China vs Kenya
China vs Kenya: Temperature
Temperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 17.6 °C, or 3.13 times that in China.
°C · ERA5
What the numbers say
- Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
- In 2025, China ranked 212 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
- The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts China at 10 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.
Every year
°C · ERA5
| Year | China | China: CMIP6 historical run, model median | Kenya | Kenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 25.9 | 26 |
| 2024 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 26.1 | 26.2 |
| 2023 | 8 | 7.8 | 25.7 | 26 |
| 2022 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 25.7 | 25.9 |
| 2021 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 25.8 | 25.9 |
| 2020 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 25.5 | 25.9 |
| 2019 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 25.9 | 25.8 |
| 2018 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 25.1 | 25.9 |
| 2017 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 25.9 | 25.8 |
| 2016 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 25.8 | 25.7 |
| 2015 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 25.8 | 25.8 |
| 2014 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 25.5 | 25.7 |
| 2013 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 25.2 | 25.6 |
| 2012 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 25.4 | 25.6 |
| 2011 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 25.5 | 25.7 |
| 2010 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 25.5 | 25.6 |
| 2009 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 25.8 | 25.6 |
| 2008 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 25.3 | 25.5 |
| 2007 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 25.4 | 25.4 |
| 2006 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 25.4 | 25.5 |
| 2005 | 7 | 7.3 | 25.6 | 25.5 |
| 2004 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 25.3 | 25.5 |
| 2003 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 25.3 | 25.5 |
| 2002 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 25.1 | 25.5 |
| 2001 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 25 | 25.6 |
| 2000 | 6.8 | 7 | 25.2 | 25.4 |
| 1999 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 25 | 25.4 |
| 1998 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 24.8 | 25.4 |
| 1997 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 24.9 | 25.3 |
| 1996 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 25.1 | 25.3 |
| 1995 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 25.1 | 25.2 |
| 1994 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 25 | 25.1 |
| 1993 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 24.7 | 25 |
| 1992 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 24.8 | 24.9 |
| 1991 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 24.8 | 25.2 |
| 1990 | 7 | 6.8 | 24.6 | 25.3 |
| 1989 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 24.4 | 25.2 |
| 1988 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 25 | 25.2 |
| 1987 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 25.3 | 25.2 |
| 1986 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 24.6 | 25.2 |
| 1985 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 24.5 | 25 |
| 1984 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 24.7 | 25.1 |
| 1983 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 25.2 | 25 |
| 1982 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 24.6 | 25.1 |
| 1981 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 24.6 | 25.2 |
| 1980 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 25 | 25.2 |
| 1979 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 24.2 | 25.1 |
