China vs Italy

China vs Italy: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: -0.24% a year in China and -0.22% a year in Italy, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Italy, by 0.02 percentage points.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

China vs Italy: Population growthPopulation growth in 2023: -0.24% a year in China and -0.22% a year in Italy, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Italy, by 0.02 percentage points.
ChinaItalyUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

  • Italy has been higher since 2023, when it overtook China.
  • In 2023, China ranked 189 and Italy ranked 187 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The UN projection (medium variant) puts China at -1.68% a year and Italy at -0.68% a year in 2100.
  • The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

YearChinaItalyWorld
2023-0.24-0.220.87
2022-0.13-0.190.88
2021-0.05-0.180.8
20200.09-0.430.9
20190.27-0.31.03
20180.37-0.191.07
20170.58-0.181.13
20160.61-0.111.17
20150.53-0.211.18
20140.65-0.081.22
20130.640.121.23
20120.740.291.27
20110.620.251.26
20100.660.421.27
20090.680.451.28
20080.620.71.28
20070.590.831.28
20060.590.381.28
20050.630.431.27
20040.580.751.28
20030.590.761.29
20020.60.351.3
20010.670.051.33
20000.770.071.35
19990.720.041.35
19980.760.051.37
19970.790.041.39
19960.860.051.42
19950.91-0.891.45
19940.920.831.47
19931.020.041.52
19921.120.131.57
19911.220.051.63
19901.740.111.76
19891.680.091.78
19881.650.081.79
19871.790.051.84
19861.70.011.83
19851.560.061.8
19841.470.11.8
19831.380.061.78
19821.650.111.86
19811.50.151.82
19801.440.681.8
19791.40.311.79
19781.320.381.74
19771.330.431.75
19761.480.491.78
19751.610.571.8
19741.870.691.88
19732.110.671.94
19722.230.741.97
19712.370.591.97
19702.610.592.06
19692.60.652.06
19682.750.672.09
19672.440.762
19662.520.852.04
19652.660.842.09
19642.550.962.16
19633.290.812.28
19622.470.782.11
19610.330.641.67
1960-0.030.571.58
19590.670.621.73
19581.950.572
19572.40.542.07
19562.020.511.98
19552.250.612.01
19542.250.631.99
19532.051.141.9
19522.310.521.94
19511.760.621.75
19501.790.931.74
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
YearChinaItalyWorld
2024-0.22-0.42–-0.02-0.31-0.86–0.190.86
2025-0.23-0.46–-0.02-0.35-0.97–0.240.84
2026-0.22-0.45–0.01-0.39-1.03–0.220.83
2027-0.24-0.5–-0.01-0.41-1.03–0.230.81
2028-0.26-0.54–-0.01-0.42-1.09–0.210.8
2029-0.29-0.58–-0.03-0.42-1.09–0.240.78
2030-0.3-0.6–-0.04-0.45-1.17–0.180.76
2031-0.33-0.64–-0.04-0.47-1.16–0.170.75
2032-0.35-0.68–-0.03-0.45-1.15–0.220.73
2033-0.37-0.71–-0.05-0.46-1.18–0.220.72
2034-0.39-0.74–-0.06-0.47-1.18–0.210.7
2035-0.41-0.78–-0.07-0.48-1.18–0.260.69
2036-0.42-0.81–-0.08-0.48-1.16–0.250.67
2037-0.44-0.84–-0.08-0.5-1.23–0.190.65
2038-0.46-0.88–-0.09-0.5-1.24–0.20.64
