France vs Nigeria: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 3.1 nights in France and 303.9 nights in Nigeria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 300.8 nights, or 99 times that in France.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

FranceNigeriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 19.2 nights and Nigeria at 332.3 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	France	Nigeria
2014	3.1	303.9
2013	3.1	299.5
2012	2.9	304.4
2011	2.7	301.5
2010	3.9	301.4
2009	2.5	297.8
2008	2.4	297.4
2007	2.1	298
2006	2.6	297.2
2005	2.9	295.4
2004	2.7	294.1
2003	2.6	298.4
2002	1.8	295.2
2001	2.3	299.1
2000	1.8	293.9
1999	2.1	290.3
1998	1.5	289.9
1997	1.6	292.5
1996	1.5	290
1995	1.3	289.1
1994	1.5	287.4
1993	1.1	284
1992	1	281.6
1991	1.8	289.1
1990	1.9	290.6
1989	1.2	287.2
1988	1.2	288
1987	1.3	285.6
1986	0.9	289.1
1985	0.9	284.2
1984	1.1	284.4
1983	1.1	281.9
1982	1	283.5
1981	1.1	286.4
1980	1.2	282.8
1979	0.9	283
1978	1.3	282.8
1977	0.9	285.9
1976	0.8	281.7
1975	0.9	280.4
1974	1.2	280.7
1973	0.9	284.3
1972	0.9	284.1
1971	1	279.3
1970	0.9	282
1969	1	278.7
1968	0.9	279.6
1967	0.8	278.1
1966	0.8	279.4
1965	0.7	279
1964	1	276.8
1963	0.9	275.1
1962	1.1	284.1
1961	0.9	281.9
1960	1.1	285.9
1959	1.2	282.8
1958	1	281.4
1957	1	283.3
1956	1.2	280.8
1955	1.1	280.4
1954	1.3	284.1
1953	1	280.4
1952	1.3	280.8
1951	1.1	284.2
1950	1.2	279.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	France	Nigeria
2015	3.61.5–8.6	301.7282.9–317.3
2016	4.11.5–9.9	301.4280.8–312.5
2017	3.51.3–10.2	302.5284.3–316.3
2018	3.91.7–10.8	302.2286.8–316.5
2019	4.51.6–9	300.1281.2–318
2020	4.11.6–10.5	303283.7–318.5
2021	4.51.3–13.2	305.1287.1–318.4
2022	51.5–12.5	305.1286–319.5
2023	4.81.6–12.5	305286.4–318.9
2024	5.51.8–11.2	310.6295.1–321.5
2025	5.81.5–12.1	307.5292–319.4
2026	6.22.1–12.7	306.9286.1–322.9
2027	5.41.7–11.2	307.4288–321.7
2028	5.91.7–13.3	310.7293.4–322.6
2029	6.31.9–12.6	311.4293.3–324.4
2030	5.82.1–11.9	310.6294.1–322.5
2031	5.92–11.8	312.2295–324.8
2032	5.92.7–12.9	310290–323.5
2033	72.5–13.6	313292.9–327
2034	7.92.4–17.3	311.7294.8–325.1
2035	6.92.4–14.4	314.5296.7–327.7
2036	7.32.6–14.6	313.5294.1–326.5
2037	7.32.6–13.3	315.6297.9–327.1
2038	6.53–15.1	316.9301.2–329.6
2039	6.92.6–14.3	315.4299.4–328.2
2040	7.72.3–16	315.6297.9–327.4
2041	8.12.6–15.2	316.8300.6–330.2
2042	6.93–16	316.3300.3–330.3
2043	7.92.8–15.6	316298.4–326
2044	7.93.1–16.6	317.9299.5–329.6
2045	9.23.2–19.6	316.6300.5–330.4
2046	8.93.2–17.6	317.8302.2–330.7
2047	9.74–19.2	319.8301.5–333
2048	9.13.4–17	320.1302.4–331.7
2049	10.13.7–20.8	320.7305.3–331.7
2050	10.94.8–18.9	320.9304–335
2051	9.23.5–18.4	321304.1–334.2
2052	103.4–21.2	320.9303.9–333.5
2053	8.73.8–18	320.9303.3–334.1
2054	9.74.4–19.2	324.5304.5–338.2
2055	9.93.9–17.2	322.2308.4–333.7
2056	114.3–21.8	324.8305.8–336.3
2057	10.94.2–19.8	326310.8–337.3
2058	13.85.1–25.7	322.9307.4–334.2
2059	11.23.3–25	325.7308.9–339
2060	12.86.1–22	323.8307.5–337
2061	12.64.7–23.2	324.4307.1–338.2
2062	12.36.2–22.4	325.7308–339.3
2063	125.2–24.9	326.6308.7–337
2064	125.3–21.6	326.2311–339.8
2065	12.53.9–30.8	327.6313.5–339.4
2066	11.55.3–22.1	328.4311.3–339.6
2067	18.38.1–33.3	326308.4–340.5
2068	135.4–23.4	329.3311.2–342.9
2069	15.65.7–25.5	326.6309.9–338.1
2070	13.55.2–29.1	327.4312.6–340.7
2071	154.4–30.2	329.1313–341.1
2072	15.57.4–26	330.3315.9–342.1
2073	13.96–29.1	326.3309.5–341
2074	12.84.3–27.3	326.7311.4–341.4
2075	13.96.3–25.6	328.9314.5–341.8
2076	166.1–33.8	329.6313.4–342
2077	13.25–29.8	332.5314.4–343.3
2078	13.75.1–33.6	329.8312.8–342.1
2079	12.95.3–28.4	329.6313.8–340.6
2080	14.45.4–27.9	331.7314.1–344.8
2081	15.15.8–29.8	329.3311.6–343.7
2082	16.46.1–33.9	329.3313.3–341.4
2083	15.97.9–32	330.4315–342.2
2084	14.16.6–27.7	330.5311.9–344.2
2085	16.57.3–30.2	332.7316.6–343.6
2086	19.55.5–32.4	331.9316.3–343.6
2087	196.9–38	330.7314.9–342.4
2088	18.47.7–35.2	331.7313.2–342.7
2089	1910.6–29.3	331.1318.3–341.9
2090	16.36.8–33.5	332.4312.7–343.9
2091	19.77.6–32.3	333.3311–345.8
2092	17.36.1–32.7	332.7313.8–345.7
2093	156.5–29.8	334.2318.6–344.9
2094	18.68.5–32.8	334.2317.3–345.6
2095	19.25.9–38.9	333.8319.3–346.3
2096	19.37.6–35.5	332.5317.4–346.7
2097	17.36.2–36.1	331.8312.6–344.6
2098	18.16.9–36.3	332.3316–343.7
2099	20.37.4–34.6	333316.9–344.2
2100	19.27–36.7	332.3318.5–345

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

France vs Nigeria: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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Each country on its own

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