Belarus vs Poland: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.2 nights in Belarus and 0.4 nights in Poland, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Poland, by 0.2 nights, or 1.91 times that in Belarus.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BelarusPolandCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Poland has been higher since 1999.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belarus at 5.7 nights and Poland at 7.9 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Belarus	Poland
2014	0.2	0.4
2013	0	0.2
2012	0.1	0.2
2011	0	0.2
2010	0.1	0.4
2009	0	0.2
2008	0.1	0.1
2007	0	0.1
2006	0	0.2
2005	0.1	0.2
2004	0	0.4
2003	0	0.1
2002	0	0
2001	0	0.2
2000	0	0.1
1999	0	0.1
1998	0	0
1997	0	0
1996	0	0.1
1995	0	0.1
1994	0	0
1993	0	0
1992	0	0
1991	0	0
1990	0	0
1989	0	0
1988	0	0
1987	0	0
1986	0	0
1985	0	0
1984	0	0
1983	0	0
1982	0	0
1981	0	0
1980	0	0
1979	0	0
1978	0	0.1
1977	0	0
1976	0	0
1975	0	0
1974	0	0
1973	0	0
1972	0	0
1971	0	0
1970	0	0
1969	0	0
1968	0	0
1967	0	0
1966	0	0
1965	0	0
1964	0	0
1963	0	0
1962	0	0
1961	0	0
1960	0	0
1959	0	0
1958	0	0
1957	0	0
1956	0	0
1955	0	0
1954	0	0
1953	0	0
1952	0	0
1951	0	0
1950	0	0

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Belarus	Poland
2015	0.20–2.7	0.40–3.3
2016	0.60–4.5	0.60–4.2
2017	0.20–2.2	0.70–3.4
2018	0.40–2.9	0.40–3.8
2019	0.10–2.5	0.60–3.5
2020	0.30–2.6	0.90–4.5
2021	0.20–2.8	0.60–4.4
2022	0.50–5.3	10–5.4
2023	0.70–5.3	0.80–5.2
2024	0.30–3.4	0.90–4.7
2025	0.80–8.7	1.20–8.4
2026	0.50–4.7	1.20–6.2
2027	0.40–3	1.10–4.1
2028	0.40–4.6	1.20–5
2029	0.90–4.9	1.40–7.7
2030	0.40–3.5	10–5.9
2031	0.40–4.6	0.70–4.8
2032	1.20–7.6	1.20–8.4
2033	0.90–5.7	1.40–6
2034	0.60–5.5	1.70–6.8
2035	0.90–5.8	1.40–6.7
2036	0.90–5.4	2.40–8.9
2037	1.80–7.3	20–8.4
2038	0.70–7.4	1.40–8.4
2039	2.10.1–8.5	3.30–9.4
2040	1.40–5.4	2.20–6.7
2041	1.60–8.5	2.10.1–7.6
2042	10–8.2	2.40.1–8.6
2043	20–10.8	2.70–9.9
2044	2.20–9.8	3.30.1–10.7
2045	20–9.2	2.40–7.8
2046	1.80.1–8.1	2.80.2–11.4
2047	2.90–12.3	4.30.2–11.6
2048	2.20–12.6	4.20.1–13.2
2049	2.70–11.6	4.40–11
2050	2.70.1–12.3	2.70.1–11.2
2051	2.50–9.6	2.10–11.6
2052	1.90.2–7.7	30.3–10.9
2053	1.50–6.5	2.70–8.2
2054	2.30–6.6	2.70.2–8.7
2055	1.70–12.1	2.40.1–12.2
2056	2.50.2–8.4	3.50.2–11.8
2057	2.60.1–10	3.20.3–13.1
2058	3.80.2–14.5	4.40.3–13.8
2059	2.70.1–13	3.40.2–15.2
2060	2.40–10.9	3.90.2–10.8
2061	3.80–13.5	5.40.6–12.4
2062	2.30.1–10.9	3.30.4–14.5
2063	3.40.1–15.7	4.90.3–15.7
2064	3.50.1–10.7	4.60.4–12.5
2065	4.40.3–13.5	5.30.4–16.1
2066	4.60.1–15.4	5.60.7–14
2067	2.70–9.6	4.10.2–13.6
2068	2.50–18.1	3.80.2–13.6
2069	4.30.3–16.7	5.50.5–16.8
2070	4.50–19.4	4.50.2–17.2
2071	3.40.3–16.8	3.80.3–16
2072	4.70.7–13.3	51.1–12.6
2073	4.70.4–15.9	5.31.3–17.1
2074	4.20.7–14.3	4.50.8–17.1
2075	4.10–17.1	6.20.4–18.6
2076	4.60.4–14.7	50.5–19.1
2077	3.70.2–15.4	4.60.3–18.1
2078	5.40.6–15.7	6.81–18.1
2079	6.10–25.6	6.80.5–25.3
2080	50.6–16.9	6.31.5–15.6
2081	5.70.9–20.1	5.51–20.5
2082	5.80.2–27.9	7.70.8–26.5
2083	5.30.1–14.8	60.4–17.4
2084	60.5–15.4	6.20.5–16.8
2085	5.30.1–15.1	6.40.7–19.1
2086	50.5–26.8	7.70.6–24.6
2087	6.20.7–22.2	7.60.7–25.8
2088	6.40.8–18.5	7.11.6–20.5
2089	3.20.1–19.1	7.20.5–21.9
2090	5.40.3–21.8	5.40.5–25.2
2091	9.90.1–23.6	10.30.6–23.7
2092	7.81.1–18.9	9.21.5–20
2093	6.20.5–24	6.20.6–20.8
2094	6.40.1–16.8	9.20.8–18.4
2095	71.4–18.9	91.3–20.5
2096	6.40.7–16.1	6.80.9–17.5
2097	5.50.1–19.2	6.40.3–19.6
2098	7.41.1–16.3	8.41.8–20.1
2099	4.50.4–16.4	6.10.8–17.6
2100	5.70.6–14.7	7.91.2–18.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Belarus vs Poland: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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