| 1978 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 24.1 | 25.1 |
| 1977 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 24.3 | 25.1 |
| 1976 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 24.6 | 25 |
| 1975 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 24.4 | 25 |
| 1974 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 24.5 | 25 |
| 1973 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 25.1 | 25.1 |
| 1972 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 24.7 | 25 |
| 1971 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 24.3 | 25 |
| 1970 | 6 | 6.3 | 24.5 | 24.9 |
| 1969 | 6 | 6.3 | 24.6 | 24.9 |
| 1968 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 23.7 | 24.9 |
| 1967 | 5.8 | 6.4 | 24.2 | 24.8 |
| 1966 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 24.7 | 24.9 |
| 1965 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 24.3 | 24.9 |
| 1964 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 24 | 24.7 |
| 1963 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 23.9 | 24.8 |
| 1962 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 24 | 25 |
| 1961 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 24.3 | 25 |
| 1960 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 24.4 | 25 |
| 1959 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 24.6 | 25 |
| 1958 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 24.4 | 25 |
| 1957 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 24.1 | 25 |
| 1956 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 24.2 | 25 |
| 1955 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 24.3 | 25 |
| 1954 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 24 | 25 |
| 1953 | 7 | 6.5 | 23.1 | 25 |
| 1952 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 23.5 | 25 |
| 1951 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 23.5 | 25 |
| 1950 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 23.5 | 25 |
- 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
| Year | China | China: CMIP6 historical run, model median | Kenya | Kenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | – | 7.97.1–9 | – | 2625.4–26.7 |
| 2027 | – | 87.2–8.9 | – | 2625.4–26.6 |
| 2028 | – | 8.17.1–9.1 | – | 26.125.6–26.6 |
| 2029 | – | 8.17.3–9 | – | 26.225.6–26.7 |
| 2030 | – | 8.17.3–8.9 | – | 26.125.7–26.6 |
| 2031 | – | 8.17.2–9 | – | 26.225.8–26.7 |
| 2032 | – | 8.27.4–9 | – | 26.225.8–26.8 |
| 2033 | – | 8.37.4–9 | – | 26.325.7–26.8 |
| 2034 | – | 8.37.4–9.3 | – | 26.225.7–26.8 |
| 2035 | – | 8.37.4–9.3 | – | 26.325.7–26.8 |
| 2036 | – | 8.37.5–9.2 | – | 26.225.7–26.8 |
| 2037 | – | 8.47.5–9.4 | – | 26.325.8–26.9 |
| 2038 | – | 8.57.6–9.3 | – | 26.425.7–26.9 |
| 2039 | – | 8.57.5–9.5 | – | 26.425.8–26.8 |
| 2040 | – | 8.57.6–9.5 | – | 26.325.9–26.9 |
| 2041 | – | 8.57.6–9.6 | – | 26.525.8–27.2 |
| 2042 | – | 8.57.5–9.6 | – | 26.525.9–27.1 |
| 2043 | – | 8.57.6–9.7 | – | 26.325.8–27 |
| 2044 | – | 8.77.7–9.7 | – | 26.525.9–27 |
| 2045 | – | 8.77.8–9.6 | – | 26.526–27.2 |
| 2046 | – | 8.87.8–9.7 | – | 26.626–27.4 |
| 2047 | – | 8.87.8–9.8 | – | 26.726–27.3 |
| 2048 | – | 8.97.9–9.9 | – | 26.626.1–27.4 |
| 2049 | – | 8.87.8–10 | – | 26.826.1–27.4 |
| 2050 | – | 97.8–10.1 | – | 26.626.1–27.4 |
| 2051 | – | 98.1–10 | – | 26.826.1–27.4 |
| 2052 | – | 8.87.9–9.8 | – | 26.826.2–27.4 |
| 2053 | – | 98–10 | – | 26.726–27.3 |
| 2054 | – | 98.1–10.1 | – | 26.726–27.3 |
| 2055 | – | 98.1–10.1 | – | 26.826.1–27.4 |
| 2056 | – | 9.28.2–10.3 | – | 26.826–27.5 |
| 2057 | – | 9.27.8–10.3 | – | 26.826.3–27.6 |
| 2058 | – | 9.18.2–10.2 | – | 26.926.1–27.6 |
| 2059 | – | 9.28.1–10.4 | – | 26.926.2–27.7 |
| 2060 | – | 9.28.1–10.4 | – | 27.126.1–27.7 |
| 2061 | – | 9.28.2–10.3 | – | 2726.2–27.7 |
| 2062 | – | 9.38.3–10.6 | – | 26.926.2–27.8 |
