Nigeria

Tropical nights in Nigeria

Tropical nights in Nigeria: 279.3 nights in 1950 and 303.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
303.9 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+24.6 nights
Projected, 2100
332.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in NigeriaTropical nights in Nigeria: 279.3 nights in 1950 and 303.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 332.3 nights in 2100, between 318.5 nights and 345 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 332.3 nights in 2100, between 318.5 nights and 345 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 304.4 nights in 2012, the lowest 275.1 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearNigeria
2014303.9
2013299.5
2012304.4
2011301.5
2010301.4
2009297.8
2008297.4
2007298
2006297.2
2005295.4
2004294.1
2003298.4
2002295.2
2001299.1
2000293.9
1999290.3
1998289.9
1997292.5
1996290
1995289.1
1994287.4
1993284
1992281.6
1991289.1
1990290.6
1989287.2
1988288
1987285.6
1986289.1
1985284.2
1984284.4
1983281.9
1982283.5
1981286.4
1980282.8
1979283
1978282.8
1977285.9
1976281.7
1975280.4
1974280.7
1973284.3
1972284.1
1971279.3
1970282
1969278.7
1968279.6
1967278.1
1966279.4
1965279
1964276.8
1963275.1
1962284.1
1961281.9
1960285.9
1959282.8
1958281.4
1957283.3
1956280.8
1955280.4
1954284.1
1953280.4
1952280.8
1951284.2
1950279.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearNigeria
2015301.7282.9–317.3
2016301.4280.8–312.5
2017302.5284.3–316.3
2018302.2286.8–316.5
2019300.1281.2–318
2020303283.7–318.5
2021305.1287.1–318.4
2022305.1286–319.5
2023305286.4–318.9
2024310.6295.1–321.5
2025307.5292–319.4
2026306.9286.1–322.9
2027307.4288–321.7
2028310.7293.4–322.6
2029311.4293.3–324.4
2030310.6294.1–322.5
2031312.2295–324.8
2032310290–323.5
2033313292.9–327
2034311.7294.8–325.1
2035314.5296.7–327.7
2036313.5294.1–326.5
2037315.6297.9–327.1
2038316.9301.2–329.6
2039315.4299.4–328.2
2040315.6297.9–327.4
2041316.8300.6–330.2
2042316.3300.3–330.3
2043316298.4–326
2044317.9299.5–329.6
2045316.6300.5–330.4
2046317.8302.2–330.7
2047319.8301.5–333
2048320.1302.4–331.7
2049320.7305.3–331.7
2050320.9304–335
2051321304.1–334.2
2052320.9303.9–333.5
2053320.9303.3–334.1
2054324.5304.5–338.2
2055322.2308.4–333.7
2056324.8305.8–336.3
2057326310.8–337.3
2058322.9307.4–334.2
2059325.7308.9–339
2060323.8307.5–337
2061324.4307.1–338.2
2062325.7308–339.3
2063326.6308.7–337
2064326.2311–339.8
2065327.6313.5–339.4
2066328.4311.3–339.6
2067326308.4–340.5
2068329.3311.2–342.9
2069326.6309.9–338.1
2070327.4312.6–340.7
2071329.1313–341.1
2072330.3315.9–342.1
2073326.3309.5–341
2074326.7311.4–341.4
2075328.9314.5–341.8
2076329.6313.4–342
2077332.5314.4–343.3
2078329.8312.8–342.1
2079329.6313.8–340.6
2080331.7314.1–344.8
2081329.3311.6–343.7
2082329.3313.3–341.4
2083330.4315–342.2
2084330.5311.9–344.2
2085332.7316.6–343.6
2086331.9316.3–343.6
2087330.7314.9–342.4
2088331.7313.2–342.7
2089331.1318.3–341.9
2090332.4312.7–343.9
2091333.3311–345.8
2092332.7313.8–345.7
2093334.2318.6–344.9
2094334.2317.3–345.6
2095333.8319.3–346.3
2096332.5317.4–346.7
2097331.8312.6–344.6
2098332.3316–343.7
2099333316.9–344.2
2100332.3318.5–345

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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