爱沙尼亚
爱沙尼亚的温度
爱沙尼亚的温度:1950 年为 5.3 °C,2025 年为 7.8 °C(据 ERA5 观测)。
- 最新值,2025 年
- 7.8 °C
- 自 1950 年以来
- +2.5 °C
- 排名,2025 年
- 第 217 / 233
- 从高到低排列
- 预测值,2100 年
- 9.1 °C
- CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径)
°C · ERA5
数据解读
- 根据CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径),2100 年为 9.1 °C,介于 7.5 °C 至 10.4 °C 之间(模型第 10–90 百分位)。
- 最高为 2020 年的 8.3 °C,最低为 1956 年的 3.5 °C。
逐年数据
°C · ERA5
| 年份 | ERA5 观测值 | CMIP6 历史模拟,模型中位数 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.8 | 6.8 |
| 2024 | 8 | 6.4 |
| 2023 | 7.1 | 6.6 |
| 2022 | 7 | 7.3 |
| 2021 | 6.5 | 7 |
| 2020 | 8.3 | 6.7 |
| 2019 | 7.4 | 6.5 |
| 2018 | 7.1 | 6.3 |
| 2017 | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| 2016 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| 2015 | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| 2014 | 6.9 | 6.7 |
| 2013 | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| 2012 | 5.4 | 6.2 |
| 2011 | 7 | 6.1 |
| 2010 | 5 | 6.4 |
| 2009 | 6 | 6.1 |
| 2008 | 7.3 | 6.5 |
| 2007 | 6.9 | 6 |
| 2006 | 6.7 | 6.3 |
| 2005 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| 2004 | 6 | 6 |
| 2003 | 5.9 | 6.1 |
| 2002 | 6.4 | 5.8 |
| 2001 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| 2000 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 1999 | 6.6 | 5.7 |
| 1998 | 5.5 | 6 |
| 1997 | 6 | 5.5 |
| 1996 | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| 1995 | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| 1994 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| 1993 | 5.2 | 5 |
| 1992 | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| 1991 | 6.4 | 5.3 |
| 1990 | 6.9 | 5.8 |
| 1989 | 7.4 | 5.5 |
| 1988 | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| 1987 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| 1986 | 5.2 | 5.5 |
| 1985 | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| 1984 | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| 1983 | 6.4 | 4.9 |
| 1982 | 5.7 | 4.9 |
| 1981 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| 1980 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| 1979 | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| 1978 | 3.9 | 5.1 |
| 1977 | 4.8 | 5 |
| 1976 | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| 1975 | 7 | 4.9 |
| 1974 | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| 1973 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| 1972 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| 1971 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| 1970 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| 1969 | 3.7 | 4.6 |
| 1968 | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| 1967 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| 1966 | 4.1 | 5 |
| 1965 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 1964 | 5.1 | 5 |
| 1963 | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| 1962 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| 1961 | 6.5 | 4.8 |
| 1960 | 4.8 | 5 |
| 1959 | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| 1958 | 4.3 | 5 |
| 1957 | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| 1956 | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| 1955 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| 1954 | 5 | 4.8 |
| 1953 | 5.6 | 4.9 |
| 1952 | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| 1951 | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| 1950 | 5.3 | 5.1 |
- 12.3预测值
CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径) · 2026–2100
| 年份 | ERA5 观测值 | CMIP6 历史模拟,模型中位数 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | – | 76.2–8.4 |
| 2027 | – | 75.8–8.4 |
| 2028 | – | 7.36.1–8.7 |
| 2029 | – | 7.26.1–8.8 |
| 2030 | – | 7.46–8.5 |
| 2031 | – | 7.25.6–8.3 |
| 2032 | – | 7.66–8.6 |
| 2033 | – | 7.46.6–9 |
| 2034 | – | 7.26.6–8.7 |
| 2035 | – | 7.46.2–8.8 |
| 2036 | – | 7.86–9.2 |
| 2037 | – | 7.36.2–8.8 |
| 2038 | – | 7.35.8–9.2 |
| 2039 | – | 7.36–8.8 |
| 2040 | – | 7.96.4–9 |
| 2041 | – | 7.76.1–8.9 |
| 2042 | – | 7.46.1–9.4 |
| 2043 | – | 86.6–9.6 |
| 2044 | – | 7.15.6–9.5 |
| 2045 | – | 7.85.8–9.4 |
| 2046 | – | 7.26.4–9.2 |
| 2047 | – | 86.6–9.6 |
| 2048 | – | 8.47–9.5 |
| 2049 | – | 86.3–9.7 |
| 2050 | – | 86.9–9.6 |
| 2051 | – | 86.5–9.7 |
| 2052 | – | 7.96.5–9.6 |
| 2053 | – | 8.16.7–9.6 |
| 2054 | – | 7.76.6–9.3 |
| 2055 | – | 7.86.3–9.4 |
| 2056 | – | 8.27–9.9 |
| 2057 | – | 8.16.8–9.5 |
| 2058 | – | 8.76.9–10.1 |
| 2059 | – | 8.17.2–10.2 |
| 2060 | – | 8.27.1–9.8 |
| 2061 | – | 8.47.1–9.5 |
| 2062 | – | 8.66.6–10.3 |
| 2063 | – | 8.37–10.2 |
| 2064 | – | 8.56.7–9.5 |
| 2065 | – | 8.56.5–9.7 |
| 2066 | – | 8.56.8–9.7 |
| 2067 | – | 87.2–10 |
| 2068 | – | 8.36.9–10.2 |
| 2069 | – | 8.86.7–10.4 |
| 2070 | – | 8.76.5–9.9 |
| 2071 | – | 8.46.5–10.6 |
| 2072 | – | 8.67–9.8 |
| 2073 | – | 8.46.6–9.9 |
| 2074 | – | 8.77.4–9.9 |
| 2075 | – | 8.16.9–9.8 |
| 2076 | – | 8.87.1–10.4 |
| 2077 | – | 8.87.4–10.2 |
| 2078 | – | 8.67.1–10.2 |
| 2079 | – | 8.86.7–10.5 |
| 2080 | – | 8.76.7–10.2 |
| 2081 | – | 8.76.9–10.3 |
| 2082 | – | 8.96.6–10.9 |
| 2083 | – | 8.46.7–10.9 |
| 2084 | – | 8.67–10.3 |
| 2085 | – | 8.66.7–10.6 |
| 2086 | – | 9.17.5–10.6 |
| 2087 | – | 97–11.1 |
| 2088 | – | 8.87.1–10.6 |
| 2089 | – | 8.87.3–10 |
| 2090 | – | 8.86.8–10.1 |
| 2091 | – | 9.16.5–10.7 |
| 2092 | – | 9.37.5–10.7 |
| 2093 | – | 9.27.6–10.9 |
| 2094 | – | 8.96.9–10.7 |
| 2095 | – | 9.37.6–10.8 |
| 2096 | – | 8.86.9–10.4 |
| 2097 | – | 8.97.8–11 |
| 2098 | – | 9.17–10.8 |
| 2099 | – | 97.4–10.9 |
| 2100 | – | 9.17.5–10.4 |
须知
- 全国范围、全年平均的近地面气温。
- 来源:ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal。
- 虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数(SSP2-4.5,中间路径),是一种情景而非预报;阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
- 气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数:2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟,此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟;它们并非实测数据。
- 排名基于 2025 年有数值的 233 个国家,从高到低排列。
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