China vs Papua New Guinea
China vs Papua New Guinea: Population growth
Population growth in 2023: -0.24% a year in China and 1.8% a year in Papua New Guinea, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Papua New Guinea, by 2.03 percentage points.
% a year · UN
What the numbers say
- Papua New Guinea has been higher since 1971, when it overtook China.
- In 2023, China ranked 189 and Papua New Guinea ranked 61 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
- The UN projection (medium variant) puts China at -1.68% a year and Papua New Guinea at 0.05% a year in 2100.
- The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.
Every year
% a year · UN
| Year | China | Papua New Guinea | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -0.24 | 1.8 | 0.87 |
| 2022 | -0.13 | 1.82 | 0.88 |
| 2021 | -0.05 | 1.94 | 0.8 |
| 2020 | 0.09 | 2.04 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 0.27 | 2.22 | 1.03 |
| 2018 | 0.37 | 2.29 | 1.07 |
| 2017 | 0.58 | 2.36 | 1.13 |
| 2016 | 0.61 | 2.43 | 1.17 |
| 2015 | 0.53 | 2.51 | 1.18 |
| 2014 | 0.65 | 2.59 | 1.22 |
| 2013 | 0.64 | 2.66 | 1.23 |
| 2012 | 0.74 | 2.74 | 1.27 |
| 2011 | 0.62 | 2.83 | 1.26 |
| 2010 | 0.66 | 3 | 1.27 |
| 2009 | 0.68 | 3.04 | 1.28 |
| 2008 | 0.62 | 3.09 | 1.28 |
| 2007 | 0.59 | 3.12 | 1.28 |
| 2006 | 0.59 | 3.17 | 1.28 |
| 2005 | 0.63 | 3.21 | 1.27 |
| 2004 | 0.58 | 3.25 | 1.28 |
| 2003 | 0.59 | 3.3 | 1.29 |
| 2002 | 0.6 | 3.34 | 1.3 |
| 2001 | 0.67 | 3.38 | 1.33 |
| 2000 | 0.77 | 3.42 | 1.35 |
| 1999 | 0.72 | 3.48 | 1.35 |
| 1998 | 0.76 | 3.48 | 1.37 |
| 1997 | 0.79 | 3.55 | 1.39 |
| 1996 | 0.86 | 3.57 | 1.42 |
| 1995 | 0.91 | 3.58 | 1.45 |
| 1994 | 0.92 | 3.61 | 1.47 |
| 1993 | 1.02 | 3.63 | 1.52 |
| 1992 | 1.12 | 3.64 | 1.57 |
| 1991 | 1.22 | 3.44 | 1.63 |
| 1990 | 1.74 | 2.89 | 1.76 |
| 1989 | 1.68 | 2.33 | 1.78 |
| 1988 | 1.65 | 2.16 | 1.79 |
| 1987 | 1.79 | 2.17 | 1.84 |
| 1986 | 1.7 | 2.16 | 1.83 |
| 1985 | 1.56 | 2.15 | 1.8 |
| 1984 | 1.47 | 2.13 | 1.8 |
| 1983 | 1.38 | 2.12 | 1.78 |
| 1982 | 1.65 | 2.09 | 1.86 |
| 1981 | 1.5 | 2.08 | 1.82 |
| 1980 | 1.44 | 2.06 | 1.8 |
| 1979 | 1.4 | 2.08 | 1.79 |
| 1978 | 1.32 | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| 1977 | 1.33 | 2.15 | 1.75 |
| 1976 | 1.48 | 2.18 | 1.78 |
| 1975 | 1.61 | 2.21 | 1.8 |
| 1974 | 1.87 | 2.25 | 1.88 |
| 1973 | 2.11 | 2.31 | 1.94 |
| 1972 | 2.23 | 2.37 | 1.97 |
| 1971 | 2.37 | 2.4 | 1.97 |
| 1970 | 2.61 | 2.39 | 2.06 |
| 1969 | 2.6 | 2.35 | 2.06 |
| 1968 | 2.75 | 2.29 | 2.09 |
| 1967 | 2.44 | 2.22 | 2 |
| 1966 | 2.52 | 2.26 | 2.04 |
| 1965 | 2.66 | 2.15 | 2.09 |
| 1964 | 2.55 | 2.14 | 2.16 |
| 1963 | 3.29 | 2.2 | 2.28 |
| 1962 | 2.47 | 2.29 | 2.11 |
| 1961 | 0.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| 1960 | -0.03 | 2.72 | 1.58 |
| 1959 | 0.67 | 2.73 | 1.73 |
| 1958 | 1.95 | 2.76 | 2 |
| 1957 | 2.4 | 2.76 | 2.07 |
| 1956 | 2.02 | 2.76 | 1.98 |
| 1955 | 2.25 | 2.71 | 2.01 |
| 1954 | 2.25 | 2.62 | 1.99 |
| 1953 | 2.05 | 2.56 | 1.9 |
| 1952 | 2.31 | 2.43 | 1.94 |
| 1951 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| 1950 | 1.79 | 2.13 | 1.74 |
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
