Chad vs South Africa: Population growth
Population growth in 2023: 5.71% a year in Chad and 1.32% a year in South Africa, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Chad, by 4.4 percentage points, or 4.34 times that in South Africa.
ChadSouth Africa
Watch it change on the map% a year · UN
Latest figures
% a year · UN
| Country | Latest | 10 years before | Rank in 2023 | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad | 5.71 2023 | 3.7 | 2 of 229 | 0.46 2100 |
| South Africa | 1.32 2023 | 1.62 | 87 of 229 | 0.23 2100 |
| World | 0.87 2023 | 1.23 | -0.13 2100 |
What the numbers say
- Chad has been higher since 1994, when it overtook South Africa.
- In 2023, Chad ranked 2 and South Africa ranked 87 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
- The UN projection (medium variant) puts Chad at 0.46% a year and South Africa at 0.23% a year in 2100.
- The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.
Every year
% a year · UN
| Year | Chad | South Africa | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 5.71 | 1.32 | 0.87 |
| 2022 | 3.39 | 1.34 | 0.88 |
| 2021 | 3.53 | 1.49 | 0.8 |
| 2020 | 3.36 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 3 | 1.65 | 1.03 |
| 2018 | 3.44 | 1.65 | 1.07 |
| 2017 | 3.27 | 1.72 | 1.13 |
| 2016 | 3.34 | -0.42 | 1.17 |
| 2015 | 2.93 | 2.31 | 1.18 |
| 2014 | 3.45 | 1.7 | 1.22 |
| 2013 | 3.7 | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| 2012 | 3.44 | 1.69 | 1.27 |
| 2011 | 3.59 | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| 2010 | 3.47 | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| 2009 | 3.46 | 1.15 | 1.28 |
| 2008 | 3.69 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| 2007 | 3.3 | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| 2006 | 3.6 | 1.04 | 1.28 |
| 2005 | 3.6 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 2004 | 4.48 | 1.02 | 1.28 |
| 2003 | 4.43 | 0.99 | 1.29 |
| 2002 | 3.55 | 1 | 1.3 |
| 2001 | 3.42 | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| 2000 | 3.33 | 0.83 | 1.35 |
| 1999 | 3.59 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1998 | 3.43 | 1.18 | 1.37 |
| 1997 | 3.45 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| 1996 | 3.45 | 1.15 | 1.42 |
| 1995 | 5.45 | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| 1994 | 3.32 | 0.98 | 1.47 |
| 1993 | 1.26 | 2.27 | 1.52 |
| 1992 | 3.48 | 1.7 | 1.57 |
| 1991 | 5.04 | 1.89 | 1.63 |
| 1990 | 2.23 | 2.69 | 1.76 |
| 1989 | 3.32 | 2.88 | 1.78 |
| 1988 | 3.46 | 3 | 1.79 |
| 1987 | 3.31 | 3.09 | 1.84 |
| 1986 | 3.7 | 3.15 | 1.83 |
| 1985 | 2.26 | 3.25 | 1.8 |
| 1984 | -0.26 | 3.42 | 1.8 |
| 1983 | 2.91 | 3.5 | 1.78 |
| 1982 | 7.1 | 3.48 | 1.86 |
| 1981 | 2.18 | 3.43 | 1.82 |
| 1980 | -1.94 | 3.38 | 1.8 |
| 1979 | 2.39 | 2.7 | 1.79 |
| 1978 | 1.82 | 2.71 | 1.74 |
| 1977 | 1.83 | 2.75 | 1.75 |
| 1976 | 1.92 | 2.66 | 1.78 |
| 1975 | 2.08 | 2.75 | 1.8 |
| 1974 | 2.24 | 2.79 | 1.88 |
| 1973 | 2.35 | 2.85 | 1.94 |
| 1972 | 2.35 | 2.87 | 1.97 |
| 1971 | 2.11 | 2.87 | 1.97 |
| 1970 | 2.11 | 2.99 | 2.06 |
| 1969 | 2.05 | 3.07 | 2.06 |
| 1968 | 1.99 | 3.11 | 2.09 |
| 1967 | 1.95 | 3.13 | 2 |
| 1966 | 1.94 | 3.11 | 2.04 |
| 1965 | 1.97 | 3.09 | 2.09 |
| 1964 | 2.03 | 3.06 | 2.16 |
| 1963 | 2.04 | 3.05 | 2.28 |
| 1962 | 2.03 | 3.02 | 2.11 |
| 1961 | 2.02 | 2.93 | 1.67 |
| 1960 | 2.01 | 2.68 | 1.58 |
| 1959 | 2 | 2.56 | 1.73 |
| 1958 | 1.99 | 2.43 | 2 |
| 1957 | 1.96 | 2.44 | 2.07 |
| 1956 | 1.94 | 2.39 | 1.98 |
| 1955 | 1.89 | 2.33 | 2.01 |
| 1954 | 1.85 | 2.26 | 1.99 |
| 1953 | 1.81 | 2.17 | 1.9 |
| 1952 | 1.78 | 2.16 | 1.94 |
| 1951 | 1.76 | 2.1 | 1.75 |
| 1950 | 1.77 | 2.01 | 1.74 |
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
| Year | Chad | South Africa | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4.221.87–6.38 | 1.190.34–1.98 | 0.86 |
| 2025 | 2.630.15–4.77 | 1.120.23–2.01 | 0.84 |
| 2026 | 2.610.07–4.81 | 1.050.1–1.94 | 0.83 |
| 2027 | 3.020.6–5.18 | 1.040.12–1.97 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | 2.960.42–5.11 | 1.030.07–2.02 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 2.890.41–5.09 | 0.990.04–1.9 | 0.78 |
| 2030 | 2.820.38–5.09 | 0.94-0.03–1.93 | 0.76 |
| 2031 | 2.80.23–5.03 | 0.920–1.95 | 0.75 |
| 2032 | 2.740.3–5.05 | 0.9-0.06–1.9 | 0.73 |
| 2033 | 2.670.24–5.01 | 0.87-0.12–1.84 | 0.72 |
| 2034 | 2.580.14–5.04 | 0.84-0.19–1.83 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 2.540.09–4.84 | 0.83-0.15–1.82 | 0.69 |
| 2036 | 2.550.02–4.79 | 0.8-0.19–1.74 | 0.67 |
| 2037 | 2.48-0.08–4.96 | 0.79-0.26–1.8 | 0.65 |
| 2038 | 2.43-0.02–4.83 | 0.76-0.27–1.73 | 0.64 |
| 2039 | 2.39-0.14–4.78 | 0.73-0.31–1.74 | 0.62 |
| 2040 | 2.28-0.24–4.75 | 0.73-0.37–1.71 | 0.61 |
| 2041 | 2.31-0.22–4.71 | 0.72-0.33–1.73 | 0.59 |
| 2042 | 2.27-0.31–4.81 | 0.71-0.31–1.81 | 0.57 |
| 2043 | 2.24-0.22–4.68 | 0.7-0.31–1.75 | 0.56 |
| 2044 | 2.17-0.48–4.65 | 0.68-0.34–1.72 | 0.54 |
| 2045 | 2.18-0.44–4.71 | 0.67-0.35–1.76 | 0.52 |
| 2046 | 2.12-0.44–4.59 | 0.68-0.29–1.74 | 0.5 |
| 2047 | 2.08-0.45–4.64 | 0.66-0.38–1.71 | 0.48 |
| 2048 | 2.1-0.47–4.67 | 0.62-0.43–1.66 | 0.46 |
| 2049 | 2-0.58–4.49 | 0.61-0.42–1.71 | 0.44 |
| 2050 | 2-0.51–4.66 | 0.6-0.46–1.66 | 0.42 |
| 2051 | 1.97-0.53–4.59 | 0.6-0.43–1.72 | 0.4 |
| 2052 | 1.94-0.71–4.55 | 0.56-0.46–1.69 | 0.38 |
