Canada vs South Africa

Canada vs South Africa: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 18.3 °C in South Africa, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in South Africa, by 20.9 °C.

°C · ERA5

Canada vs South Africa: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 18.3 °C in South Africa, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in South Africa, by 20.9 °C.
CanadaSouth AfricaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • South Africa has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Canada ranked 232 and South Africa ranked 155 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and South Africa at 20.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianSouth AfricaSouth Africa: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.218.318.8
2024-1.8-218.919
2023-1.8-2.318.218.8
2022-3.6-2.318.118.9
2021-2.8-2.417.818.8
2020-3.6-2.518.218.7
2019-3.6-2.719.118.7
2018-4.2-2.718.318.7
2017-3.2-2.618.218.7
2016-2.7-2.718.818.5
2015-3.5-2.718.818.6
2014-4.1-2.617.918.6
2013-4-2.917.818.7
2012-3-2.917.718.6
2011-3.4-317.318.3
2010-1.7-318.218.4
2009-4-3.117.718.4
2008-4.2-317.918.3
2007-4-3.117.818.2
2006-2.3-3.417.418.4
2005-3.2-3.118.118.4
2004-4.9-3.11818.4
2003-3.7-3.118.118.3
2002-4.3-3.417.718.3
2001-3-3.417.618.2
2000-4.1-3.517.218.3
1999-3.3-3.418.318.1
1998-2.6-3.617.818.1
1997-4.2-3.617.218.1
1996-4.9-3.916.818
1995-4.2-4.117.517.9
1994-4.3-4.117.417.9
1993-4.4-4.51817.7
1992-5-4.61817.5
1991-4.4-417.518.2
1990-5-3.717.518.1
1989-5-4.117.217.9
1988-4.1-4.417.418.1
1987-3.3-417.918
1986-4.8-4.217.817.9
1985-4.8-4.417.917.8
1984-4.5-4.417.817.8
1983-4.7-4.61817.7
1982-5.8-4.217.517.9
1981-2.8-4.216.917.9
1980-4.4-4.417.518
1979-4.9-4.317.417.8
1978-5.4-4.417.117.8
1977-3.9-4.417.317.9
1976-4.9-4.716.517.8
1975-4.9-4.316.717.7
1974-5.6-4.416.717.8
1973-4-4.617.217.8
1972-6.8-4.717.417.6
1971-4.8-4.51717.7
1970-5-4.417.517.7
1969-4.4-4.417.417.7
1968-4.7-4.816.617.7
1967-5.4-4.61717.6
1966-5.1-4.517.617.7
1965-5.5-4.617.217.5
1964-5.4-4.71717.3
1963-4.6-4.517.217.3
1962-4.8-4.517.617.8
1961-5-4.417.217.9
1960-4.4-4.517.217.7
1959-5.2-4.617.217.7
1958-4.2-4.217.417.8
1957-4.9-4.517.217.9
1956-5.7-4.416.917.6
1955-4.9-4.216.417.9
1954-4.7-4.516.717.7
1953-4.1-4.417.817.6
1952-4.1-4.417.517.9
1951-5.5-4.417.417.7
1950-6-4.317.417.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianSouth AfricaSouth Africa: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–1918.2–19.9
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–1918.3–19.8
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–1918.2–19.6
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–19.218.6–19.9
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–19.218.4–19.9
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–19.218.4–20.1
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–19.218.5–19.9
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–19.218.4–19.9
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–19.218.6–20
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–19.118.3–19.8
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–19.218.5–19.8
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–19.418.7–20.2
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–19.518.8–20.2
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–19.418.5–20.1
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–19.418.7–20.2
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–19.518.7–20.2
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–19.718.7–20.4
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–19.718.8–20.4
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–19.518.7–20.6
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–19.518.7–20.4
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–19.819–20.6
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–19.918.9–20.6
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–19.919–20.6
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–19.919.1–20.8
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–19.819–20.8
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–19.919–20.7
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–2019–20.9
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–19.919.1–20.7
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–2019–21
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–2019.1–21
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–2018.9–20.9
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–20.118.9–21.3
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–2019.1–20.8
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–20.219.1–20.9
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–20.219.3–21.1
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–20.219.3–21.1
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–2019–21.1
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–20.119.2–21.3
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–20.119.3–21
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–20.119.1–21.2
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–20.319.3–21.4
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–20.119–21.1
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–20.319.2–21.2
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–20.319.3–21.2
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–20.219.4–21.3
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–20.419.5–21.6
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–20.419.5–21.3
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–20.719.8–21.5
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–20.419.4–21.5
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–20.419.4–21.4
2076–-0-2–2.1–20.519.5–21.4
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–20.619.6–21.7
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–20.419.5–21.6
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–20.619.4–21.6
2080–0-1.9–2–20.719.6–21.7
2081–0.1-2–2.2–20.519.6–21.6
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–20.619.6–21.5
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–20.719.6–21.6
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–20.719.4–21.6
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–20.719.6–22
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–20.619.8–22
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–20.519.7–21.7
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–20.819.7–21.9
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–20.719.7–21.6
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–20.819.6–21.9
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–20.819.7–21.9
2092–0.5-1.5–3–20.919.9–21.9
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–20.619.6–21.8
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–20.619.8–22
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–2119.6–22.3
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–20.819.7–22.1
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–20.619.5–21.9
2098–0.9-1.2–3–20.919.8–22.3
2099–0.5-1.5–3–20.819.7–22
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–20.719.6–21.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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