Tropical nights in Jersey

Tropical nights in Jersey: 0 nights in 1950 and 0 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 0 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: 0 nights
Projected, 2100: 18 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 18 nights in 2100, between 2 nights and 49.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 1.5 nights in 2010, the lowest 0 nights in 1950.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Jersey
2014	0
2013	0
2012	0.5
2011	0
2010	1.5
2009	0
2008	0
2007	0
2006	0
2005	0.5
2004	0.5
2003	0
2002	0
2001	0
2000	0.5
1999	0
1998	0
1997	0
1996	0
1995	0
1994	0
1993	0
1992	0
1991	0
1990	0
1989	0
1988	0
1987	0
1986	0
1985	0
1984	0
1983	0
1982	0
1981	0
1980	0
1979	0
1978	0
1977	0
1976	0
1975	0
1974	0
1973	0
1972	0
1971	0
1970	0
1969	0
1968	0
1967	0
1966	0
1965	0
1964	0
1963	0
1962	0
1961	0
1960	0
1959	0
1958	0
1957	0
1956	0
1955	0
1954	0
1953	0
1952	0
1951	0
1950	0

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Jersey
2015	0.50–7.5
2016	1.50–7
2017	10–10
2018	1.50–7.5
2019	2.50–8.5
2020	0.50–10
2021	1.50–10.5
2022	3.50–10.4
2023	2.50–12.5
2024	1.50–14.4
2025	2.50–14
2026	20–13.4
2027	1.50–9.4
2028	1.50–11.5
2029	3.50–13.9
2030	30–12.5
2031	1.50–15.4
2032	40–23
2033	50–15.9
2034	50–22
2035	40–14.4
2036	4.50–20
2037	50–14.5
2038	1.50–16.5
2039	40–12.9
2040	30–20.9
2041	60–11.4
2042	40–16.9
2043	40–13.4
2044	60–18.5
2045	4.40–24.4
2046	4.50.5–25
2047	7.51–26
2048	6.40–17.9
2049	60–33.4
2050	80.5–26.9
2051	7.50–28.9
2052	9.50–38
2053	50–28.4
2054	60–25
2055	71–23.4
2056	50.5–23.4
2057	7.50–36
2058	11.41.5–38.4
2059	7.50–33.5
2060	110.5–28.9
2061	13.50–39
2062	140.5–34.4
2063	131.5–33
2064	9.90.5–22.4
2065	9.50–49
2066	7.51–53
2067	131.5–40.3
2068	9.42.5–50.4
2069	16.51.5–48
2070	101–47.4
2071	13.50–43.4
2072	92–40.4
2073	11.92–44.9
2074	14.51–50
2075	112–31.4
2076	13.51–48
2077	9.40.5–41.5
2078	12.90–51.7
2079	90–44.4
2080	91.4–48.4
2081	132.4–51
2082	171–54.4
2083	14.53–60.9
2084	9.40–40.9
2085	21.40–47.9
2086	20.41.5–61.4
2087	223–65.4
2088	18.90–54
2089	205–52.7
2090	17.51–64
2091	191.5–63.5
2092	20.44–52.4
2093	161.5–42.3
2094	211–45.5
2095	193.4–62.4
2096	195–60.5
2097	20.42–55
2098	182.5–56.9
2099	16.42–62.4
2100	182–49.9

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Jersey in numbers

Every measure for Jersey on one page

Health

People

Climate

Other places nearby