France

Tropical nights in France

Tropical nights in France: 1.2 nights in 1950 and 3.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
3.1 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+1.9 nights
Projected, 2100
19.2 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in FranceTropical nights in France: 1.2 nights in 1950 and 3.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 19.2 nights in 2100, between 7 nights and 36.7 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 19.2 nights in 2100, between 7 nights and 36.7 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 3.9 nights in 2010, the lowest 0.7 nights in 1965.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearFrance
20143.1
20133.1
20122.9
20112.7
20103.9
20092.5
20082.4
20072.1
20062.6
20052.9
20042.7
20032.6
20021.8
20012.3
20001.8
19992.1
19981.5
19971.6
19961.5
19951.3
19941.5
19931.1
19921
19911.8
19901.9
19891.2
19881.2
19871.3
19860.9
19850.9
19841.1
19831.1
19821
19811.1
19801.2
19790.9
19781.3
19770.9
19760.8
19750.9
19741.2
19730.9
19720.9
19711
19700.9
19691
19680.9
19670.8
19660.8
19650.7
19641
19630.9
19621.1
19610.9
19601.1
19591.2
19581
19571
19561.2
19551.1
19541.3
19531
19521.3
19511.1
19501.2
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearFrance
20153.61.5–8.6
20164.11.5–9.9
20173.51.3–10.2
20183.91.7–10.8
20194.51.6–9
20204.11.6–10.5
20214.51.3–13.2
202251.5–12.5
20234.81.6–12.5
20245.51.8–11.2
20255.81.5–12.1
20266.22.1–12.7
20275.41.7–11.2
20285.91.7–13.3
20296.31.9–12.6
20305.82.1–11.9
20315.92–11.8
20325.92.7–12.9
203372.5–13.6
20347.92.4–17.3
20356.92.4–14.4
20367.32.6–14.6
20377.32.6–13.3
20386.53–15.1
20396.92.6–14.3
20407.72.3–16
20418.12.6–15.2
20426.93–16
20437.92.8–15.6
20447.93.1–16.6
20459.23.2–19.6
20468.93.2–17.6
20479.74–19.2
20489.13.4–17
204910.13.7–20.8
205010.94.8–18.9
20519.23.5–18.4
2052103.4–21.2
20538.73.8–18
20549.74.4–19.2
20559.93.9–17.2
2056114.3–21.8
205710.94.2–19.8
205813.85.1–25.7
205911.23.3–25
206012.86.1–22
206112.64.7–23.2
206212.36.2–22.4
2063125.2–24.9
2064125.3–21.6
206512.53.9–30.8
206611.55.3–22.1
206718.38.1–33.3
2068135.4–23.4
206915.65.7–25.5
207013.55.2–29.1
2071154.4–30.2
207215.57.4–26
207313.96–29.1
207412.84.3–27.3
207513.96.3–25.6
2076166.1–33.8
207713.25–29.8
207813.75.1–33.6
207912.95.3–28.4
208014.45.4–27.9
208115.15.8–29.8
208216.46.1–33.9
208315.97.9–32
208414.16.6–27.7
208516.57.3–30.2
208619.55.5–32.4
2087196.9–38
208818.47.7–35.2
20891910.6–29.3
209016.36.8–33.5
209119.77.6–32.3
209217.36.1–32.7
2093156.5–29.8
209418.68.5–32.8
209519.25.9–38.9
209619.37.6–35.5
209717.36.2–36.1
209818.16.9–36.3
209920.37.4–34.6
210019.27–36.7

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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