China vs Russia

China vs Russia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in China, by 10.5 °C.

°C · ERA5

China vs Russia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in China, by 10.5 °C.
ChinaRussiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • China has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, China ranked 212 and Russia ranked 231 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts China at 10 °C and Russia at 0.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20258.37.9-2.3-2.7
20248.47.9-2.2-2.8
202387.8-2.5-2.9
20227.87.8-2.5-2.7
20217.87.7-3.4-2.9
20207.67.7-1.2-2.9
20197.67.7-2.5-2.9
20187.57.6-3.1-3
20177.87.7-2.5-3.2
20167.87.5-2.8-3.1
20157.77.5-2.6-3
20147.47.3-3.4-3
20137.47.5-3.2-3
20126.67.4-3.4-3.3
20116.97.4-2.8-3.5
20107.27.3-4-3.4
20097.47.2-4.1-3.4
20087.27.1-2.8-3.2
20077.77.1-2.4-3.4
20067.67.2-4.1-3.5
200577.3-2.9-3.4
20047.37.1-4-3.8
20037.17.1-3.3-3.5
20027.37.1-3.7-3.7
20017.27.2-4-3.7
20006.87-4.2-3.8
19997.46.9-4.3-4
19987.66.9-4.8-4
19976.96.9-3.9-4.3
19966.56.8-4.4-4.1
19956.86.7-2.7-4.3
19947.26.6-4.4-4.6
19936.66.3-4.1-4.6
19926.46.2-4.4-4.7
19916.76.7-3.7-4.3
199076.8-3.5-4.2
19896.66.7-3.5-4.2
19886.76.6-3.8-4.3
19876.86.6-5.8-4.7
19866.36.5-4.3-4.5
19856.16.5-5-4.4
19846.16.3-4.8-5.1
19836.36.1-3.4-5.1
19826.66.5-4.6-4.7
19816.46.5-3.6-4.9
19806.36.5-4.9-4.8
19796.56.4-5.3-4.7
19786.56.5-4.8-4.6
19776.26.4-5-4.7
19765.96.2-5.4-5.1
19756.66.4-3.6-4.9
19746.16.5-5.1-4.8
19736.56.4-4.3-5.1
19726.16.3-5.2-5
19716.26.3-4.4-5.1
197066.3-5-5.1
196966.3-6.2-5.1
19686.16.3-5.1-4.8
19675.86.4-3.8-5
19666.26.4-5.7-5.1
19656.26.2-5.3-5.3
19646.36.3-5.2-4.9
19636.56.5-4.5-5
19626.26.5-3.9-5
19616.56.6-4.4-4.8
19606.46.5-5.4-4.9
19596.56.5-4.2-4.8
19586.56.4-5.5-4.9
19575.76.6-4.6-5.1
19565.76.6-5.2-4.8
19556.26.6-5-4.7
19546.16.5-4.7-4.8
195376.5-4.1-4.9
19526.36.4-5.6-4.9
19516.56.5-4.4-5
19506.76.6-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–7.97.1–9–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–87.2–8.9–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–8.17.1–9.1–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–8.17.3–9–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–8.17.3–8.9–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–8.17.2–9–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–8.27.4–9–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–8.37.4–9–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–8.37.4–9.3–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–8.37.4–9.3–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–8.37.5–9.2–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–8.47.5–9.4–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–8.57.6–9.3–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–8.57.5–9.5–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–8.57.6–9.5–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–8.57.6–9.6–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–8.57.5–9.6–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–8.57.6–9.7–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–8.77.7–9.7–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–8.77.8–9.6–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–8.87.8–9.7–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–8.87.8–9.8–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–8.97.9–9.9–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–8.87.8–10–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–97.8–10.1–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–98.1–10–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–8.87.9–9.8–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–98–10–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–98.1–10.1–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–98.1–10.1–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–9.28.2–10.3–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–9.27.8–10.3–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–9.18.2–10.2–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–9.28.1–10.4–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–9.28.1–10.4–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–9.28.2–10.3–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–9.38.3–10.6–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–9.38.3–10.4–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–9.28.3–10.3–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–9.38.3–10.4–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–9.38.3–10.4–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–9.38.3–10.5–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–9.68.4–10.7–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–9.68.3–10.7–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–9.48.3–10.7–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–9.58.3–10.9–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–9.58.3–10.8–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–9.78.5–10.8–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–9.78.4–11–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–9.68.5–10.9–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–9.68.5–10.8–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–9.78.7–11–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–9.68.6–11–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–9.78.5–11–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–9.78.6–10.9–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–9.68.6–11.1–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–9.78.6–11–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–9.98.9–11.1–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–9.98.5–11.1–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–9.88.6–11.3–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–9.98.5–11.2–-0-2–2.2
2087–9.88.7–11.3–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–9.88.7–11.3–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–9.98.6–11.4–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–108.9–11.2–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–10.19–11.2–0.2-1.8–2
2092–9.98.7–11.2–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–9.98.9–11.2–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–108.8–11.2–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–108.7–11.3–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–10.18.5–11.3–0.2-2–2.3
2097–108.7–11.3–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–9.98.9–11.4–0-1.9–2.3
2099–108.7–11.3–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–108.9–11.3–0.1-1.7–2.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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