Lithuania vs Russia

Lithuania vs Russia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.4 °C in Lithuania and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Lithuania, by 10.7 °C.

°C · ERA5

Lithuania vs Russia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 8.4 °C in Lithuania and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Lithuania, by 10.7 °C.
LithuaniaRussiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Lithuania has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Lithuania ranked 210 and Russia ranked 231 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Lithuania at 9.9 °C and Russia at 0.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearLithuaniaLithuania: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20258.47.7-2.3-2.7
20249.47.5-2.2-2.8
20238.77.4-2.5-2.9
20227.98.4-2.5-2.7
20217.38-3.4-2.9
20209.17.9-1.2-2.9
20198.87.5-2.5-2.9
20188.27.3-3.1-3
20177.57.3-2.5-3.2
20167.67.4-2.8-3.1
20158.37.5-2.6-3
20147.97.5-3.4-3
20137.57.6-3.2-3
20126.87.3-3.4-3.3
20117.77.1-2.8-3.5
20106.37.4-4-3.4
20097.17.3-4.1-3.4
20088.27.5-2.8-3.2
20077.87.1-2.4-3.4
20067.47.3-4.1-3.5
20056.97.4-2.9-3.4
20046.87-4-3.8
200377.1-3.3-3.5
20027.77-3.7-3.7
20017.16.9-4-3.7
20008.17-4.2-3.8
19997.86.7-4.3-4
19986.77.1-4.8-4
19976.86.8-3.9-4.3
19965.56.9-4.4-4.1
199576.5-2.7-4.3
19946.96.5-4.4-4.6
19936.36-4.1-4.6
19927.55.8-4.4-4.7
19917.16.3-3.7-4.3
199086.6-3.5-4.2
19898.26.6-3.5-4.2
19886.76.4-3.8-4.3
19874.66.4-5.8-4.7
19866.16.4-4.3-4.5
198556.3-5-4.4
19846.75.9-4.8-5.1
19837.65.9-3.4-5.1
19826.86-4.6-4.7
19816.45.9-3.6-4.9
19805.16.1-4.9-4.8
19795.76.3-5.3-4.7
19785.46.1-4.8-4.6
19776.16-5-4.7
197656-5.4-5.1
19758.15.9-3.6-4.9
19746.96.5-5.1-4.8
19736.65.9-4.3-5.1
19726.75.8-5.2-5
19716.96-4.4-5.1
19705.55.3-5-5.1
19694.75.8-6.2-5.1
19685.96-5.1-4.8
196775.8-3.8-5
19666.25.9-5.7-5.1
19655.46.1-5.3-5.3
196466.1-5.2-4.9
19635.66.1-4.5-5
19625.65.8-3.9-5
19617.36.1-4.4-4.8
19606.36.2-5.4-4.9
19597.15.7-4.2-4.8
19585.96.2-5.5-4.9
195775.7-4.6-5.1
19564.66.2-5.2-4.8
19555.96-5-4.7
19545.85.8-4.7-4.8
19536.56.2-4.1-4.9
19525.56.2-5.6-4.9
19516.55.8-4.4-5
19506.46.4-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearLithuaniaLithuania: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–8.27.3–9–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–8.17.1–9–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–8.27.1–9.5–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–8.37.3–9.4–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–8.37–9.3–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–7.96.3–9.8–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–8.57.2–9.4–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–8.37.6–9.8–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–8.17.3–9.7–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–8.37.1–9.8–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–8.77.2–10.3–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–8.37.3–9.6–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–8.37.2–10.2–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–8.37.6–9.5–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–8.87.5–9.6–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–8.67.4–9.7–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–8.57.3–9.9–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–97.1–10.1–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–8.36.8–10.2–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–8.67–10.1–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–8.37.3–10.2–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–97.5–10.2–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–9.48.1–10.2–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–97.1–10.3–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–8.87.9–10.1–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–8.77.6–10.7–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–9.17.5–10.3–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–9.17.8–10.5–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–8.87.5–10.2–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–8.77.4–10.4–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–9.17.9–10.8–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–98–10.7–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–9.58–10.8–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–98.1–11–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–97.9–10.3–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–9.27.9–10.2–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–9.57.7–10.9–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–9.37.8–11.1–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–9.57.9–10.3–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–9.37.5–10.9–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–9.57.8–10.3–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–9.27.9–10.8–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–9.17.5–11.1–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–9.48.1–11.2–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–9.47.4–10.5–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–9.67.6–11.1–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–9.78.1–10.4–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–9.37.7–10.6–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–9.48.3–10.6–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–97.9–10.8–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–9.67.9–11.3–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–9.58.5–10.9–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–9.48.2–10.8–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–9.47.9–11.4–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–9.68–11–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–9.48.2–11.1–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–9.68.1–11.4–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–97.8–11.5–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–9.47.8–11.2–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–9.48.1–11.2–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–9.78.4–11.6–-0-2–2.2
2087–9.98.3–11.7–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–9.88.2–11.3–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–9.98.1–11–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–9.87.7–10.9–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–107.8–11.6–0.2-1.8–2
2092–10.28.4–11.6–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–9.98.4–11.6–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–9.78.2–11.5–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–9.88.4–11.4–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–9.87.9–11.3–0.2-2–2.3
2097–9.68.7–11.9–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–9.97.9–11.1–0-1.9–2.3
2099–108.4–11.5–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–9.98.6–11.2–0.1-1.7–2.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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