| Year | China | Papua New Guinea | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | -0.22-0.42–-0.02 | 1.771.05–2.59 | 0.86 |
| 2025 | -0.23-0.46–-0.02 | 1.730.95–2.6 | 0.84 |
| 2026 | -0.22-0.45–0.01 | 1.680.87–2.6 | 0.83 |
| 2027 | -0.24-0.5–-0.01 | 1.640.76–2.59 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | -0.26-0.54–-0.01 | 1.60.67–2.59 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | -0.29-0.58–-0.03 | 1.560.6–2.56 | 0.78 |
| 2030 | -0.3-0.6–-0.04 | 1.530.56–2.52 | 0.76 |
| 2031 | -0.33-0.64–-0.04 | 1.480.5–2.5 | 0.75 |
| 2032 | -0.35-0.68–-0.03 | 1.450.42–2.51 | 0.73 |
| 2033 | -0.37-0.71–-0.05 | 1.420.35–2.48 | 0.72 |
| 2034 | -0.39-0.74–-0.06 | 1.40.33–2.53 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | -0.41-0.78–-0.07 | 1.360.25–2.52 | 0.69 |
| 2036 | -0.42-0.81–-0.08 | 1.340.3–2.56 | 0.67 |
| 2037 | -0.44-0.84–-0.08 | 1.310.19–2.51 | 0.65 |
| 2038 | -0.46-0.88–-0.09 | 1.280.1–2.5 | 0.64 |
| 2039 | -0.48-0.9–-0.12 | 1.250.02–2.49 | 0.62 |
| 2040 | -0.5-0.95–-0.12 | 1.220.02–2.51 | 0.61 |
| 2041 | -0.52-0.98–-0.12 | 1.18-0.02–2.46 | 0.59 |
| 2042 | -0.54-1–-0.14 | 1.15-0.09–2.51 | 0.57 |
| 2043 | -0.56-1.04–-0.17 | 1.13-0.15–2.55 | 0.56 |
| 2044 | -0.59-1.08–-0.18 | 1.12-0.17–2.55 | 0.54 |
| 2045 | -0.62-1.14–-0.21 | 1.1-0.24–2.52 | 0.52 |
| 2046 | -0.66-1.15–-0.25 | 1.06-0.27–2.52 | 0.5 |
| 2047 | -0.69-1.2–-0.29 | 1.03-0.35–2.51 | 0.48 |
| 2048 | -0.73-1.24–-0.32 | 1.01-0.39–2.54 | 0.46 |
| 2049 | -0.78-1.29–-0.35 | 0.99-0.42–2.51 | 0.44 |
| 2050 | -0.82-1.36–-0.4 | 0.94-0.47–2.52 | 0.42 |
| 2051 | -0.87-1.4–-0.46 | 0.92-0.55–2.51 | 0.4 |
| 2052 | -0.92-1.45–-0.48 | 0.9-0.62–2.54 | 0.38 |
| 2053 | -0.97-1.5–-0.52 | 0.87-0.64–2.49 | 0.36 |
| 2054 | -1.01-1.56–-0.57 | 0.86-0.71–2.5 | 0.34 |
| 2055 | -1.06-1.59–-0.6 | 0.81-0.73–2.47 | 0.33 |
| 2056 | -1.1-1.65–-0.63 | 0.79-0.8–2.47 | 0.31 |
| 2057 | -1.14-1.69–-0.67 | 0.77-0.92–2.49 | 0.3 |
| 2058 | -1.17-1.71–-0.68 | 0.75-0.9–2.46 | 0.28 |
| 2059 | -1.2-1.75–-0.72 | 0.73-0.96–2.42 | 0.27 |
| 2060 | -1.23-1.8–-0.71 | 0.71-0.94–2.39 | 0.25 |
| 2061 | -1.25-1.81–-0.74 | 0.67-1–2.39 | 0.24 |
| 2062 | -1.26-1.83–-0.73 | 0.65-1.08–2.34 | 0.23 |
| 2063 | -1.27-1.87–-0.73 | 0.63-1.19–2.41 | 0.22 |
| 2064 | -1.28-1.9–-0.75 | 0.62-1.21–2.4 | 0.21 |
| 2065 | -1.29-1.91–-0.75 | 0.61-1.21–2.44 | 0.2 |
| 2066 | -1.29-1.92–-0.71 | 0.59-1.26–2.38 | 0.19 |
| 2067 | -1.3-1.96–-0.73 | 0.57-1.27–2.38 | 0.18 |
| 2068 | -1.3-1.97–-0.71 | 0.54-1.25–2.36 | 0.17 |
| 2069 | -1.3-1.98–-0.7 | 0.52-1.32–2.32 | 0.16 |
| 2070 | -1.3-2.02–-0.69 | 0.5-1.31–2.29 | 0.15 |
| 2071 | -1.31-2.05–-0.67 | 0.49-1.38–2.31 | 0.14 |
| 2072 | -1.32-2.09–-0.68 | 0.47-1.45–2.27 | 0.13 |
| 2073 | -1.34-2.09–-0.65 | 0.44-1.43–2.24 | 0.12 |
| 2074 | -1.35-2.15–-0.64 | 0.42-1.47–2.23 | 0.1 |
| 2075 | -1.37-2.19–-0.67 | 0.41-1.51–2.19 | 0.09 |
| 2076 | -1.39-2.25–-0.68 | 0.39-1.47–2.16 | 0.08 |
| 2077 | -1.41-2.29–-0.7 | 0.38-1.63–2.15 | 0.07 |
| 2078 | -1.43-2.36–-0.69 | 0.37-1.66–2.23 | 0.06 |
| 2079 | -1.46-2.4–-0.73 | 0.35-1.62–2.22 | 0.05 |
| 2080 | -1.49-2.44–-0.75 | 0.36-1.67–2.25 | 0.04 |
| 2081 | -1.51-2.44–-0.76 | 0.33-1.73–2.24 | 0.03 |
