Russia vs Ukraine

Russia vs Ukraine: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.3 °C in Russia and 10.6 °C in Ukraine, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Ukraine, by 12.8 °C.

°C · ERA5

Russia vs Ukraine: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.3 °C in Russia and 10.6 °C in Ukraine, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Ukraine, by 12.8 °C.
RussiaUkraineCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Ukraine has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Russia ranked 231 and Ukraine ranked 196 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Russia at 0.1 °C and Ukraine at 12 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUkraineUkraine: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.3-2.710.610
2024-2.2-2.811.69.7
2023-2.5-2.910.99.7
2022-2.5-2.71010.2
2021-3.4-2.99.310.1
2020-1.2-2.910.810
2019-2.5-2.910.79.5
2018-3.1-39.99.6
2017-2.5-3.2109.5
2016-2.8-3.19.79.4
2015-2.6-310.39.7
2014-3.4-39.69.3
2013-3.2-39.89.4
2012-3.4-3.39.59.3
2011-2.8-3.599.1
2010-4-3.49.79.5
2009-4.1-3.49.69.4
2008-2.8-3.29.79.3
2007-2.4-3.410.39.2
2006-4.1-3.58.79.2
2005-2.9-3.49.19.2
2004-4-3.88.98.9
2003-3.3-3.58.39.2
2002-3.7-3.79.58.9
2001-4-3.798.9
2000-4.2-3.89.49
1999-4.3-49.78.8
1998-4.8-48.68.7
1997-3.9-4.37.78.8
1996-4.4-4.17.79
1995-2.7-4.38.88.4
1994-4.4-4.68.98.5
1993-4.1-4.67.58.3
1992-4.4-4.78.47.7
1991-3.7-4.38.38.1
1990-3.5-4.29.48.6
1989-3.5-4.29.78.3
1988-3.8-4.37.88.1
1987-5.8-4.76.28
1986-4.3-4.58.18.3
1985-5-4.46.78.3
1984-4.8-5.187.8
1983-3.4-5.19.17.8
1982-4.6-4.78.37.7
1981-3.6-4.98.87.7
1980-4.9-4.86.97.9
1979-5.3-4.78.38
1978-4.8-4.67.38
1977-5-4.77.97.9
1976-5.4-5.16.68
1975-3.6-4.99.67.6
1974-5.1-4.88.48
1973-4.3-5.17.88.1
1972-5.2-58.47.7
1971-4.4-5.18.38
1970-5-5.18.27.6
1969-6.2-5.16.97.9
1968-5.1-4.88.27.8
1967-3.8-58.47.8
1966-5.7-5.19.57.8
1965-5.3-5.37.27.8
1964-5.2-4.97.58
1963-4.5-57.47.9
1962-3.9-58.47.9
1961-4.4-4.88.68.1
1960-5.4-4.98.68.2
1959-4.2-4.87.78.1
1958-5.5-4.98.18
1957-4.6-5.18.67.6
1956-5.2-4.86.37.9
1955-5-4.78.18
1954-4.7-4.87.38
1953-4.1-4.97.68.3
1952-5.6-4.987.9
1951-4.4-58.57.8
1950-4.9-4.88.18.1
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUkraineUkraine: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.5-4–-0.8–10.19.2–10.9
2027–-2.4-4–-0.7–10.29.1–11.2
