Tropical nights in Monaco

Tropical nights in Monaco: 38 nights in 1950 and 62 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 62 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +24 nights
Projected, 2100: 113 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 113 nights in 2100, between 80 nights and 133 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 66 nights in 2010, the lowest 28 nights in 1968.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Monaco
2014	62
2013	61
2012	57
2011	57
2010	66
2009	51
2008	61
2007	54
2006	58
2005	54
2004	56
2003	55
2002	50
2001	50
2000	51
1999	50
1998	50
1997	48
1996	43
1995	45
1994	40
1993	41
1992	37
1991	45
1990	43
1989	42
1988	42
1987	41
1986	36
1985	34
1984	38
1983	40
1982	33
1981	36
1980	37
1979	38
1978	45
1977	32
1976	31
1975	34
1974	39
1973	36
1972	37
1971	35
1970	36
1969	37
1968	28
1967	30
1966	31
1965	31
1964	30
1963	39
1962	41
1961	36
1960	33
1959	42
1958	34
1957	36
1956	42
1955	43
1954	38
1953	34
1952	43
1951	43
1950	38

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Monaco
2015	7054–82
2016	6752–89
2017	7148–84
2018	6653–89
2019	7355–91
2020	7046–90
2021	7237–96
2022	7648–103
2023	7352–88
2024	7653–96
2025	7851–107
2026	8260–101
2027	7761–99
2028	8059–101
2029	8456–101
2030	8160–105
2031	8260–109
2032	8562–106
2033	8260–97
2034	8256–105
2035	8773–107
2036	8764–114
2037	8465–100
2038	8366–108
2039	8370–104
2040	8466–103
2041	8463–105
2042	8769–101
2043	8762–109
2044	8464–104
2045	9173–103
2046	8864–105
2047	9570–116
2048	9269–111
2049	8981–112
2050	9678–121
2051	9172–117
2052	9370–119
2053	9581–110
2054	10075–112
2055	10578–117
2056	9682–121
2057	9477–116
2058	10086–121
2059	9576–122
2060	10383–113
2061	9981–126
2062	10083–115
2063	10688–125
2064	10479–116
2065	9875–120
2066	10169–127
2067	10288–124
2068	10184–119
2069	10683–130
2070	10079–125
2071	10984–127
2072	10584–121
2073	10386–115
2074	10171–121
2075	10483–121
2076	10689–121
2077	9983–122
2078	10886–131
2079	10485–123
2080	10887–133
2081	10792–127
2082	10991–125
2083	11394–125
2084	11092–130
2085	11193–123
2086	11191–131
2087	11395–138
2088	11390–128
2089	11298–127
2090	10991–131
2091	11091–134
2092	11287–133
2093	10782–127
2094	10783–120
2095	10792–128
2096	11283–135
2097	11189–136
2098	11191–136
2099	11691–132
2100	11380–133

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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