Benin vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 333.9 nights in Benin and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Benin, by 306.8 nights, or 12 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BeninSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Benin has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Benin at 359.6 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Benin	South Africa
2014	333.9	27.1
2013	328.9	28.3
2012	332.6	27.9
2011	330.1	26.1
2010	329.8	26
2009	325.2	25.8
2008	326.4	24.8
2007	325.2	24.7
2006	326.1	25.5
2005	324.3	25.3
2004	322.7	25.8
2003	327.4	25.1
2002	324	25
2001	329.4	24.5
2000	322.4	23.3
1999	317.9	23
1998	319.1	23.4
1997	320.6	22.5
1996	315.5	20.4
1995	316.5	19.3
1994	314.3	20
1993	313.5	18.1
1992	309.8	18.1
1991	316.1	22.3
1990	320.6	22.7
1989	313.1	22
1988	313.6	21.2
1987	313.3	21.9
1986	317.1	21
1985	314.6	18.9
1984	311.8	20
1983	308.8	19
1982	309.3	20.3
1981	314.8	20
1980	310.2	21.2
1979	311.9	19.9
1978	310	19.8
1977	314.4	19.2
1976	309.1	19.2
1975	307.3	18.8
1974	307.9	19.7
1973	311.8	19.6
1972	310.1	19
1971	305.9	19.1
1970	309.7	18.6
1969	305.9	18.7
1968	305.6	17.8
1967	305.6	17.5
1966	305.4	17.8
1965	306.1	17.2
1964	304.6	14.9
1963	304.6	16.5
1962	311.6	19.6
1961	307.4	19.7
1960	312.1	19.8
1959	312.4	18.5
1958	306.8	19.3
1957	311.8	19.4
1956	308.2	18
1955	308.6	19.5
1954	311.3	18.4
1953	307.4	18.4
1952	305.5	19.3
1951	309.4	18.9
1950	304.7	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Benin	South Africa
2015	328.6309.6–343.6	28.620–39.5
2016	330.8309.8–342.5	26.817.8–37.9
2017	330311.6–342.9	28.919.6–37.8
2018	331.2315.3–345.2	29.620.6–40.6
2019	328.1308–346.4	29.820.8–41.5
2020	330.1308.7–348.1	29.518.9–39.1
2021	332.7314.3–347.2	31.121.4–42.9
2022	334.9314.5–347.9	3223.7–43.1
2023	331.8310.2–346.4	31.922.9–41.8
2024	340.3323.4–351.1	3324–45.6
2025	335315.9–346.3	31.920.7–44.5
2026	335.9313.3–353.1	34.521.9–46.9
2027	335.8315.2–349.1	34.423–47.7
2028	340.1321.3–351.9	33.522.9–46
2029	338.6323.1–350.8	36.226.5–48.3
2030	339.7321.7–350	36.124.9–49
2031	343.8323.3–354.6	36.324.5–50.3
2032	340.8318.1–351.4	36.424.5–49.2
2033	343.1320.1–354.4	36.924.5–48.3
2034	339.8319.2–352.6	37.626.4–51.8
2035	342.7322–354.2	37.625.2–49.5
2036	341.8320.2–355.2	3826.5–50.5
2037	344324.8–353.5	39.928.2–53.4
2038	346.6334.6–355.1	41.528.4–54.2
2039	344.5327.1–355.1	39.227–52.9
2040	346327.6–355.8	38.125.6–55.6
2041	345.5331.9–357.4	40.227.4–54.3
2042	343.9328.1–358.9	4229–56.4
2043	345.7326.6–355.4	42.128.2–58.4
2044	347.3329.7–358.8	41.929.5–57.8
2045	342.6328–358.9	42.728.2–59
2046	347.9332.2–357.8	44.130–59.5
2047	349.6330.6–358.7	44.630.7–61.2
2048	349.8334.6–358.1	4531.9–61.5
2049	350.7333.4–359.3	45.632.3–61.4
2050	351334–360.2	46.931–63.6
2051	350338.1–359.9	47.532–65
2052	348.6332.5–359.5	48.332.7–64.3
2053	351.3331.1–359.3	45.733.7–62.1
2054	353.3336.1–360.3	4833.3–64.3
2055	350.7336.5–359.7	46.833–68.4
2056	353.4337.9–362	47.933.2–64.8
2057	355339.4–361.3	50.232.6–68.9
2058	352.5338–360.1	47.934–66.4
2059	354.9338.8–361.9	51.333.1–66.9
2060	353.2337.9–360.9	51.936–69.9
2061	353.8331.6–362	50.534.8–71.3
2062	353.5334.3–361.4	50.532.7–71
2063	355.1335.9–361.9	50.434.3–69.7
2064	353.9338–363.1	5134.1–67.7
2065	355.3343.1–362.4	50.433.6–70.2
2066	352.4339.8–360.1	5335.7–72.4
2067	355.7336.9–362.9	50.634.8–70.4
2068	357.5341.2–363.6	54.837.8–72.5
2069	353.4339.4–362.3	54.339.1–73.4
2070	354.4341–361.7	54.337.2–73.3
2071	356.4338.9–362.8	55.837.9–76.9
2072	357.8343.2–363.8	5639.4–78.6
2073	356.1339.2–362.4	60.443.4–80.3
2074	355.1339–362.4	57.439.1–75.3
2075	356.2344.1–363.5	56.137.7–76
2076	357343.3–362.6	58.538.4–75.3
2077	357.3343.8–363.1	57.341–80.5
2078	357.9344.2–363.3	5639.5–79
2079	357.3347.1–362.8	57.639.3–78
2080	358.9344.5–365.3	59.540.3–80.9
2081	357.1341.4–363.9	5841.5–79.6
2082	357.1341.9–362.2	58.839.7–77.7
2083	358.4346.7–363.4	60.839.1–82.9
2084	357.9343.1–364.6	62.540.4–82.9
2085	359.5346–364.2	60.741.3–87.6
2086	359.2344.3–364.1	60.542.1–83.3
2087	357.6343.8–364.2	57.941–82.9
2088	358.5341.9–364.2	64.243.4–85.3
2089	357.1346.7–363.7	61.541.3–81.2
2090	359.7343.6–363.8	61.641.5–86.8
2091	358.6342.2–364.1	63.341.6–86.3
2092	359.3342.5–364.9	63.144.9–84.8
2093	360.3348–364.4	62.443.2–86.1
2094	359347.2–364.5	63.145.6–87.4
2095	358.6345.9–364.3	65.342.6–91.7
2096	359.2344.5–365.5	6142.7–90.1
2097	358.4343.3–363.8	58.841.2–84.6
2098	358.2346.2–363.8	65.143.8–89.8
2099	358344.6–363.9	64.345–87
2100	359.6348.3–364.5	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Benin vs South Africa: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Benin vs South Africa

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