France

Temperature in France

Temperature in France: 10.7 °C in 1950 and 12.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
12.3 °C
Since 1950
+1.6 °C
Projected, 2100
13.7 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Temperature in FranceTemperature in France: 10.7 °C in 1950 and 12.3 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 13.7 °C in 2100, between 12.5 °C and 14.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 13.7 °C in 2100, between 12.5 °C and 14.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 13 °C in 2022, the lowest 9.5 °C in 1956.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.312.1
202412.211.9
202312.811.9
20221312.3
202111.412.1
202012.612
201912.212
201812.411.9
201711.811.6
201611.611.9
201512.111.7
201412.311.5
201310.911.7
201211.311.4
201112.211.6
201010.411.6
200911.511.6
200811.111.6
200711.511.5
200611.811.6
200511.211.5
200411.211.4
20031211.4
200211.711.2
200111.311.3
200011.611.3
199911.511.1
19981111.1
199711.711
199610.411
199511.410.9
199411.910.9
199310.610.6
199210.910.6
199110.511
199011.611
198911.711
198811.110.8
198710.310.9
198610.310.5
19859.910.6
198410.210.8
198310.910.6
198211.210.6
198110.610.7
19809.810.8
197910.110.6
197810.110.7
197710.610.4
197610.910.3
197510.510.6
197410.610.8
197310.310.6
19721010.5
197110.310.4
197010.410.3
196910.310.4
196810.410.4
196710.610.5
196610.810.5
19651010.4
196410.510.4
19639.510.6
19621010.6
196111.610.6
196010.710.5
195911.510.7
195810.710.6
195710.810.5
19569.510.7
195510.810.7
19549.910.5
195310.510.5
195210.510.7
195110.310.6
195010.710.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.311.4–13.4
2027–12.211.6–13.3
2028–12.211.5–13.5
2029–12.211.4–13.1
2030–12.111.3–13
2031–12.111.3–13.2
2032–12.511.5–13.4
2033–12.311.3–13.3
2034–12.511.4–13.5
2035–12.411.4–13.5
2036–12.511.7–13.7
2037–12.411.5–13.2
2038–12.411.7–13.2
2039–12.411.5–13.2
2040–12.311.5–13.6
2041–12.311.7–13.3
2042–12.411.7–13.5
2043–12.511.3–13.7
2044–12.511.4–13.7
2045–12.612–13.5
2046–12.511.5–13.4
2047–12.811.7–13.5
2048–12.712.1–13.7
2049–12.611.9–14.2
2050–12.912.2–13.7
2051–12.811.5–13.9
2052–12.811.7–14
2053–12.911.7–13.8
2054–12.811.9–13.8
2055–12.911.9–14
2056–12.811.6–14.3
2057–12.911.8–14.3
2058–13.112.3–14.4
2059–1311.8–14.1
2060–13.212.3–13.8
2061–13.312.3–14.1
2062–13.212–14.2
2063–13.412.2–14.2
2064–12.812–13.9
2065–13.111.7–14.5
2066–13.112.1–14.4
2067–13.412–14.5
2068–13.212.4–14.6
2069–13.512.3–14.5
2070–13.112.1–14.8
2071–13.312–14.7
2072–13.312.5–14.6
2073–13.312.4–14.5
2074–13.412.2–14.6
2075–1312.1–14.4
2076–13.312.2–14.9
2077–13.112–14.4
2078–13.212.3–15
2079–13.212.1–14.8
2080–13.312.4–14.7
2081–13.312.3–14.8
2082–13.412.3–14.8
2083–13.412.4–14.5
2084–13.512.4–14.5
2085–13.712.6–14.5
2086–13.612.4–14.9
2087–13.712.7–15.2
2088–13.812.6–15.3
2089–13.712.5–14.8
2090–13.912.6–14.9
2091–13.612.6–15
2092–13.612.5–14.8
2093–13.412.5–14.7
2094–13.512.4–15.2
2095–13.512.3–15.1
2096–13.912.2–15
2097–13.412.5–15.1
2098–13.812.5–14.9
2099–13.912.5–14.9
2100–13.712.5–14.9

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

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