Tobolsk
Northern lights in Tobolsk
Tobolsk is at 55° magnetic latitude, short of the auroral oval: the aurora shows low in the northern sky on active nights, and overhead only in storms.
Right now · as of
NOAA’s model gives under 5% overhead in Tobolsk right now, and no more than 9% within 500 km: little chance of seeing it.
It is dark until 05:49.
NOAA SWPC’s OVATION nowcast for . It ignores cloud and moonlight.
Tobolsk and the auroral oval
- Tobolsk is at 55.2° magnetic latitude (IGRF-14 at 2026.8). The aurora circles the magnetic poles, so this says more about how often it is seen here than the latitude on a map does.
- By a rough rule of thumb, the aurora reaches this far when the Kp index is 6 or more.
Good to know
- NOAA’s model ignores cloud and moonlight: a high chance under cloud means nothing to see.
- It looks about 30 minutes ahead, so it says nothing about later tonight.
- Dark here means the sun at least 12° below the horizon; in twilight only a bright aurora shows.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Aurora forecast, Live clouds, Day and night, live