Belize vs Guatemala: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 3.8 days in Belize and 16.9 days in Guatemala, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Guatemala, by 13.2 days, or 4.48 times that in Belize.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

BelizeGuatemalaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Guatemala has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Belize at 33.8 days and Guatemala at 47.9 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Belize	Guatemala
2014	3.8	16.9
2013	4.1	15.5
2012	3.5	15.4
2011	3.2	14.9
2010	4.7	17.5
2009	2.3	13.6
2008	3.2	14.5
2007	3.9	15.2
2006	3.1	14.5
2005	2.9	14.1
2004	2.7	13.7
2003	2.6	13.4
2002	2.6	13.5
2001	3.3	14.5
2000	1.6	12.9
1999	2	12.6
1998	2	11
1997	1.8	11.9
1996	1.6	10.7
1995	1.4	9
1994	2	10.3
1993	1.8	11
1992	1.4	8.9
1991	2.4	12.5
1990	2.5	13.4
1989	1.6	10.6
1988	1.2	10.1
1987	2.1	10
1986	2.1	12.2
1985	1	8.2
1984	0.5	7.4
1983	1.1	9
1982	2	11.1
1981	1.7	12
1980	1.2	8.5
1979	1.4	10.9
1978	1	8.5
1977	2.2	11
1976	1.5	10.3
1975	1.2	9
1974	1.4	10.5
1973	1.2	8.8
1972	1.3	10.2
1971	1	7.9
1970	1.1	9.2
1969	1.5	10.1
1968	1	8.6
1967	1.3	8.1
1966	1.1	8.2
1965	0.7	7.4
1964	1.7	9.2
1963	1.3	9.6
1962	1.6	10.1
1961	1.5	10.6
1960	1.2	10
1959	1.1	9.5
1958	1.3	9.3
1957	1.2	9.3
1956	1	8.7
1955	1.5	9.9
1954	1.1	8.9
1953	0.6	9.2
1952	1.1	9.6
1951	0.9	8.6
1950	1.1	8.5

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Belize	Guatemala
2015	5.91.4–16.3	19.39.9–31.9
2016	3.90.6–10.7	16.19.8–23.4
2017	5.80.8–13.6	17.98.3–27.3
2018	4.60.7–13.3	17.610–28.9
2019	4.10.7–15.9	16.88.8–30.9
2020	5.40.7–15.8	19.29.2–30
2021	6.21.9–13.7	18.311–28.2
2022	62.3–17	20.211.8–31.7
2023	51–14.8	18.210.7–35.1
2024	9.61.6–20.6	23.112.3–35.2
2025	7.41.1–17.9	21.610.6–36
2026	6.81.2–19.7	19.59.8–35.1
2027	5.51.8–16.1	19.310.5–34.7
2028	81.2–18.5	21.711.2–40.8
2029	91.8–21.6	22.911.9–38
2030	5.40.8–17.3	199–33.2
2031	6.71.6–23.7	20.111.1–36.5
2032	73.2–23.7	23.113–35.3
2033	7.12.3–17	20.512.3–33.2
2034	6.51.3–23.2	21.610.3–38.1
2035	6.91.6–14.8	22.211.8–31.9
2036	7.52.1–17.8	23.513.6–33.7
2037	10.41.9–21.5	25.114.3–37.8
2038	102.5–25.7	26.613.9–40.6
2039	10.92.7–25	26.514.9–41.2
2040	8.60.9–22.2	24.811.2–37.4
2041	8.21.5–23.5	22.411.3–40.7
2042	9.41.8–32.5	26.412–41.9
2043	8.92.9–31.9	26.815.7–50.1
2044	9.32.6–34.3	25.912.8–48
2045	123.1–27.9	26.412.9–47.2
2046	14.43.1–36.3	30.916.1–47.6
2047	153.7–37.2	29.918.1–49
2048	13.56.4–29.4	28.816.9–44
2049	17.24.9–34.1	32.716.4–52.8
2050	11.84.8–26.6	27.819.1–43.8
2051	12.65–34.6	27.717.7–50.8
2052	18.36–36.7	32.917.9–52.1
2053	10.44–39.7	30.117.5–55.3
2054	14.15.4–35.6	30.818.1–49.5
2055	175.4–36.8	3219.4–52.4
2056	12.13.7–32.9	30.316.2–54
2057	15.63.4–37.6	32.416.5–52.3
2058	11.44.4–44.3	28.318.9–55.3
2059	19.25.6–45.3	36.220.3–55.5
2060	23.25–43	36.619.7–57.2
2061	197–44.4	36.321.9–58.2
2062	143.5–54.5	33.217.3–62.6
2063	20.26.4–43.3	36.219.3–60.3
2064	18.36.7–38.8	36.120.6–55.1
2065	22.75.4–47.8	40.717.2–60.3
2066	24.67.6–50.2	37.722.4–58.7
2067	16.36–41.9	33.120.8–57.4
2068	23.19–39.3	39.626.6–57.4
2069	23.74.1–55.7	42.221–65.7
2070	17.54.3–44	39.319.3–58.4
2071	226.6–49.7	40.523.2–62.5
2072	27.99.6–56.9	4422.5–70.5
2073	25.39.8–58.2	44.826.3–67.1
2074	20.56.5–53.6	37.919–60.3
2075	23.68.4–55.3	41.122.5–67.1
2076	21.67.3–44.9	40.123.5–60.6
2077	21.47.7–48.2	38.719.4–65.5
2078	24.16.8–55.8	41.823.6–64.2
2079	30.34.8–54.4	46.120.5–67.8
2080	25.47.7–49.7	42.924.9–62.6
2081	26.69.4–54.4	42.825–65.8
2082	22.65.3–50	41.620.2–63.7
2083	22.36.3–61.2	39.921.5–70.8
2084	28.68–68.6	44.125.4–73.9
2085	27.98.1–63.1	4623.7–72.1
2086	22.35.6–55.7	38.521–70.1
2087	31.19.3–64.1	44.324.3–73.9
2088	25.75.9–64.8	43.522.5–72.2
2089	217.4–69.4	37.323.7–68.2
2090	25.18.9–53.1	41.624.1–66
2091	29.87.7–71.1	46.824.7–77.3
2092	3411.9–58.6	49.628.3–70.8
2093	27.210.7–66.5	43.626.5–76.4
2094	30.610.5–65.7	4527.1–75.6
2095	28.712–65.2	46.223.2–75.6
2096	27.210.5–73.4	43.224.5–77.5
2097	25.811.3–55.6	44.126.5–64.9
2098	37.98.1–84.4	49.823.6–84.5
2099	31.211.5–77.3	47.429.2–79.3
2100	33.87.7–81.8	47.924.4–79.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Belize vs Guatemala: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

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