Canada vs France

Canada vs France: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 12.3 °C in France, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 14.9 °C.

°C · ERA5

Canada vs France: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 12.3 °C in France, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 14.9 °C.
CanadaFranceCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • France has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and France at 13.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.212.312.1
2024-1.8-212.211.9
2023-1.8-2.312.811.9
2022-3.6-2.31312.3
2021-2.8-2.411.412.1
2020-3.6-2.512.612
2019-3.6-2.712.212
2018-4.2-2.712.411.9
2017-3.2-2.611.811.6
2016-2.7-2.711.611.9
2015-3.5-2.712.111.7
2014-4.1-2.612.311.5
2013-4-2.910.911.7
2012-3-2.911.311.4
2011-3.4-312.211.6
2010-1.7-310.411.6
2009-4-3.111.511.6
2008-4.2-311.111.6
2007-4-3.111.511.5
2006-2.3-3.411.811.6
2005-3.2-3.111.211.5
2004-4.9-3.111.211.4
2003-3.7-3.11211.4
2002-4.3-3.411.711.2
2001-3-3.411.311.3
2000-4.1-3.511.611.3
1999-3.3-3.411.511.1
1998-2.6-3.61111.1
1997-4.2-3.611.711
1996-4.9-3.910.411
1995-4.2-4.111.410.9
1994-4.3-4.111.910.9
1993-4.4-4.510.610.6
1992-5-4.610.910.6
1991-4.4-410.511
1990-5-3.711.611
1989-5-4.111.711
1988-4.1-4.411.110.8
1987-3.3-410.310.9
1986-4.8-4.210.310.5
1985-4.8-4.49.910.6
1984-4.5-4.410.210.8
1983-4.7-4.610.910.6
1982-5.8-4.211.210.6
1981-2.8-4.210.610.7
1980-4.4-4.49.810.8
1979-4.9-4.310.110.6
1978-5.4-4.410.110.7
1977-3.9-4.410.610.4
1976-4.9-4.710.910.3
1975-4.9-4.310.510.6
1974-5.6-4.410.610.8
1973-4-4.610.310.6
1972-6.8-4.71010.5
1971-4.8-4.510.310.4
1970-5-4.410.410.3
1969-4.4-4.410.310.4
1968-4.7-4.810.410.4
1967-5.4-4.610.610.5
1966-5.1-4.510.810.5
1965-5.5-4.61010.4
1964-5.4-4.710.510.4
1963-4.6-4.59.510.6
1962-4.8-4.51010.6
1961-5-4.411.610.6
1960-4.4-4.510.710.5
1959-5.2-4.611.510.7
1958-4.2-4.210.710.6
1957-4.9-4.510.810.5
1956-5.7-4.49.510.7
1955-4.9-4.210.810.7
1954-4.7-4.59.910.5
1953-4.1-4.410.510.5
1952-4.1-4.410.510.7
1951-5.5-4.410.310.6
1950-6-4.310.710.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–12.311.4–13.4
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–12.211.6–13.3
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–12.211.5–13.5
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–12.211.4–13.1
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–12.111.3–13
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–12.111.3–13.2
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–12.511.5–13.4
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–12.311.3–13.3
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–12.511.4–13.5
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–12.411.4–13.5
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–12.511.7–13.7
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–12.411.5–13.2
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–12.411.7–13.2
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–12.411.5–13.2
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–12.311.5–13.6
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–12.311.7–13.3
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–12.411.7–13.5
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–12.511.3–13.7
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–12.511.4–13.7
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–12.612–13.5
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–12.511.5–13.4
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–12.811.7–13.5
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–12.712.1–13.7
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–12.611.9–14.2
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–12.912.2–13.7
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–12.811.5–13.9
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–12.811.7–14
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–12.911.7–13.8
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–12.811.9–13.8
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–12.911.9–14
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–12.811.6–14.3
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–12.911.8–14.3
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–13.112.3–14.4
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–1311.8–14.1
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–13.212.3–13.8
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–13.312.3–14.1
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–13.212–14.2
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–13.412.2–14.2
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–12.812–13.9
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–13.111.7–14.5
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–13.112.1–14.4
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–13.412–14.5
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–13.212.4–14.6
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–13.512.3–14.5
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–13.112.1–14.8
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–13.312–14.7
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–13.312.5–14.6
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–13.312.4–14.5
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–13.412.2–14.6
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–1312.1–14.4
2076–-0-2–2.1–13.312.2–14.9
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–13.112–14.4
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–13.212.3–15
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–13.212.1–14.8
2080–0-1.9–2–13.312.4–14.7
2081–0.1-2–2.2–13.312.3–14.8
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–13.412.3–14.8
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–13.412.4–14.5
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–13.512.4–14.5
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–13.712.6–14.5
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–13.612.4–14.9
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–13.712.7–15.2
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–13.812.6–15.3
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–13.712.5–14.8
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–13.912.6–14.9
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–13.612.6–15
2092–0.5-1.5–3–13.612.5–14.8
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–13.412.5–14.7
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–13.512.4–15.2
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–13.512.3–15.1
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–13.912.2–15
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–13.412.5–15.1
2098–0.9-1.2–3–13.812.5–14.9
2099–0.5-1.5–3–13.912.5–14.9
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–13.712.5–14.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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