138.2–207.3
2038	147.9124.3–169.3	173.8139.7–206.2
2039	144.3117.6–171.3	171.2130.1–205
2040	140.5117–178	170.4134.1–207.4
2041	149.1121.7–175.6	176.3144.6–208
2042	146.3120.5–185.3	175137.8–214.3
2043	144.6117–173	173.6132.8–207.6
2044	147.7121.2–175.8	176.1136.8–206.9
2045	150.1125.2–183.4	178.9138.3–217.7
2046	161.5128.6–192.2	191.9136.6–235
2047	160.2129.7–194.4	187.7156.6–225.3
2048	158.8132.7–193.1	189.3151.5–227.4
2049	157.6131.1–196	195.1154.9–233.6
2050	159.7127.8–192	191150.7–236.4
2051	163.2135.5–197.8	191.2154.4–228.2
2052	161.9136.2–199.1	192.6157.7–231.7
2053	160.6127.5–197.7	194.5149.7–233.5
2054	163.2131.5–200.2	199156.3–236.8
2055	167.4137–208.3	201.3151.7–240.7
2056	166.4130.8–209.7	198.9156.9–240.2
2057	168134.6–208.3	200165.5–244.7
2058	168.7134.9–210.3	208.8156.5–248.3
2059	174.7144.9–219.5	212.7171.1–254
2060	181.7138.1–219.8	212.6160.3–253.1
2061	171.8135.5–218.1	208.9162.4–258.1
2062	177.5139.9–224	206.4159.1–267.6
2063	181.4140.1–213.8	209.3168.5–246.3
2064	185.3140.1–215.2	210.6166.2–253.8
2065	183.5141.1–221.8	214.5167.8–261.1
2066	181.9146.3–219.3	211.9171.8–256.1
2067	178.8138.8–229.2	208.4168.3–269.8
2068	186144.2–228.4	216.4169.7–268.7
2069	183.7141.7–225.3	213170.3–268.1
2070	180.7140.4–228.2	216.4176.4–270.9
2071	184.9146.9–235.2	215.5174.6–273.5
2072	191.3155–226.1	227.3184.1–272.3
2073	191.6152.4–235.6	230.4189.3–278.5
2074	183.3149.7–231.7	220.7176.9–277
2075	183.8144.8–233	217.7167–274.2
2076	191.1150.9–233.2	228.1178.9–279
2077	191.3152.6–238.2	229.5189.6–280.5
2078	189156.6–233.8	225.6187.8–276.4
2079	190.5147–237.3	231.9168.8–277.7
2080	197.3150.7–241.2	232.8182.6–283.1
2081	195.6153.4–237.4	227.9187.6–279.3
2082	194.5157.3–237.3	233.1185.6–279.4
2083	193.2151–249.8	232.2175.7–297
2084	201.1152.2–246.7	237.2185.5–288.8
2085	204.2162.3–252.3	239.5192.4–291.7
2086	195156–248.7	236.2189.8–289.4
2087	196.7160.8–244.5	239.4188.9–294
2088	208.4154.7–246.9	236.8193.6–288.9
2089	201.3158.6–248.2	238.8193.8–293.7
2090	197.9160.7–253.6	237.7190.1–301.5
2091	210161.6–256	251188.7–300.1
2092	205.8158.3–253.6	243.4194.9–297.8
2093	207.2161.2–251.9	244.4199.2–296.8
2094	207.9161.3–250.6	245.6202.9–299.8
2095	214.2166.4–258.5	253.2202.4–306.1
2096	205.3159.8–257.4	241.4196.5–304
2097	206.6158.4–256.8	243.1194–296.6
2098	209.1161–258.3	242.9199–302.3
2099	208.5160.1–256	247.3194.4–306.1
2100	208158.6–258.6	245.3195.5–307.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

坦桑尼亚与乌干达对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数坦桑尼亚：2022 年为 1 人死亡乌干达：2022 年为 147 人死亡