| 2063 | – | 9.38.3–10.4 | – | 2726.4–27.6 |
| 2064 | – | 9.28.3–10.3 | – | 27.126.2–27.6 |
| 2065 | – | 9.38.3–10.4 | – | 2726.4–27.8 |
| 2066 | – | 9.38.3–10.4 | – | 2726.4–27.7 |
| 2067 | – | 9.38.3–10.5 | – | 27.126.3–27.8 |
| 2068 | – | 9.68.4–10.7 | – | 27.126.3–27.8 |
| 2069 | – | 9.68.3–10.7 | – | 2726.3–27.9 |
| 2070 | – | 9.48.3–10.7 | – | 2726.3–27.8 |
| 2071 | – | 9.58.3–10.9 | – | 27.226.4–28 |
| 2072 | – | 9.58.3–10.8 | – | 27.226.5–27.8 |
| 2073 | – | 9.78.5–10.8 | – | 27.226.5–28 |
| 2074 | – | 9.78.4–11 | – | 27.126.4–28 |
| 2075 | – | 9.68.5–10.9 | – | 27.126.3–28 |
| 2076 | – | 9.68.5–10.8 | – | 27.326.5–28.1 |
| 2077 | – | 9.78.7–11 | – | 27.326.5–28.1 |
| 2078 | – | 9.68.6–11 | – | 27.126.5–27.9 |
| 2079 | – | 9.78.5–11 | – | 27.326.5–28.1 |
| 2080 | – | 9.78.6–10.9 | – | 27.326.5–28.1 |
| 2081 | – | 9.68.6–11.1 | – | 27.326.6–28.1 |
| 2082 | – | 9.78.6–11 | – | 27.426.5–28.1 |
| 2083 | – | 9.98.9–11.1 | – | 27.326.6–28.4 |
| 2084 | – | 9.98.5–11.1 | – | 27.426.6–28.2 |
| 2085 | – | 9.88.6–11.3 | – | 27.326.6–28.3 |
| 2086 | – | 9.98.5–11.2 | – | 27.526.5–28.3 |
| 2087 | – | 9.88.7–11.3 | – | 27.426.6–28.3 |
| 2088 | – | 9.88.7–11.3 | – | 27.426.6–28.3 |
| 2089 | – | 9.98.6–11.4 | – | 27.426.7–28.1 |
| 2090 | – | 108.9–11.2 | – | 27.426.7–28.4 |
| 2091 | – | 10.19–11.2 | – | 27.626.6–28.4 |
| 2092 | – | 9.98.7–11.2 | – | 27.426.6–28.3 |
| 2093 | – | 9.98.9–11.2 | – | 27.526.7–28.3 |
| 2094 | – | 108.8–11.2 | – | 27.526.8–28.3 |
| 2095 | – | 108.7–11.3 | – | 27.626.7–28.4 |
| 2096 | – | 10.18.5–11.3 | – | 27.526.5–28.5 |
| 2097 | – | 108.7–11.3 | – | 27.526.5–28.3 |
| 2098 | – | 9.98.9–11.4 | – | 27.626.7–28.4 |
| 2099 | – | 108.7–11.3 | – | 27.526.5–28.6 |
| 2100 | – | 108.9–11.3 | – | 27.426.5–28.4 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
- Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
- The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
- Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
- Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time
China vs Kenya
Health
- Life expectancyChina: 78 years in 2023Kenya: 63.7 years in 2023
- Child mortalityChina: 0.6 per 100 live births in 2024Kenya: 3.9 per 100 live births in 2024
- Infant mortalityChina: 5.1 per 1,000 live births in 2023Kenya: 29.7 per 1,000 live births in 2023
- DepressionChina: 3.31% in 2017Kenya: 3.51% in 2017
- Suicide rateChina: 7.2 per 100,000 people in 2017Kenya: 11.1 per 100,000 people in 2017
People
- PopulationChina: 1.42 billion people in 2023Kenya: 55.3 million people in 2023
- Population growthChina: -0.24% a year in 2023Kenya: 1.97% a year in 2023
- Fertility rateChina: 1 births per woman in 2023Kenya: 3.21 births per woman in 2023
- Urban populationChina: 66.3% in 2025Kenya: 32.2% in 2025
- Median ageChina: 39.1 years in 2023Kenya: 19.5 years in 2023
- People aged 65 and overChina: 14.3% in 2023Kenya: 2.9% in 2023
- Net migration rateChina: -0.4 per 1,000 people in 2023Kenya: -0.2 per 1,000 people in 2023
Economy
Education
Politics
Conflict
Military
- Military spendingChina: 1.73% of GDP in 2025Kenya: 1.07% of GDP in 2025
- Military spending in US dollarsChina: $335B in 2025Kenya: $1.36B in 2025
- Military spending per personChina: $237 in 2025Kenya: $26 in 2025
- Military share of state spendingChina: 5.1% of government spending in 2025Kenya: 4.6% of government spending in 2025
- Armed forces personnelChina: 2.54 million people in 2020Kenya: 24,000 people in 2020
- National powerChina: 23.41% of world capability in 2022Kenya: 0.23% of world capability in 2022
- Armed forces, share of workersChina: 0.33% of the labour force in 2020Kenya: 0.11% of the labour force in 2020
- Arms importsChina: 207 million TIV in 2025Kenya: 117 million TIV in 2025
- Arms exportsChina: 880 million TIV in 2025Kenya: 2 million TIV in 1993