Belgium vs Kenya

Belgium vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 11.3 °C in Belgium and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 14.6 °C, or 2.29 times that in Belgium.

°C · ERA5

Belgium vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 11.3 °C in Belgium and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 14.6 °C, or 2.29 times that in Belgium.
BelgiumKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Belgium ranked 188 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belgium at 12.2 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearBelgiumBelgium: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202511.310.925.926
202411.410.626.126.2
202311.510.625.726
202211.511.125.725.9
202110.110.825.825.9
202011.510.725.525.9
201910.910.525.925.8
201811.210.525.125.9
201710.710.325.925.8
201610.310.625.825.7
201510.710.425.825.8
201411.310.225.525.7
20139.510.425.225.6
20121010.325.425.6
201110.910.425.525.7
2010910.525.525.6
200910.210.625.825.6
200810.110.425.325.5
200710.810.225.425.4
200610.710.325.425.5
200510.410.225.625.5
2004101025.325.5
200310.510.225.325.5
200210.79.925.125.5
200110.29.92525.6
200010.61025.225.4
199910.59.92525.4
1998109.824.825.4
199710.19.724.925.3
19968.59.825.125.3
199510.49.625.125.2
199410.79.72525.1
19939.69.524.725
1992109.424.824.9
19919.39.624.825.2
199010.49.824.625.3
198910.59.824.425.2
1988109.72525.2
19878.69.525.325.2
19868.89.324.625.2
19858.39.624.525
19849.19.324.725.1
19839.89.225.225
19829.89.324.625.1
19819.29.424.625.2
19808.89.52525.2
19798.59.324.225.1
19788.89.524.125.1
19779.59.224.325.1
19769.99.224.625
19759.69.424.425
19749.69.624.525
19739.39.325.125.1
19728.89.224.725
19719.49.124.325
19709.28.924.524.9
19699.28.924.624.9
196899.223.724.9
19679.69.324.224.8
19669.79.124.724.9
19658.99.324.324.9
19649.49.12424.7
19638.29.423.924.8
19628.39.32425
196110.39.324.325
19609.79.224.425
195910.39.324.625
19589.49.224.425
19579.89.124.125
19568.19.624.225
19558.69.324.325
19548.89.22425
19539.69.323.125
195299.423.525
19519.49.423.525
19509.39.423.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearBelgiumBelgium: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–11.110.1–12.1–2625.4–26.7
2027–10.810.3–11.9–2625.4–26.6
2028–1110.3–12–26.125.6–26.6
2029–10.810.1–11.9–26.225.6–26.7
2030–10.79.9–11.7–26.125.7–26.6
2031–10.99.9–12.2–26.225.8–26.7
2032–11.210–12–26.225.8–26.8
2033–10.910.1–11.9–26.325.7–26.8
2034–11.210.1–12.2–26.225.7–26.8
2035–11.210–12.1–26.325.7–26.8
2036–11.310.3–12.5–26.225.7–26.8
2037–119.9–12.1–26.325.8–26.9
2038–1110.3–11.7–26.425.7–26.9
2039–11.110.1–12–26.425.8–26.8
2040–119.8–12.2–26.325.9–26.9
2041–10.910.2–12–26.525.8–27.2
2042–11.210.3–12.2–26.525.9–27.1
2043–11.19.7–12.4–26.325.8–27
2044–11.210.1–12.3–26.525.9–27
2045–11.110.4–12.3–26.526–27.2
2046–1110.2–12–26.626–27.4
2047–11.510.5–12–26.726–27.3
2048–11.510.8–12.5–26.626.1–27.4
2049–11.310.4–12.9–26.826.1–27.4
2050–11.410.8–12.4–26.626.1–27.4
2051–11.310–12.7–26.826.1–27.4
2052–11.410.2–13–26.826.2–27.4
2053–11.610.3–12.5–26.726–27.3
2054–11.410.5–12.4–26.726–27.3
2055–11.310.4–12.5–26.826.1–27.4
2056–11.510.6–13–26.826–27.5
2057–11.410.6–13–26.826.3–27.6
2058–11.810.8–12.9–26.926.1–27.6
2059–11.610.3–12.6–26.926.2–27.7
2060–11.810.8–12.7–27.126.1–27.7
2061–11.811–12.6–2726.2–27.7
2062–11.910.9–12.6–26.926.2–27.8
2063–11.910.7–12.8–2726.4–27.6
2064–11.310.5–12.4–27.126.2–27.6
2065–11.610.5–13–2726.4–27.8
2066–11.710.4–12.9–2726.4–27.7
2067–1210.7–13–27.126.3–27.8
2068–11.810.7–13–27.126.3–27.8
2069–12.110.7–13–2726.3–27.9
2070–11.710.7–13.5–2726.3–27.8
2071–11.710.4–13.3–27.226.4–28
2072–11.811.1–13.3–27.226.5–27.8
2073–11.911–12.9–27.226.5–28
2074–12.110.8–13.1–27.126.4–28
2075–11.310.5–13–27.126.3–28
2076–11.710.8–13.7–27.326.5–28.1
2077–11.610.8–13–27.326.5–28.1
2078–11.810.7–13.6–27.126.5–27.9
2079–11.810.6–13.2–27.326.5–28.1
2080–11.711–13.3–27.326.5–28.1
2081–12.110.8–13.5–27.326.6–28.1
2082–11.910.7–13.5–27.426.5–28.1
2083–11.810.9–13.1–27.326.6–28.4
2084–1210.9–13.1–27.426.6–28.2
2085–12.411.1–13.2–27.326.6–28.3
2086–12.211–13.6–27.526.5–28.3
2087–12.211.2–13.8–27.426.6–28.3
2088–12.511.1–13.7–27.426.6–28.3
2089–12.111–13.2–27.426.7–28.1
2090–12.310.9–13.4–27.426.7–28.4
2091–12.211–13.6–27.626.6–28.4
2092–12.311.1–13.7–27.426.6–28.3
2093–12.110.9–13.3–27.526.7–28.3
2094–1211–13.7–27.526.8–28.3
2095–12.210.9–13.6–27.626.7–28.4
2096–12.410.8–13.6–27.526.5–28.5
2097–1210.9–13.7–27.526.5–28.3
2098–12.211–13.5–27.626.7–28.4
2099–12.611–13.3–27.526.5–28.6
2100–12.211.1–13.6–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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