Canada vs Russia

Canada vs Russia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Russia, by 0.3 °C.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Canada vs Russia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Russia, by 0.3 °C.
CanadaRussiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Russia has been higher since 2025, when it overtook Canada.
  • In 2025, Canada ranked 232 and Russia ranked 231 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and Russia at 0.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.2-2.3-2.7
2024-1.8-2-2.2-2.8
2023-1.8-2.3-2.5-2.9
2022-3.6-2.3-2.5-2.7
2021-2.8-2.4-3.4-2.9
2020-3.6-2.5-1.2-2.9
2019-3.6-2.7-2.5-2.9
2018-4.2-2.7-3.1-3
2017-3.2-2.6-2.5-3.2
2016-2.7-2.7-2.8-3.1
2015-3.5-2.7-2.6-3
2014-4.1-2.6-3.4-3
2013-4-2.9-3.2-3
2012-3-2.9-3.4-3.3
2011-3.4-3-2.8-3.5
2010-1.7-3-4-3.4
2009-4-3.1-4.1-3.4
2008-4.2-3-2.8-3.2
2007-4-3.1-2.4-3.4
2006-2.3-3.4-4.1-3.5
2005-3.2-3.1-2.9-3.4
2004-4.9-3.1-4-3.8
2003-3.7-3.1-3.3-3.5
2002-4.3-3.4-3.7-3.7
2001-3-3.4-4-3.7
2000-4.1-3.5-4.2-3.8
1999-3.3-3.4-4.3-4
1998-2.6-3.6-4.8-4
1997-4.2-3.6-3.9-4.3
1996-4.9-3.9-4.4-4.1
1995-4.2-4.1-2.7-4.3
1994-4.3-4.1-4.4-4.6
1993-4.4-4.5-4.1-4.6
1992-5-4.6-4.4-4.7
1991-4.4-4-3.7-4.3
1990-5-3.7-3.5-4.2
1989-5-4.1-3.5-4.2
1988-4.1-4.4-3.8-4.3
1987-3.3-4-5.8-4.7
1986-4.8-4.2-4.3-4.5
1985-4.8-4.4-5-4.4
1984-4.5-4.4-4.8-5.1
1983-4.7-4.6-3.4-5.1
1982-5.8-4.2-4.6-4.7
1981-2.8-4.2-3.6-4.9
1980-4.4-4.4-4.9-4.8
1979-4.9-4.3-5.3-4.7
1978-5.4-4.4-4.8-4.6
1977-3.9-4.4-5-4.7
1976-4.9-4.7-5.4-5.1
1975-4.9-4.3-3.6-4.9
1974-5.6-4.4-5.1-4.8
1973-4-4.6-4.3-5.1
1972-6.8-4.7-5.2-5
1971-4.8-4.5-4.4-5.1
1970-5-4.4-5-5.1
1969-4.4-4.4-6.2-5.1
1968-4.7-4.8-5.1-4.8
1967-5.4-4.6-3.8-5
1966-5.1-4.5-5.7-5.1
1965-5.5-4.6-5.3-5.3
1964-5.4-4.7-5.2-4.9
1963-4.6-4.5-4.5-5
1962-4.8-4.5-3.9-5
1961-5-4.4-4.4-4.8
1960-4.4-4.5-5.4-4.9
1959-5.2-4.6-4.2-4.8
1958-4.2-4.2-5.5-4.9
1957-4.9-4.5-4.6-5.1
1956-5.7-4.4-5.2-4.8
1955-4.9-4.2-5-4.7
1954-4.7-4.5-4.7-4.8
1953-4.1-4.4-4.1-4.9
1952-4.1-4.4-5.6-4.9
1951-5.5-4.4-4.4-5
1950-6-4.3-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–-0-2–2.1–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–0-1.9–2–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–0.1-2–2.2–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–-0-2–2.2
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–0.2-1.8–2
2092–0.5-1.5–3–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–0.2-2–2.3
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–0.9-1.2–3–0-1.9–2.3
2099–0.5-1.5–3–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–0.1-1.7–2.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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