Canada vs Philippines: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.5 nights in Canada and 331.5 nights in Philippines, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Philippines, by 331 nights, or 630 times that in Canada.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CanadaPhilippinesCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Philippines has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 4.1 nights and Philippines at 351.3 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Canada	Philippines
2014	0.5	331.5
2013	0.4	330.9
2012	0.5	331.1
2011	0.5	329.8
2010	0.4	330.6
2009	0.5	329
2008	0.4	327.5
2007	0.4	327.8
2006	0.5	328.7
2005	0.4	329.7
2004	0.4	329.4
2003	0.4	327.1
2002	0.4	328.9
2001	0.3	327.8
2000	0.3	326.8
1999	0.4	327.5
1998	0.3	326.5
1997	0.3	325.4
1996	0.3	324.6
1995	0.3	324.2
1994	0.2	321.5
1993	0.2	319.5
1992	0.1	318.4
1991	0.2	324.1
1990	0.3	323.5
1989	0.2	322.5
1988	0.2	324
1987	0.2	323.1
1986	0.2	322.1
1985	0.2	321.4
1984	0.2	321.7
1983	0.1	319.4
1982	0.1	320.5
1981	0.2	320.4
1980	0.2	322.7
1979	0.2	321.2
1978	0.2	320.6
1977	0.2	319.8
1976	0.1	319.6
1975	0.3	319.6
1974	0.2	320
1973	0.2	319.4
1972	0.2	318.9
1971	0.1	318.8
1970	0.2	319
1969	0.1	318.7
1968	0.1	317.2
1967	0.1	317.4
1966	0.2	318.8
1965	0.2	317.2
1964	0.1	314.9
1963	0.2	317.2
1962	0.2	318.6
1961	0.3	319.3
1960	0.2	318.6
1959	0.2	320.5
1958	0.2	321.8
1957	0.2	319.4
1956	0.2	320
1955	0.2	319.3
1954	0.2	317.7
1953	0.1	320
1952	0.2	319
1951	0.2	319.8
1950	0.2	320.4

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Canada	Philippines
2015	0.60.1–1.9	333319.8–339.5
2016	0.60.2–1.9	334.2322.8–340.7
2017	0.60.1–2	333.4319.7–339.8
2018	0.60.2–1.8	333.2320.1–340.1
2019	0.60.2–1.9	334.1323.4–341.2
2020	0.60.1–2	334.6322.6–341.8
2021	0.60.1–1.9	335.6323.3–341.1
2022	0.80.3–2.3	335.7323.3–342.1
2023	0.80.2–2.5	336.7324.8–343.2
2024	0.70.1–2.6	337.2325.7–343.9
2025	0.90.2–2.5	336.3326.2–342.8
2026	10.2–3.1	336.5322.9–343
2027	0.90.2–3.3	336.2325.7–342.3
2028	10.3–2.6	337.1325.5–343.8
2029	10.3–3	338.1327.2–344.6
2030	10.2–2.7	337.7326.2–344.4
2031	0.90.2–2.7	337.1325.6–343.8
2032	1.10.3–3.3	339.4329.5–346.1
2033	1.10.4–3	339.7329.6–345.5
2034	1.10.3–3.1	338.8328.8–345
2035	1.30.3–3.8	338.6327.5–346.4
2036	1.30.3–4	339.6327.8–346.9
2037	10.3–3.3	339.8329.1–345.5
2038	1.10.3–3.9	341.9330.7–347.7
2039	1.10.3–3.5	341.2330.4–346.9
2040	1.40.3–4.9	340.4328.1–347.6
2041	1.30.4–3.7	341.1329.1–346.7
2042	1.20.4–3.9	342331.4–347.7
2043	1.20.3–4.5	341.3329–348.1
2044	1.60.5–4.3	342.8329.9–349.8
2045	1.40.4–4.2	343.4333.8–348.7
2046	1.60.4–4.9	342.7330.2–348.7
2047	1.70.6–4.8	343.2331.7–350.6
2048	1.60.5–4.1	343.3332.7–350.6
2049	1.60.4–5	343.2332.5–349.5
2050	1.70.4–5.2	344.3332.6–349.9
2051	1.80.5–6	344.4334.9–350.8
2052	20.3–5.2	344.1333.5–350.9
2053	1.50.3–4.9	344.3333.6–350.3
2054	1.80.4–5.7	343.4332–349.9
2055	20.5–5	344.3334.4–350.5
2056	1.90.5–5.8	345334.6–352.6
2057	20.5–5.8	345.5335.1–351.5
2058	2.10.5–6.4	345.8334.3–351.3
2059	20.6–5.9	345.5333.7–351.6
2060	2.50.8–5.6	346.8335.5–353.5
2061	2.40.6–6	345.9335–351.8
2062	2.60.4–6.4	346335.2–353.5
2063	2.20.6–6.4	346.6336.2–352.8
2064	1.70.4–6	346.9335.3–353
2065	2.40.5–7	346.1335.9–351.9
2066	2.30.5–7.4	346.5335.4–352.4
2067	2.40.6–6.3	346.1335.4–352
2068	2.50.5–7.9	347.1335.1–354.1
2069	2.90.8–7	347333.8–353.6
2070	2.30.7–7.2	346.7336.1–352.7
2071	2.40.5–7.3	347.6336.2–353.9
2072	2.50.7–7.2	347334.4–353.8
2073	2.60.6–7.6	348.4336.7–355
2074	2.60.7–7.6	348.6337–354.9
2075	2.60.6–7.7	347.9337.2–354
2076	2.80.7–7.9	348.4337–355.1
2077	2.90.7–8.5	348.7337–354.8
2078	2.60.8–8.4	348.4338.2–354.7
2079	30.7–7.4	348.8337.6–354.7
2080	2.70.8–7.5	349.1338.4–355.9
2081	31–8.6	348.8336.9–355.1
2082	3.40.7–9.1	349.6338–354.9
2083	3.21–9.4	349.9337.9–356.1
2084	2.90.8–8.4	349.5336.7–356.4
2085	3.51–9.1	349.1338.2–355.4
2086	3.51–9.4	349.4337.5–354.9
2087	3.80.9–9.5	349.7338.7–356
2088	3.60.7–9.2	349.9338.9–356.1
2089	3.40.9–8.5	350.2339.8–355.2
2090	3.30.8–9	350.1339.7–355.9
2091	3.91–10.6	349.5339.5–356.3
2092	3.91–10	350.5339.3–356.1
2093	3.61–9.6	350.4337.9–356.5
2094	3.90.6–9.2	350.5338.4–355.9
2095	3.71.1–11.2	350.5338.3–355.7
2096	3.91.1–10.7	351.1339–358
2097	41.1–10.7	350.2339.3–355.6
2098	3.71.1–10.2	350.3337.4–355.2
2099	3.81.3–9.7	350.6339.3–356.4
2100	4.11–11.5	351.3340.2–356.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Canada vs Philippines: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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