Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Serbia: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 2.3 nights in Bosnia & Herzegovina and 7.7 nights in Serbia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Serbia, by 5.4 nights, or 3.29 times that in Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Bosnia & HerzegovinaSerbiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Serbia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Bosnia & Herzegovina at 20 nights and Serbia at 39.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Bosnia & Herzegovina	Serbia
2014	2.3	7.7
2013	1.4	5.4
2012	1.9	6.9
2011	2.3	8.3
2010	2.2	8
2009	1.6	7
2008	1.5	6.1
2007	0.8	4.3
2006	1.6	6.3
2005	1.1	4.8
2004	1.4	5.2
2003	1.2	5.2
2002	0.9	3.5
2001	0.8	3.7
2000	1.4	5.4
1999	0.9	3.9
1998	0.8	3.1
1997	0.6	2.8
1996	1.1	3.8
1995	0.7	3.1
1994	0.4	2.5
1993	0.4	1.9
1992	0.3	1.2
1991	0.5	2.8
1990	0.6	2.4
1989	0.5	2.2
1988	0.3	1.4
1987	0.3	1.6
1986	0.3	2
1985	0.3	1.4
1984	0.3	1.4
1983	0.2	1.6
1982	0.2	0.9
1981	0.2	1.1
1980	0.4	1.9
1979	0.2	1.1
1978	0.4	1.7
1977	0.2	1
1976	0.2	1.1
1975	0.3	2
1974	0.3	1.2
1973	0.1	0.7
1972	0.2	0.9
1971	0.3	1.1
1970	0.3	1.4
1969	0.3	1.6
1968	0.2	1.2
1967	0.2	1.1
1966	0.3	1.1
1965	0.1	0.9
1964	0.2	1.2
1963	0.2	1.2
1962	0.3	1.5
1961	0.1	0.9
1960	0.4	1.6
1959	0.6	2.5
1958	0.3	1.7
1957	0.2	1.3
1956	0.5	2
1955	0.5	2.5
1954	0.2	1
1953	0.6	2.9
1952	0.6	2.5
1951	0.3	1.5
1950	0.3	1.6

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Bosnia & Herzegovina	Serbia
2015	2.60.8–5.9	8.23.7–17.7
2016	2.20.4–6.6	8.42–17.1
2017	2.60.5–7.1	8.71.7–18.3
2018	2.50.6–7.6	7.72–19.2
2019	2.70.7–6.8	93.2–18.9
2020	3.40.5–8.8	12.12.4–21.3
2021	30.8–6.9	8.94.2–18.1
2022	3.90.5–9.4	122.8–23.4
2023	2.70.8–9	10.42.6–21.4
2024	40.5–10	12.72.8–25.2
2025	4.10.5–9	12.71.8–22.2
2026	4.71–9.6	14.73.8–23
2027	3.80.9–10.5	11.42.4–22.1
2028	4.21.3–11.3	124.4–24.8
2029	40.9–12.5	154–30.5
2030	4.31–9.9	12.54.4–22.2
2031	3.91.1–9.4	12.65.4–23.5
2032	4.81.4–13.9	14.95.2–37
2033	4.51–9.6	14.13.9–23.5
2034	5.60.9–13.8	15.22.6–29.6
2035	6.31.1–12.7	17.74.2–30
2036	6.21.7–17	17.96.2–31
2037	6.21.6–13.1	17.55.9–27.4
2038	5.21.3–16.4	16.56.2–36.5
2039	6.21.2–12.5	17.96–27.4
2040	6.21.7–13.2	18.46.7–31.2
2041	6.41.7–14.9	16.95.7–31.9
2042	5.92–14.8	16.86.8–33
2043	72.6–13.9	19.59.7–31.5
2044	72.1–15	18.57.8–33.6
2045	8.41.6–13.7	215.1–32.4
2046	8.11.8–18.8	20.16.1–40.6
2047	9.22.7–17.3	22.49.5–38.1
2048	6.81.5–21.3	21.68–41.5
2049	91.9–16.3	21.76.5–35.2
2050	8.83.3–17	238.6–36.1
2051	8.42.7–19.6	20.77.5–37.6
2052	8.12.7–17.4	228–36.3
2053	7.73.3–15.9	21.410.4–34.5
2054	8.13.8–17.2	2412.4–37
2055	8.72.9–20.1	24.29.7–43.4
2056	8.33.6–18.3	20.611–37.8
2057	8.23–15.4	22.18.2–34.2
2058	11.82–24.6	28.37.7–48.4
2059	9.92.7–22.5	23.78.4–42.9
2060	9.44.2–20.1	22.713.8–37.7
2061	9.95.2–22.9	27.212.4–41.6
2062	10.13.7–20.1	23.910.1–41.6
2063	12.93.3–24.5	2810.9–46.9
2064	11.34.6–23.1	26.711.7–40.5
2065	12.23.5–22.3	287.8–41.4
2066	11.54.2–22.1	24.612.9–42.6
2067	14.84.3–28.8	31.313.6–51.6
2068	136.4–22	30.519–42.4
2069	12.65.8–23.7	28.614.3–44.8
2070	12.24.6–25.2	27.811.6–51
2071	14.72.3–30	28.87.5–50.7
2072	14.86.3–25.7	32.615.5–49.8
2073	13.23.8–22.7	29.213.6–43.8
2074	11.24–23.4	26.914.3–46.3
2075	12.85.9–26.5	2915–46.1
2076	143.4–29.3	32.510.9–52.1
2077	13.15.8–27.3	30.615.7–48
2078	13.25.4–29.6	30.316.5–54.6
2079	15.35–35.9	35.514.1–60.7
2080	13.85.6–32.1	32.317.9–52.6
2081	12.84.6–28.6	29.313.4–50.2
2082	18.57.4–32.5	34.518.9–58.4
2083	13.83.9–28.7	28.69.8–49.1
2084	167.4–31.3	34.518.3–49.7
2085	186.4–30.8	35.216.9–50.2
2086	16.86.2–30.6	35.316.1–53.7
2087	16.86.9–31.9	34.913.7–58.5
2088	17.87.1–33.3	36.117.6–59
2089	17.45.5–36.6	32.313.2–57.4
2090	19.46.8–34.4	38.717.6–59
2091	21.27.9–34.4	39.719.9–59.5
2092	17.34–33.9	3611.2–56.9
2093	14.85.7–34.6	33.515.1–59.4
2094	17.26.9–35.4	35.715.6–58.8
2095	19.35.5–35.5	38.616.4–56.3
2096	14.55.6–43	29.414.6–62
2097	17.24.3–34.7	3813.9–56.7
2098	20.16.4–37.7	39.816.7–57.8
2099	19.55.9–37.1	37.214.9–58.5
2100	206.4–32.9	39.418.3–56.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time