Benin vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 108 days in Benin and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Benin, by 94.8 days, or 8.2 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

BeninSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Benin has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Benin at 181.8 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Benin	South Africa
2014	108	13.2
2013	105.6	15.2
2012	103.6	14.3
2011	103.6	11.7
2010	100.9	12.5
2009	96.5	13.2
2008	95.4	12.3
2007	96.7	12
2006	96.1	11.9
2005	97.7	13.3
2004	101.3	13.9
2003	95.1	12.6
2002	93.8	12.6
2001	101.4	11.1
2000	97.8	11.8
1999	90.8	11
1998	90.3	12.1
1997	93.9	11.3
1996	85.5	9.4
1995	86.4	8.3
1994	83.4	8.5
1993	80.5	7.8
1992	76.8	7.1
1991	88.6	11.1
1990	92.4	10.1
1989	83.3	11.5
1988	89.9	9.4
1987	90.2	11.5
1986	91.1	10.2
1985	84.2	8.7
1984	86.8	8.7
1983	86.9	8.6
1982	85.5	10.5
1981	87.3	9.7
1980	87.1	10.3
1979	87	9.4
1978	84.7	9.5
1977	87.9	9.3
1976	80.6	9
1975	82.6	9.3
1974	81.4	8.8
1973	85	9.5
1972	84.2	8.4
1971	81.8	8.7
1970	79.6	8.2
1969	83.5	8.9
1968	77.9	8.4
1967	81.1	6.9
1966	79.5	7.8
1965	77.4	7.9
1964	69.6	6.4
1963	80.7	7
1962	85.5	8.9
1961	87.8	10.5
1960	87	9.7
1959	85.1	8.9
1958	88.5	9.3
1957	86.5	10.3
1956	79.6	7.9
1955	83.1	10.3
1954	85.7	9.1
1953	89.1	7.8
1952	84.2	9
1951	88.4	8.4
1950	83.1	8.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Benin	South Africa
2015	106.178.6–131.3	14.76.8–24
2016	98.673.3–119.9	13.46.3–22.2
2017	103.980.2–135.6	15.27.7–24.6
2018	103.967.8–131	179.7–28
2019	10774.7–131.1	14.67.1–24.5
2020	105.368.1–136.7	15.77.4–23.5
2021	104.682.1–131.3	17.99.4–27
2022	114.481.7–144.5	189.8–29
2023	108.580.6–136.3	18.69.9–27.1
2024	115.490.8–144.3	17.89.8–28
2025	111.587.7–138.8	16.57.5–29.6
2026	115.272.2–141.7	20.19.3–29.4
2027	119.571.4–146.3	19.910.5–32.8
2028	117.188.3–156.7	19.110.6–33.2
2029	12089.5–146.7	21.412.9–33.6
2030	12281.4–150.9	21.19.6–33.9
2031	123.487.4–150	20.79.9–35.4
2032	124.478.6–161.8	2110.9–34.8
2033	123.484.1–155.7	22.612.2–34.2
2034	124.787.9–153	24.615–35.1
2035	121.483.7–159.3	20.911.7–31.3
2036	12481.6–157.4	21.111.9–32.2
2037	133.488.3–162.7	23.412.6–35.2
2038	133.498.6–164.4	26.216–36.7
2039	132.295.8–160.2	22.611.4–35.9
2040	129.390.6–167.2	21.510.9–35.4
2041	13798.2–168.2	23.213.2–35.8
2042	135.396.6–165.7	25.214.3–39.6
2043	132.9101.1–165.5	25.613.4–39.9
2044	136.888.1–170.3	26.113.1–41.6
2045	140.595.8–178	26.813.1–40.3
2046	148.9100.3–175.8	25.914.5–40.8
2047	147.5101.6–173.4	26.713.7–41.4
2048	144.4105.8–178.9	29.215.6–45.4
2049	145.3112.7–175.4	29.117.3–44.7
2050	141.4107.2–184.1	29.815.7–48.6
2051	142.6105.6–186.1	27.913.6–45.2
2052	150.5103.5–190	31.918.3–46.8
2053	143.4104.6–189.3	28.318.6–43.2
2054	149.8108.9–189.7	30.717.3–50.1
2055	150.9115.4–193.7	2917.8–48
2056	153.6112.9–196.5	29.916–45.3
2057	168.3114.9–194.8	3117.4–50.1
2058	155.9115.6–189.5	31.115.7–46
2059	155122–196.6	3216.1–49.9
2060	159.7112.9–195.4	33.419.8–49.7
2061	162.8110.6–197.9	32.718.1–51.1
2062	158.2116.9–201.5	31.317.7–52.6
2063	165.6122.8–205.9	32.317.4–50.7
2064	161115.8–196.7	31.817.7–47.6
2065	165.1118.3–196.8	31.716.2–50.7
2066	157.3125–203.9	34.318.4–55.3
2067	158.3118.9–206.6	32.617.2–52.4
2068	162.5118.9–203.1	33.819.2–54.3
2069	164.3118.8–209.7	34.621.3–52.4
2070	163114.1–208.8	32.819.3–51.1
2071	169.9113.8–214.9	35.320.8–55.8
2072	167.4119.5–209.3	37.820.3–54.6
2073	169.4122.4–216.7	4425.6–62.1
2074	164.9116.4–222.8	38.320.7–55.8
2075	176.7116.6–209.4	34.218.7–53.1
2076	170.5130.4–214.1	38.822.9–57.5
2077	181.8127.5–221.2	39.124.2–60.3
2078	171.9128.8–217.8	35.521.6–53.4
2079	175.4131.7–212.4	40.522.9–59.7
2080	183.1121.3–215.7	40.523.4–59
2081	173.9122.5–219.1	38.523.8–59.9
2082	172.4126.2–219.8	38.622.5–58.2
2083	177.2131.2–222.2	38.518.7–62.9
2084	174.6130.9–222.3	39.720.6–58.4
2085	186.3131.3–224.6	4021.5–65.8
2086	178.7124.8–224.6	40.823–63.7
2087	183.2124.3–218.5	38.324.6–58.6
2088	181.6131.3–223.4	42.222.6–66.3
2089	172.2128.9–227.6	41.624.2–59.1
2090	177.1135.1–228	42.326.1–66.4
2091	184.8127.9–222.4	43.324.2–63.6
2092	193.6130.9–228.6	43.928–61.6
2093	186.1135.5–232.4	37.521.3–63.4
2094	182.1136.8–228.1	41.325.4–65.9
2095	196.1122.4–231.5	43.522.9–70.2
2096	185.2135.2–235.1	41.224.1–66.8
2097	178.6131.5–227.3	37.723.7–60.9
2098	183.4131.9–228.8	46.425.1–71.4
2099	190.6129.1–238.9	42.525.1–64.8
2100	181.8131.4–238.5	4022.2–64.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Benin vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Benin vs South Africa

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