Cuba vs Mexico: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 309.7 nights in Cuba and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Cuba, by 206 nights, or 2.99 times that in Mexico.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CubaMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Cuba has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Cuba at 346 nights and Mexico at 142.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Cuba	Mexico
2014	309.7	103.7
2013	315.2	103.9
2012	312	102.8
2011	312.1	102.9
2010	313	101.5
2009	308.8	101.8
2008	309.3	100.1
2007	308.5	99.1
2006	309.9	99.8
2005	309.1	99.5
2004	309.3	99.4
2003	304.6	98.3
2002	310.4	99.1
2001	304.8	98.7
2000	308.1	97.9
1999	304.4	96.6
1998	304.9	95.8
1997	299.8	95.9
1996	298	93.8
1995	295.1	92.7
1994	297.3	90.7
1993	294.5	89
1992	295.7	88.5
1991	299.1	93.4
1990	302	94.9
1989	298.1	93
1988	298.3	92.1
1987	294	92
1986	293.6	90.2
1985	297.4	90
1984	289.4	88
1983	292.2	86.7
1982	294	88.7
1981	293.6	91.5
1980	295.8	90.1
1979	295.1	90.8
1978	290.9	89
1977	289.3	89
1976	293.4	89.1
1975	289	86.8
1974	291.6	87.9
1973	291.2	88.6
1972	289.4	87.7
1971	286.5	86.8
1970	283.3	86.1
1969	287.2	87.5
1968	290.6	87.1
1967	289.9	86.7
1966	290.7	86.4
1965	284.8	84.9
1964	287.7	84.7
1963	288.9	87.1
1962	292.9	88
1961	292.2	89.5
1960	293.3	89.7
1959	292.7	89.6
1958	291.6	89.1
1957	292	89
1956	294.6	88.5
1955	293.4	88.2
1954	289.5	88.4
1953	289.2	88.6
1952	290.9	87.8
1951	292.1	89.4
1950	292.3	88.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Cuba	Mexico
2015	315.1292.1–332.6	106.192.9–118.4
2016	317.9302.7–334.8	107.695–120
2017	317304–329.5	108.696.3–119.7
2018	319.5301–334.2	10997.1–120.4
2019	317.6297.3–336.1	110.396.4–123
2020	319.5296.6–334.3	109.696.8–121.8
2021	320.6301.8–335.1	111.296.9–124.1
2022	318.2303.4–331.8	109.796–121.7
2023	322.4302.9–336.9	111.898.6–125.3
2024	320.1297.1–341.5	112.298.2–126.2
2025	319.6297.1–334.8	11298.8–125.8
2026	327.3300.6–343.1	113.999.5–126.4
2027	328.7307.3–344.9	112.999.5–128.3
2028	327.5306.8–343.5	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	326.5309–340.3	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	328.8305–342.3	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	328.6308.6–343.5	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	332.1308.4–344.7	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	328.3305.5–342.9	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	329.4308.9–346.2	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	325.7307.3–342.4	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	329307–341.7	117.8105.1–131
2037	332.6311.4–346.9	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	331.4313–345.1	121107.5–133.4
2039	328305.6–345.9	121.3107–135.6
2040	328.8309–347.6	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	331.4307.4–344.3	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	331.6309.6–345.1	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	332.1311–348.9	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	335.1315.6–348.6	121.9108–135.6
2045	336.3317.6–348.6	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	328.7309–349.2	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	334.4316.3–350.1	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	335.2316.3–349.1	126.3113–140.3
2049	339.5317–350.8	127111.2–140.8
2050	338.7316.7–350.6	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	337.4313.8–349.8	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	331311.8–349.4	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	339.5314.6–351.2	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	338.4322.5–348.7	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	336.9318.7–350.1	129114.4–144.7
2056	338.1320.4–351.5	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	340.6316.7–351.1	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	340.8322.3–351.7	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	334.6319.6–349.6	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	340.7320.6–352.9	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	337.9324.8–351.5	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	340.1323.4–351	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	340.9316.3–354.4	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	341315.6–353.1	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	340.3319.5–352	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	339.5319.3–352.1	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	342.1324.2–351.9	133.3117–150.3
2068	344.3320.4–354.8	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	342.8323.8–355.6	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	344.4322.1–356.2	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	345326.4–354.8	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	345318.5–356.3	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	343.1321.4–355.1	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	342.9325.4–354.5	136119.7–152.2
2075	341.8319.7–353.7	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	344.9323.6–356.2	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	342320.4–351.9	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	345324.3–355.7	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	343.3323.8–356	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	344.9328.1–358.4	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	342.7326–353.6	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	344.9329.8–355.4	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	343.8321.8–354.5	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	344328.8–356.5	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	346.4322.1–356.6	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	342.6316.5–352.9	139.8121–157.8
2087	345.5325.6–356.7	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	346.5325.1–358.5	141121.8–159.9
2089	347.8327.2–357.7	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	346.9334.4–356.8	141.2123–160.7
2091	346.9330.1–357.1	141.8123–161.6
2092	346.6327–356	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	345.4326.9–356.3	141.4124.3–161
2094	347326.3–357.7	142123.3–159.6
2095	343.9329.1–355.1	143.5124–160.7
2096	344326.6–356.1	142.3125–161.3
2097	346.7329.2–355.1	141.2123.2–160
2098	347.2326.3–356.6	142.2122.5–162
2099	345.5327.5–357.7	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	346329.4–356.1	142.8124.3–160.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Cuba vs Mexico: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Cuba vs Mexico

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