2028–-2.5-4–-0.8–108.9–11
2029–-2.3-3.7–-0.8–10.28.9–11.2
2030–-2.3-3.6–-0.8–10.49–11.2
2031–-2.3-3.7–-1–108.2–11.4
2032–-2.2-3.9–-0.7–10.29.2–11.3
2033–-2.2-3.5–-0.6–10.39.4–11.4
2034–-2.1-3.6–-0.8–10.29.1–11.3
2035–-2.2-3.7–-0.7–10.49.4–11.7
2036–-2-3.7–-0.3–10.59.3–11.9
2037–-1.9-3.4–-0.5–10.39–11.5
2038–-2.1-3.6–-0.3–10.79.2–12
2039–-1.9-3.3–-0.4–10.69.7–11.5
2040–-1.9-3.3–0.1–10.89.6–12
2041–-1.9-3.6–-0.3–10.79.5–11.6
2042–-1.9-3.6–-0.3–10.49–11.9
2043–-1.5-3.3–0.1–10.99.3–11.8
2044–-1.8-3.6–0.2–10.58.7–11.9
2045–-1.8-3.3–0.2–10.59.2–12.2
2046–-1.7-3.2–0.3–10.59.2–11.7
2047–-1.3-3.2–0.3–119.2–12.2
2048–-1.4-3–0.3–119.7–12
2049–-1.2-2.7–0.9–10.99.7–12
2050–-1.3-2.9–0.6–11.29.6–12.3
2051–-1.4-3.1–0.6–11.19.7–12.4
2052–-1.4-2.9–0.4–10.99.8–12.3
2053–-1.1-2.7–0.8–11.29.6–12.4
2054–-1.3-3–0.7–10.89.8–12.2
2055–-1.4-3–0.9–10.79.5–12.4
2056–-1.2-2.8–0.7–119.9–12.1
2057–-1.1-3.4–1.1–10.99.9–12.7
2058–-1.1-2.7–1.2–11.49.7–12.9
2059–-1-2.8–1.3–11.29.8–12.7
2060–-1-2.4–0.9–119.8–12.6
2061–-1.1-2.7–1.1–11.29.5–12.3
2062–-0.9-2.7–1.3–11.410–12.8
2063–-0.7-2.7–1.4–11.49.4–12.5
2064–-0.8-2.5–1–11.410–12.3
2065–-0.8-2.8–1.3–11.49.9–12.8
2066–-0.6-2.3–1.2–11.19.9–12.7
2067–-0.7-2.3–1.5–11.410–12.7
2068–-0.9-2.8–1.1–119.8–12.9
2069–-0.6-2.4–1.7–11.710.3–13.1
2070–-0.5-2.3–1.6–11.49.3–12.3
2071–-0.6-2.6–1.7–11.39.5–12.9
2072–-0.6-2.3–1.6–11.810.6–12.8
2073–-0.7-2.5–1.7–11.19.8–12.8
2074–-0.4-2–1.4–11.310.3–12.6
2075–-0.6-2.6–1.6–11.210.1–12.8
2076–-0.4-2.4–1.5–11.610.2–13.1
2077–-0.4-1.7–1.3–11.610.5–12.9
2078–-0.5-2.4–1.7–11.410.4–12.5
2079–-0.4-2.1–2–11.510–13.4
2080–-0.3-2.3–1.5–11.510.5–12.9
2081–-0.4-2.1–1.6–11.610.5–13
2082–-0.2-2.1–2.1–11.810.3–13.4
2083–-0.2-2.1–1.8–11.510.1–13.4
2084–-0.2-2.1–1.8–11.710.3–13.4
2085–-0.2-2.1–1.9–11.710.3–13.1
2086–-0-2–2.2–11.910.5–13.5
2087–0.1-1.9–2.2–11.810.5–13.2
2088–-0.1-2.1–2–11.810.1–12.9
2089–-0.1-2–2.1–11.510.1–13.2
2090–-0.2-2.3–2.1–11.810–13.7
2091–0.2-1.8–2–1210.1–13.4
2092–0.2-1.9–2.4–12.110.4–13.6
2093–0.3-1.8–2.5–11.910.5–13.6
2094–0.1-1.9–2.8–12.19.9–13.7
2095–0.2-1.6–2.2–12.210.4–13.3
2096–0.2-2–2.3–129.9–13.7
2097–0.2-1.6–2.6–12.210.3–14.2
2098–0-1.9–2.3–11.810.3–13.4
2099–0.1-2.1–2.6–1210.1–13.3
2100–0.1-1.7–2.3–1210.5–13

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Russia vs Ukraine

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment