China vs India

China vs India: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: -0.24% a year in China and 0.89% a year in India, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in India, by 1.12 percentage points.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

China vs India: Population growthPopulation growth in 2023: -0.24% a year in China and 0.89% a year in India, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in India, by 1.12 percentage points.
ChinaIndiaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

  • India has been higher since 1972, when it overtook China.
  • In 2023, China ranked 189 and India ranked 113 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The UN projection (medium variant) puts China at -1.68% a year and India at -0.51% a year in 2100.
  • The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

YearChinaIndiaWorld
2023-0.240.890.87
2022-0.130.880.88
2021-0.050.70.8
20200.090.950.9
20190.2711.03
20180.371.081.07
20170.581.111.13
20160.611.211.17
20150.531.171.18
20140.651.221.22
20130.641.311.23
20120.741.361.27
20110.621.391.26
20100.661.441.27
20090.681.471.28
20080.621.431.28
20070.591.451.28
20060.591.561.28
20050.631.571.27
20040.581.71.28
20030.591.711.29
20020.61.761.3
20010.671.871.33
20000.771.881.35
19990.721.881.35
19980.761.921.37
19970.791.951.39
19960.861.981.42
19950.912.011.45
19940.922.011.47
19931.022.081.52
19921.122.121.57
19911.222.141.63
19901.742.21.76
19891.682.231.78
19881.652.241.79
19871.792.261.84
19861.72.31.83
19851.562.311.8
19841.472.341.8
19831.382.351.78
19821.652.331.86
19811.52.341.82
19801.442.361.8
19791.42.411.79
19781.322.241.74
19771.332.371.75
19761.482.351.78
19751.612.361.8
19741.872.371.88
19732.112.231.94
19722.232.271.97
19712.372.121.97
19702.612.322.06
19692.62.122.06
19682.752.112.09
19672.442.192
19662.522.12.04
19652.662.182.09
19642.552.332.16
19633.292.362.28
19622.472.332.11
19610.332.411.67
1960-0.032.381.58
19590.672.361.73
19581.952.42
19572.42.232.07
19562.022.381.98
19552.252.352.01
19542.252.351.99
19532.052.231.9
19522.312.271.94
19511.762.211.75
19501.792.131.74
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
YearChinaIndiaWorld
2024-0.22-0.42–-0.020.90.6–1.20.86
2025-0.23-0.46–-0.020.880.55–1.230.84
2026-0.22-0.45–0.010.860.5–1.220.83
2027-0.24-0.5–-0.010.830.43–1.220.81
2028-0.26-0.54–-0.010.810.38–1.210.8
2029-0.29-0.58–-0.030.780.34–1.180.78
2030-0.3-0.6–-0.040.760.3–1.160.76
2031-0.33-0.64–-0.040.730.28–1.150.75
2032-0.35-0.68–-0.030.70.25–1.130.73
2033-0.37-0.71–-0.050.680.2–1.110.72
2034-0.39-0.74–-0.060.650.18–1.080.7
2035-0.41-0.78–-0.070.620.15–1.050.69
2036-0.42-0.81–-0.080.590.12–1.020.67
2037-0.44-0.84–-0.080.560.08–10.65
2038-0.46-0.88–-0.090.530.04–0.980.64
2039-0.48-0.9–-0.120.50.03–0.930.62
2040-0.5-0.95–-0.120.48-0.01–0.910.61
2041-0.52-0.98–-0.120.45-0.02–0.90.59
2042-0.54-1–-0.140.42-0.06–0.840.57
2043-0.56-1.04–-0.170.39-0.1–0.830.56
2044-0.59-1.08–-0.180.37-0.12–0.820.54
2045-0.62-1.14–-0.210.34-0.14–0.810.52
2046-0.66-1.15–-0.250.32-0.17–0.770.5
2047-0.69-1.2–-0.290.29-0.2–0.740.48
2048-0.73-1.24–-0.320.27-0.23–0.730.46
2049-0.78-1.29–-0.350.25-0.24–0.720.44
2050-0.82-1.36–-0.40.23-0.27–0.720.42
2051-0.87-1.4–-0.460.21-0.32–0.710.4
2052-0.92-1.45–-0.480.19-0.36–0.70.38
2053-0.97-1.5–-0.520.17-0.38–0.690.36
2054-1.01-1.56–-0.570.14-0.42–0.690.34
2055-1.06-1.59–-0.60.13-0.45–0.690.33
2056-1.1-1.65–-0.630.11-0.49–0.670.31
2057-1.14-1.69–-0.670.09-0.52–0.660.3
2058-1.17-1.71–-0.680.07-0.56–0.670.28
2059-1.2-1.75–-0.720.05-0.59–0.640.27
2060-1.23-1.8–-0.710.03-0.64–0.620.25
2061-1.25-1.81–-0.740.01-0.65–0.620.24
2062-1.26-1.83–-0.73-0.01-0.66–0.60.23
2063-1.27-1.87–-0.73-0.03-0.72–0.60.22
2064-1.28-1.9–-0.75-0.05-0.77–0.590.21
2065-1.29-1.91–-0.75-0.07-0.8–0.590.2
2066-1.29-1.92–-0.71-0.09-0.82–0.590.19
2067-1.3-1.96–-0.73-0.11-0.84–0.560.18
2068-1.3-1.97–-0.71-0.13-0.89–0.510.17
2069-1.3-1.98–-0.7-0.15-0.89–0.510.16
2070-1.3-2.02–-0.69-0.17-0.94–0.510.15
2071-1.31-2.05–-0.67-0.19-0.99–0.490.14
2072-1.32-2.09–-0.68-0.21-1.02–0.470.13
2073-1.34-2.09–-0.65-0.23-1.04–0.470.12
2074-1.35-2.15–-0.64-0.25-1.06–0.440.1
2075-1.37-2.19–-0.67-0.27-1.1–0.420.09
2076-1.39-2.25–-0.68-0.28-1.14–0.410.08
2077-1.41-2.29–-0.7-0.3-1.17–0.410.07
2078-1.43-2.36–-0.69-0.31-1.2–0.420.06
2079-1.46-2.4–-0.73-0.33-1.21–0.420.05
2080-1.49-2.44–-0.75-0.34-1.25–0.430.04
2081-1.51-2.44–-0.76-0.36-1.27–0.440.03
2082-1.52-2.49–-0.76-0.37-1.29–0.410.02
2083-1.54-2.56–-0.77-0.38-1.34–0.40.01
2084-1.56-2.6–-0.78-0.4-1.37–0.41-0
2085-1.57-2.64–-0.78-0.41-1.35–0.46-0.01
2086-1.57-2.64–-0.8-0.42-1.4–0.43-0.02
2087-1.58-2.66–-0.81-0.43-1.43–0.42-0.03
2088-1.58-2.64–-0.8-0.44-1.45–0.44-0.04
2089-1.59-2.68–-0.77-0.45-1.48–0.46-0.05
2090-1.59-2.71–-0.77-0.46-1.51–0.47-0.05
2091-1.59-2.77–-0.77-0.46-1.54–0.48-0.06
2092-1.59-2.79–-0.76-0.47-1.59–0.46-0.07
2093-1.6-2.78–-0.73-0.48-1.6–0.46-0.07
2094-1.61-2.85–-0.75-0.48-1.62–0.45-0.08
2095-1.62-2.9–-0.74-0.49-1.65–0.49-0.09
2096-1.63-2.99–-0.76-0.49-1.67–0.49-0.1
2097-1.64-3.07–-0.73-0.5-1.67–0.5-0.11
2098-1.65-3.12–-0.69-0.5-1.7–0.48-0.11
2099-1.67-3.22–-0.69-0.51-1.67–0.46-0.12
2100-1.68-3.24–-0.67-0.51-1.68–0.44-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
  • Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
  • The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
  • Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
  • The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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