Belgium vs United Arab Emirates: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.2 nights in Belgium and 215.2 nights in United Arab Emirates, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 215 nights, or 900 times that in Belgium.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BelgiumUnited Arab EmiratesCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belgium at 7.7 nights and United Arab Emirates at 252 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Belgium	United Arab Emirates
2014	0.2	215.2
2013	0.5	215.5
2012	0.5	219.6
2011	0.1	218
2010	0.6	213.7
2009	0.1	212
2008	0	214.8
2007	0	215.8
2006	0	215.4
2005	0.3	212.2
2004	0.1	212.4
2003	0.4	213.4
2002	0	211.6
2001	0	211.6
2000	0	212.5
1999	0.2	211.7
1998	0	209.4
1997	0	210.8
1996	0	207.8
1995	0	206.6
1994	0	206.8
1993	0	204.2
1992	0	204.3
1991	0	206.7
1990	0	208.5
1989	0	205.9
1988	0	204
1987	0	203.6
1986	0	206.2
1985	0	204.1
1984	0	202.6
1983	0	200.4
1982	0	203.2
1981	0	205.1
1980	0	202.8
1979	0	203.2
1978	0	201.5
1977	0	202.2
1976	0	202.3
1975	0	199.3
1974	0	202
1973	0	200.9
1972	0	199.4
1971	0	197
1970	0	201.3
1969	0	199.8
1968	0	202.3
1967	0	197.7
1966	0	198
1965	0	200.5
1964	0	199.6
1963	0	197.9
1962	0	201.1
1961	0	200.6
1960	0	204.3
1959	0	202.6
1958	0	202.7
1957	0	203.2
1956	0	202.6
1955	0	201
1954	0	200.2
1953	0	200
1952	0	200.2
1951	0	198.9
1950	0	201.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Belgium	United Arab Emirates
2015	0.10–3.4	221.6206.4–232
2016	0.40–3.5	218.7207.6–229.7
2017	0.30–4.5	218.3203.9–232.7
2018	0.30–2.1	221.4209.2–237.6
2019	0.40–3	218.7202.8–232.2
2020	0.40–4.4	221.7206.9–233.5
2021	0.30–3.8	224.6210.5–236.3
2022	0.70–4.2	225.3206.9–235.7
2023	0.60–4.8	225209.1–236.4
2024	0.70–4.7	223.8205.2–240
2025	1.30–5.8	226.3210.1–245
2026	1.20–5.5	227.7214.2–244.9
2027	0.80–3.6	227.6208.2–241.5
2028	0.60–6	229.9210.9–241.3
2029	1.10–4.6	225.1211–240
2030	0.90–4	227.6216.2–240.9
2031	0.70–4	229.3215.4–238.4
2032	0.70–5.4	225.5211.9–240.5
2033	0.90–5	224.2211.4–241.3
2034	1.50–8.7	230.4213–245
2035	1.20–7.3	231.6214.2–246.5
2036	1.50–6.5	230217.2–247.1
2037	1.60–7.1	232.6220.2–244.5
2038	0.90–10.4	233.6213.5–248.4
2039	0.90–5.5	231.4218.1–245.6
2040	10–6.1	232.5214–246.4
2041	1.80–7.2	230.4214.9–244.7
2042	1.10–5.5	232.6213.3–249.6
2043	1.80–6	233.9220.3–250.1
2044	1.60.1–7.4	236.3223.3–250
2045	2.10–7.4	236217.2–252
2046	1.40.1–8	237.5219.3–255
2047	2.50.1–8.4	240.9222.1–253
2048	2.20–10.9	241.8226.1–256.9
2049	2.70–9.2	233.7215.7–249.4
2050	2.90.1–7.7	240.1226.8–250.9
2051	1.70.1–6.5	240.9227.2–254.5
2052	1.80–10.1	239.2228.3–256.1
2053	1.20–7	241.4221.7–257.4
2054	2.40.3–9.6	241.3223.5–256.1
2055	1.80–5.7	240.5223.3–259.3
2056	3.50.1–10.1	239.3220.5–258.9
2057	2.70–9.4	242.2226.6–260.2
2058	4.30.2–12.1	238.9224.7–255.4
2059	2.70–11.7	244.2226.6–262.6
2060	2.90.1–10.7	241227.4–255.2
2061	30.2–11.5	239.9227.9–253.1
2062	4.10.3–11.8	243.2227.3–264.4
2063	2.30.2–11	245.3229.1–264.6
2064	2.10.3–8.1	241.1225.2–258.6
2065	30.1–14.1	244.3225.3–260.5
2066	2.20–8.7	246230.8–261.7
2067	6.60.7–16.4	245.4223–265.8
2068	1.90–7.8	245.4232.6–266.7
2069	4.20.7–11.9	244.6227.4–262.2
2070	3.90.1–13.1	248.1225.9–266.5
2071	4.20.1–13.5	248.6231–266
2072	4.51.3–10.4	247.9230.2–267
2073	3.70.1–15.1	247.9227.6–261.8
2074	40.3–12.8	247.5227.3–270.8
2075	3.60.2–15	251.8234.3–269.8
2076	5.10.2–15.2	247.5228.7–266.1
2077	4.40–14.7	252.9233.3–269.1
2078	5.40.1–17.8	249.9234.1–264.7
2079	3.10.3–13.4	247.6227.4–265.8
2080	4.60.3–12	248232–267.9
2081	5.50.1–14.9	250.7231–267.6
2082	4.60.3–18.7	248.9235.3–266.8
2083	4.50.7–14.2	248.6234.2–273.1
2084	3.10.3–14	248.9228.9–268.2
2085	40.3–16.3	253236.8–270.7
2086	7.10.2–19.4	253.4234.9–273.3
2087	7.30.2–23.2	252.9236.9–274.1
2088	6.61.2–19.7	252.1231.1–276.1
2089	5.71.2–11.1	253.4234.1–271.9
2090	3.90–16.8	251.9236.4–274.5
2091	7.60.2–16.1	254.8240.7–274.4
2092	5.60.1–15	254.6232.1–275.1
2093	3.70.3–13.6	250.9233.5–268.9
2094	61.5–17	251.6236.6–270.8
2095	7.10.2–17.3	252.4238.2–272
2096	6.70.1–18.3	254.6236–272.6
2097	3.30.2–17.2	251.4227.8–278
2098	5.90.4–17.2	257.8237.5–278.8
2099	4.90.1–22	252.5233.5–276.1
2100	7.70.5–15.1	252236.2–276

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time