Russia

Temperature in Russia

Temperature in Russia: -4.9 °C in 1950 and -2.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
-2.3 °C
Since 1950
+2.7 °C
Rank, 2025
231 of 233
counting from the highest
Projected, 2100
0.1 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

°C · ERA5

Temperature in RussiaTemperature in Russia: -4.9 °C in 1950 and -2.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 0.1 °C in 2100, between -1.7 °C and 2.3 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 0.1 °C in 2100, between -1.7 °C and 2.3 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was -1.2 °C in 2020, the lowest -6.2 °C in 1969.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.3-2.7
2024-2.2-2.8
2023-2.5-2.9
2022-2.5-2.7
2021-3.4-2.9
2020-1.2-2.9
2019-2.5-2.9
2018-3.1-3
2017-2.5-3.2
2016-2.8-3.1
2015-2.6-3
2014-3.4-3
2013-3.2-3
2012-3.4-3.3
2011-2.8-3.5
2010-4-3.4
2009-4.1-3.4
2008-2.8-3.2
2007-2.4-3.4
2006-4.1-3.5
2005-2.9-3.4
2004-4-3.8
2003-3.3-3.5
2002-3.7-3.7
2001-4-3.7
2000-4.2-3.8
1999-4.3-4
1998-4.8-4
1997-3.9-4.3
1996-4.4-4.1
1995-2.7-4.3
1994-4.4-4.6
1993-4.1-4.6
1992-4.4-4.7
1991-3.7-4.3
1990-3.5-4.2
1989-3.5-4.2
1988-3.8-4.3
1987-5.8-4.7
1986-4.3-4.5
1985-5-4.4
1984-4.8-5.1
1983-3.4-5.1
1982-4.6-4.7
1981-3.6-4.9
1980-4.9-4.8
1979-5.3-4.7
1978-4.8-4.6
1977-5-4.7
1976-5.4-5.1
1975-3.6-4.9
1974-5.1-4.8
1973-4.3-5.1
1972-5.2-5
1971-4.4-5.1
1970-5-5.1
1969-6.2-5.1
1968-5.1-4.8
1967-3.8-5
1966-5.7-5.1
1965-5.3-5.3
1964-5.2-4.9
1963-4.5-5
1962-3.9-5
1961-4.4-4.8
1960-5.4-4.9
1959-4.2-4.8
1958-5.5-4.9
1957-4.6-5.1
1956-5.2-4.8
1955-5-4.7
1954-4.7-4.8
1953-4.1-4.9
1952-5.6-4.9
1951-4.4-5
1950-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–-0-2–2.2
2087–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–0.2-1.8–2
2092–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–0.2-2–2.3
2097–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–0-1.9–2.3
2099–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–0.1-1.7–2.3

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

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