| 2082 | -1.52-2.49–-0.76 | 0.31-1.78–2.16 | 0.02 |
| 2083 | -1.54-2.56–-0.77 | 0.31-1.74–2.19 | 0.01 |
| 2084 | -1.56-2.6–-0.78 | 0.28-1.79–2.12 | -0 |
| 2085 | -1.57-2.64–-0.78 | 0.28-1.8–2.14 | -0.01 |
| 2086 | -1.57-2.64–-0.8 | 0.26-1.83–2.09 | -0.02 |
| 2087 | -1.58-2.66–-0.81 | 0.24-1.88–2.09 | -0.03 |
| 2088 | -1.58-2.64–-0.8 | 0.23-1.85–2.14 | -0.04 |
| 2089 | -1.59-2.68–-0.77 | 0.21-1.87–2.18 | -0.05 |
| 2090 | -1.59-2.71–-0.77 | 0.22-1.83–2.13 | -0.05 |
| 2091 | -1.59-2.77–-0.77 | 0.19-1.89–2.13 | -0.06 |
| 2092 | -1.59-2.79–-0.76 | 0.17-2–2.13 | -0.07 |
| 2093 | -1.6-2.78–-0.73 | 0.16-2.05–2.05 | -0.07 |
| 2094 | -1.61-2.85–-0.75 | 0.14-2.07–2.11 | -0.08 |
| 2095 | -1.62-2.9–-0.74 | 0.13-2.1–2.09 | -0.09 |
| 2096 | -1.63-2.99–-0.76 | 0.11-2.2–2.1 | -0.1 |
| 2097 | -1.64-3.07–-0.73 | 0.09-2.14–2.05 | -0.11 |
| 2098 | -1.65-3.12–-0.69 | 0.07-2.24–2 | -0.11 |
| 2099 | -1.67-3.22–-0.69 | 0.06-2.32–2.04 | -0.12 |
| 2100 | -1.68-3.24–-0.67 | 0.05-2.36–2.13 | -0.13 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
- Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
- The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
- Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
- The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time
China vs Papua New Guinea
Health
- Life expectancyChina: 78 years in 2023Papua New Guinea: 66.1 years in 2023
- Child mortalityChina: 0.6 per 100 live births in 2024Papua New Guinea: 3.9 per 100 live births in 2024
- Infant mortalityChina: 5.1 per 1,000 live births in 2023Papua New Guinea: 32.2 per 1,000 live births in 2023
- DepressionChina: 3.31% in 2017Papua New Guinea: 3.17% in 2017
- Suicide rateChina: 7.2 per 100,000 people in 2017Papua New Guinea: 23.1 per 100,000 people in 2017
People
- PopulationChina: 1.42 billion people in 2023Papua New Guinea: 10.4 million people in 2023
- Fertility rateChina: 1 births per woman in 2023Papua New Guinea: 3.1 births per woman in 2023
- Urban populationChina: 66.3% in 2025Papua New Guinea: 15.8% in 2025
- Median ageChina: 39.1 years in 2023Papua New Guinea: 22.3 years in 2023
- People aged 65 and overChina: 14.3% in 2023Papua New Guinea: 3.3% in 2023
- Net migration rateChina: -0.4 per 1,000 people in 2023Papua New Guinea: -0.1 per 1,000 people in 2023
Economy
Education
Politics
Conflict
Military
- Military spendingChina: 1.73% of GDP in 2025Papua New Guinea: 0.35% of GDP in 2025
- Military spending in US dollarsChina: $335B in 2025Papua New Guinea: $110M in 2025
- Military spending per personChina: $237 in 2025Papua New Guinea: $10 in 2025
- Military share of state spendingChina: 5.1% of government spending in 2025Papua New Guinea: 1.6% of government spending in 2025
- Armed forces personnelChina: 2.54 million people in 2020Papua New Guinea: 4,000 people in 2020
- National powerChina: 23.41% of world capability in 2022Papua New Guinea: 0.03% of world capability in 2022
- Armed forces, share of workersChina: 0.33% of the labour force in 2020Papua New Guinea: 0.12% of the labour force in 2020
- Arms importsChina: 207 million TIV in 2025Papua New Guinea: 9 million TIV in 2023