2039-0.48-0.9–-0.12-0.52-1.25–0.20.62
2040-0.5-0.95–-0.12-0.52-1.25–0.240.61
2041-0.52-0.98–-0.12-0.53-1.24–0.170.59
2042-0.54-1–-0.14-0.55-1.37–0.180.57
2043-0.56-1.04–-0.17-0.59-1.35–0.170.56
2044-0.59-1.08–-0.18-0.59-1.39–0.20.54
2045-0.62-1.14–-0.21-0.62-1.34–0.130.52
2046-0.66-1.15–-0.25-0.63-1.41–0.170.5
2047-0.69-1.2–-0.29-0.67-1.48–0.080.48
2048-0.73-1.24–-0.32-0.68-1.46–0.10.46
2049-0.78-1.29–-0.35-0.72-1.47–0.090.44
2050-0.82-1.36–-0.4-0.75-1.52–0.070.42
2051-0.87-1.4–-0.46-0.76-1.59–0.050.4
2052-0.92-1.45–-0.48-0.79-1.63–0.040.38
2053-0.97-1.5–-0.52-0.83-1.66–0.030.36
2054-1.01-1.56–-0.57-0.84-1.7–-0.040.34
2055-1.06-1.59–-0.6-0.87-1.72–-0.030.33
2056-1.1-1.65–-0.63-0.91-1.78–-0.090.31
2057-1.14-1.69–-0.67-0.92-1.75–-0.040.3
2058-1.17-1.71–-0.68-0.94-1.81–-0.10.28
2059-1.2-1.75–-0.72-0.96-1.77–-0.150.27
2060-1.23-1.8–-0.71-0.96-1.85–-0.150.25
2061-1.25-1.81–-0.74-0.97-1.82–-0.10.24
2062-1.26-1.83–-0.73-0.98-1.87–-0.110.23
2063-1.27-1.87–-0.73-0.95-1.95–-0.070.22
2064-1.28-1.9–-0.75-0.95-1.88–-0.030.21
2065-1.29-1.91–-0.75-0.95-1.86–0.020.2
2066-1.29-1.92–-0.71-0.92-1.8–0.020.19
2067-1.3-1.96–-0.73-0.9-1.82–0.020.18
2068-1.3-1.97–-0.71-0.9-1.82–-0.010.17
2069-1.3-1.98–-0.7-0.88-1.81–0.090.16
2070-1.3-2.02–-0.69-0.87-1.8–0.060.15
2071-1.31-2.05–-0.67-0.83-1.76–0.090.14
2072-1.32-2.09–-0.68-0.82-1.82–0.080.13
2073-1.34-2.09–-0.65-0.79-1.78–0.120.12
2074-1.35-2.15–-0.64-0.78-1.77–0.150.1
2075-1.37-2.19–-0.67-0.74-1.78–0.220.09
2076-1.39-2.25–-0.68-0.71-1.75–0.240.08
2077-1.41-2.29–-0.7-0.69-1.69–0.30.07
2078-1.43-2.36–-0.69-0.68-1.73–0.220.06
2079-1.46-2.4–-0.73-0.68-1.7–0.270.05
2080-1.49-2.44–-0.75-0.66-1.72–0.280.04
2081-1.51-2.44–-0.76-0.65-1.69–0.280.03
2082-1.52-2.49–-0.76-0.65-1.73–0.280.02
2083-1.54-2.56–-0.77-0.63-1.71–0.320.01
2084-1.56-2.6–-0.78-0.64-1.67–0.33-0
2085-1.57-2.64–-0.78-0.63-1.69–0.36-0.01
2086-1.57-2.64–-0.8-0.62-1.71–0.4-0.02
2087-1.58-2.66–-0.81-0.63-1.76–0.35-0.03
2088-1.58-2.64–-0.8-0.63-1.79–0.37-0.04
2089-1.59-2.68–-0.77-0.64-1.76–0.34-0.05
2090-1.59-2.71–-0.77-0.64-1.83–0.37-0.05
2091-1.59-2.77–-0.77-0.63-1.8–0.34-0.06
2092-1.59-2.79–-0.76-0.65-1.84–0.33-0.07
2093-1.6-2.78–-0.73-0.63-1.8–0.35-0.07
2094-1.61-2.85–-0.75-0.64-1.81–0.37-0.08
2095-1.62-2.9–-0.74-0.65-1.81–0.34-0.09
2096-1.63-2.99–-0.76-0.66-1.89–0.38-0.1
2097-1.64-3.07–-0.73-0.67-1.93–0.33-0.11
2098-1.65-3.12–-0.69-0.65-1.98–0.37-0.11
2099-1.67-3.22–-0.69-0.67-1.9–0.41-0.12
2100-1.68-3.24–-0.67-0.68-1.95–0.35-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
  • Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
  • The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
  • Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
  • The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

China vs Italy

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