| 2053 | 1.9-0.77–4.66 | 0.54-0.51–1.6 | 0.36 |
| 2054 | 1.84-0.71–4.46 | 0.54-0.55–1.62 | 0.34 |
| 2055 | 1.84-0.83–4.7 | 0.52-0.56–1.6 | 0.33 |
| 2056 | 1.78-0.82–4.49 | 0.5-0.6–1.6 | 0.31 |
| 2057 | 1.73-0.91–4.47 | 0.5-0.66–1.66 | 0.3 |
| 2058 | 1.71-0.85–4.59 | 0.49-0.58–1.71 | 0.28 |
| 2059 | 1.71-1–4.44 | 0.47-0.66–1.64 | 0.27 |
| 2060 | 1.67-0.93–4.48 | 0.46-0.65–1.62 | 0.25 |
| 2061 | 1.57-1.01–4.34 | 0.44-0.69–1.57 | 0.24 |
| 2062 | 1.54-1.06–4.39 | 0.44-0.73–1.59 | 0.23 |
| 2063 | 1.51-1.16–4.38 | 0.43-0.75–1.56 | 0.22 |
| 2064 | 1.51-1.09–4.36 | 0.42-0.74–1.6 | 0.21 |
| 2065 | 1.43-1.27–4.11 | 0.39-0.74–1.52 | 0.2 |
| 2066 | 1.42-1.19–4.3 | 0.39-0.76–1.53 | 0.19 |
| 2067 | 1.32-1.44–4.19 | 0.37-0.8–1.52 | 0.18 |
| 2068 | 1.32-1.43–4.15 | 0.36-0.86–1.53 | 0.17 |
| 2069 | 1.29-1.49–4.22 | 0.35-0.89–1.54 | 0.16 |
| 2070 | 1.26-1.41–4.15 | 0.38-0.87–1.6 | 0.15 |
| 2071 | 1.26-1.47–3.94 | 0.37-0.83–1.6 | 0.14 |
| 2072 | 1.24-1.39–4.13 | 0.32-0.85–1.52 | 0.13 |
| 2073 | 1.19-1.43–4.03 | 0.32-0.88–1.45 | 0.12 |
| 2074 | 1.14-1.53–4.05 | 0.32-0.92–1.58 | 0.1 |
| 2075 | 1.13-1.51–4.1 | 0.31-0.94–1.44 | 0.09 |
| 2076 | 1.1-1.74–4.04 | 0.3-0.96–1.37 | 0.08 |
| 2077 | 1.08-1.63–4.08 | 0.31-0.93–1.51 | 0.07 |
| 2078 | 1.07-1.55–4.06 | 0.31-0.93–1.53 | 0.06 |
| 2079 | 1.04-1.74–4.24 | 0.3-1.05–1.53 | 0.05 |
| 2080 | 0.99-1.76–3.91 | 0.3-1.01–1.52 | 0.04 |
| 2081 | 0.98-1.69–3.92 | 0.3-0.99–1.52 | 0.03 |
| 2082 | 0.89-1.7–3.99 | 0.29-1.04–1.49 | 0.02 |
| 2083 | 0.91-1.84–3.91 | 0.29-1.04–1.51 | 0.01 |
| 2084 | 0.88-1.72–3.85 | 0.27-1.01–1.55 | -0 |
| 2085 | 0.86-1.9–3.78 | 0.25-1.1–1.51 | -0.01 |
| 2086 | 0.81-2.12–3.77 | 0.28-1.09–1.53 | -0.02 |
| 2087 | 0.79-1.82–3.83 | 0.27-1.06–1.54 | -0.03 |
| 2088 | 0.74-1.92–3.81 | 0.26-1.13–1.51 | -0.04 |
| 2089 | 0.75-2.02–3.91 | 0.26-1.11–1.51 | -0.05 |
| 2090 | 0.74-2.27–3.56 | 0.25-1.16–1.52 | -0.05 |
| 2091 | 0.68-2.07–3.65 | 0.27-1.09–1.45 | -0.06 |
| 2092 | 0.67-2.18–3.66 | 0.24-1.17–1.46 | -0.07 |
| 2093 | 0.63-2.32–3.75 | 0.24-1.19–1.54 | -0.07 |
| 2094 | 0.57-2.38–3.75 | 0.24-1.21–1.48 | -0.08 |
| 2095 | 0.56-2.36–3.65 | 0.22-1.12–1.52 | -0.09 |
| 2096 | 0.56-2.42–3.74 | 0.21-1.14–1.48 | -0.1 |
| 2097 | 0.55-2.4–3.61 | 0.2-1.23–1.49 | -0.11 |
| 2098 | 0.47-2.28–3.76 | 0.22-1.19–1.5 | -0.11 |
| 2099 | 0.46-2.43–3.43 | 0.22-1.1–1.46 | -0.12 |
| 2100 | 0.46-2.44–3.47 | 0.23-1.2–1.45 | -0.13 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
- Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
- The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
- Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
- The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time