Belarus vs Russia

Belarus vs Russia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.6 °C in Belarus and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Belarus, by 10.8 °C.

°C · ERA5

Belarus vs Russia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 8.6 °C in Belarus and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Belarus, by 10.8 °C.
BelarusRussiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Belarus has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Belarus ranked 208 and Russia ranked 231 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belarus at 9.9 °C and Russia at 0.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearBelarusBelarus: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20258.67.8-2.3-2.7
20249.57.6-2.2-2.8
20238.87.5-2.5-2.9
20227.98.3-2.5-2.7
20217.48-3.4-2.9
20209.18-1.2-2.9
20198.97.3-2.5-2.9
201887.5-3.1-3
20177.77.2-2.5-3.2
20167.87.4-2.8-3.1
20158.77.6-2.6-3
20147.87.5-3.4-3
20137.67.5-3.2-3
20126.97.2-3.4-3.3
20117.66.9-2.8-3.5
20107.17.5-4-3.4
20097.27.2-4.1-3.4
20088.17.3-2.8-3.2
200787.1-2.4-3.4
200677.2-4.1-3.5
20056.97.3-2.9-3.4
20046.86.7-4-3.8
20036.77.1-3.3-3.5
20027.76.9-3.7-3.7
20017.26.9-4-3.7
20007.97-4.2-3.8
19997.86.7-4.3-4
19986.56.9-4.8-4
19976.46.8-3.9-4.3
19965.77-4.4-4.1
19957.16.4-2.7-4.3
19946.86.3-4.4-4.6
199366.1-4.1-4.6
19927.15.6-4.4-4.7
19916.86.1-3.7-4.3
19907.76.6-3.5-4.2
19898.26.4-3.5-4.2
19886.46.2-3.8-4.3
19874.36.2-5.8-4.7
198666.2-4.3-4.5
19854.76.2-5-4.4
19846.35.9-4.8-5.1
19837.55.8-3.4-5.1
19826.65.7-4.6-4.7
19816.65.7-3.6-4.9
19804.96-4.9-4.8
19795.96-5.3-4.7
19785.25.9-4.8-4.6
197765.9-5-4.7
19764.85.8-5.4-5.1
19757.95.8-3.6-4.9
19746.76.3-5.1-4.8
19736.15.8-4.3-5.1
19726.65.6-5.2-5
19716.45.8-4.4-5.1
19705.75.3-5-5.1
19694.55.6-6.2-5.1
19685.65.9-5.1-4.8
19676.75.7-3.8-5
19666.75.8-5.7-5.1
196555.9-5.3-5.3
19645.86-5.2-4.9
19635.35.9-4.5-5
19625.85.6-3.9-5
19616.96-4.4-4.8
19606.46-5.4-4.9
19596.65.7-4.2-4.8
19585.96-5.5-4.9
19576.65.5-4.6-5.1
19564.26-5.2-4.8
19555.75.9-5-4.7
19545.55.7-4.7-4.8
19535.86.1-4.1-4.9
19525.46.1-5.6-4.9
19516.35.6-4.4-5
19506.26.2-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearBelarusBelarus: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–8.27.3–8.8–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–8.16.9–9.1–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–8.16.8–9.4–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–8.37–9.3–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–8.46.7–9.2–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–7.96.3–9.7–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–8.37.2–9.4–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–8.17.5–9.9–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–8.27.2–9.5–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–8.47.1–9.8–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–8.57.1–10–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–8.27–9.7–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–8.46.9–10.2–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–8.47.6–9.7–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–8.77.6–9.8–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–8.77.3–9.6–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–8.47.1–10–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–97.1–10.1–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–8.36.3–10.3–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–8.56.9–10.3–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–8.47–10–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–9.17.1–10.4–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–9.27.7–10.2–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–8.97.5–10.1–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–97.8–10.2–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–8.77.6–10.6–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–8.97.5–10.6–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–9.27.5–10.4–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–8.87.4–10.3–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–8.67.2–10.5–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–97.9–10.8–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–8.97.9–10.5–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–9.67.8–10.9–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–9.18–11–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–97.8–10.6–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–9.27.6–10.3–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–9.57.8–10.9–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–9.37.5–11.1–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–9.47.9–10.3–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–9.47.6–10.9–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–9.37.9–10.8–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–9.38–10.8–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–97.5–11–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–9.58.1–11.3–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–9.47.3–10.5–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–9.77.6–11.1–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–9.88.3–10.7–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–9.17.7–11–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–9.48.4–10.7–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–97.8–10.8–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–9.67.8–11.4–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–9.58.6–10.9–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–9.48.3–10.8–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–9.48–11.5–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–9.68–11–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–9.58.1–11–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–9.67.9–11.7–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–9.27.9–11.6–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–9.47.7–11.3–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–9.47.8–11.3–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–9.88.2–12–-0-2–2.2
2087–9.98.3–11.6–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–9.98–11.3–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–9.87.8–11.2–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–9.87.6–11.3–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–107.8–11.7–0.2-1.8–2
2092–10.38.2–11.6–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–9.98.4–11.7–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–9.88.5–11.9–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–10.18.4–11.4–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–9.97.8–11.6–0.2-2–2.3
2097–9.98.5–12.5–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–9.87.9–11.5–0-1.9–2.3
2099–108.2–11.8–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–9.98.5–11.3–0.1-1.7–2.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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