Congo - Kinshasa vs Kenya: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 248.5 nights in Congo - Kinshasa and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Congo - Kinshasa, by 2.9 nights, or 1.01 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Congo - KinshasaKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Congo - Kinshasa has been higher since 2011, when it overtook Kenya.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Congo - Kinshasa at 324.1 nights and Kenya at 277 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Congo - Kinshasa	Kenya
2014	248.5	245.6
2013	249.2	245.4
2012	250.9	244.7
2011	248.7	245
2010	243.5	243.8
2009	243	242.3
2008	239.7	240.3
2007	237.7	240.9
2006	239	241.5
2005	237.3	241.2
2004	238.5	241.8
2003	239.3	240.8
2002	236.5	240.7
2001	242.5	242
2000	233.5	239.5
1999	226.2	237.8
1998	230.6	239.2
1997	226.6	236.9
1996	218.6	234.2
1995	217.2	232.9
1994	211.9	231.9
1993	201.5	227.4
1992	197.6	224.8
1991	220.1	233.8
1990	225.4	236.4
1989	218.4	234.5
1988	216.7	233.1
1987	216.6	232.6
1986	216.8	233
1985	206.1	228.7
1984	205.9	230.2
1983	204.3	226.7
1982	204.5	230.6
1981	215.2	232.9
1980	211.4	231.3
1979	208.5	229.6
1978	202.6	228.7
1977	206.5	229.9
1976	201.9	227.8
1975	199	225.9
1974	204	230.5
1973	208.4	230.4
1972	202.5	228.7
1971	196.3	226
1970	201.7	226.3
1969	197.3	225.9
1968	199	222.9
1967	188.8	224
1966	194.7	225.2
1965	189	224.2
1964	177.3	221.8
1963	178.5	220.2
1962	203.2	227.2
1961	203.9	228.3
1960	209.8	228.8
1959	203.3	228.3
1958	204.3	229.1
1957	204	228
1956	197.6	225.5
1955	200.5	228.7
1954	201	227.4
1953	204.6	227.6
1952	201.9	228.5
1951	204.8	228.3
1950	200.8	226.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Congo - Kinshasa	Kenya
2015	256.6217.3–277.7	246.9232.3–256.1
2016	247.7213.3–269.3	244.9230.1–255
2017	257.4226.6–278.3	248.1233.1–257.7
2018	258.8228.1–276.8	248.7237–257.4
2019	255.8222.6–278.7	247.1234.8–256.7
2020	259.4227.4–282.3	248.6233.2–259.2
2021	262.6234.7–283.8	249.5236.3–258.1
2022	264.8235.1–288.5	251.5239.7–259.5
2023	263.9236.8–287.2	251.8239–260.8
2024	270.9237.9–290	254.2239.1–263
2025	266.1230.6–292.2	251.5238.1–261.8
2026	267.4226.8–294.5	252.2237.2–263.3
2027	268.6230.6–293.6	252.8238.4–263.8
2028	271.7239.7–295.9	254.9241.9–264.2
2029	275.9249.3–296.6	256243.4–264.6
2030	270.4241.7–296.1	253.6240.6–263.1
2031	279.4246.6–297.5	256244.7–264.4
2032	277.9249.4–302.3	257243.8–267.1
2033	276.9245.9–301.6	256241.8–265.9
2034	276.7247.4–305.6	256.2241.2–267.9
2035	281243.7–305.1	256.7243.3–266.7
2036	278.3244.7–304.9	256.2242.4–266.7
2037	286.9256.1–308.6	258.7245.9–268.4
2038	289261.5–307.1	260.3244.5–268.9
2039	284.7253.4–307.3	259244.4–268
2040	284.5254.7–311.5	258.3246.2–269.8
2041	289.9258.4–310.8	260.7244.8–271.2
2042	286.9254.1–314.3	260.3246.5–272.7
2043	285.9253–313	259246.6–270.5
2044	288.3253.6–312.5	261.2248.8–270.9
2045	289.4260.1–314.1	261.8248.7–272.9
2046	298.3261.3–317.3	264.8249.6–275.3
2047	298.5268.2–317.8	264.4249.8–275.3
2048	299.1268–320.8	264.2252.3–274.9
2049	300.3269.6–320.4	265.2252.8–275.6
2050	297.8267.2–320.6	263.9249.8–275.1
2051	298.4272.3–323.1	265.4252.1–275.1
2052	300.2271.5–324	266.3252.6–276.2
2053	298.7265.5–322.6	265.2251–275.4
2054	300.6269.6–322.8	265.2250.2–277.2
2055	301.9274.9–325.6	266.8251.6–277.6
2056	302.1266.2–328.3	266.2251.2–277.8
2057	305.1274.4–326.5	266.8253–278
2058	305.3274.1–327.1	266.7251.5–277.9
2059	305.4279–329.6	269.8254.7–280.5
2060	310.7273.5–330.2	271.1253.9–280.7
2061	307266.1–329.8	267.5253.9–281.7
2062	308.8269.1–332	268.1254–281.2
2063	308.4277.6–328.4	268.9255–280.1
2064	310.6278.4–329.6	270254.1–279.8
2065	311.9282.4–331.2	269.4255.8–282.3
2066	310.4284.2–330.3	270.6258.1–281
2067	308.8275.9–334	270.7256.1–283
2068	313.9280.8–334.6	270.2256–283
2069	312.1270.6–332.7	269.8256.1–283.3
2070	309.6278–334	270.1255.8–282.6
2071	312.6285–336.5	271.9257.9–284.4
2072	317287.7–334.6	273.5260.3–283.8
2073	316.2291.2–337.1	273.1259.9–285.4
2074	311.6284.5–334.9	271.9257.5–285.4
2075	312.3279.3–335.2	271.1256.5–284.7
2076	315.9288.7–337.1	274.1258.6–285.8
2077	318.5292.6–338.2	273.4259–286.6
2078	315287.3–337.1	273.1260–284.4
2079	314.8286.3–336	273.3258.7–286.6
2080	318.5286.8–337.8	275.5259.4–286.9
2081	318.4287.8–336.7	274.7259.8–285.6
2082	318.7289.8–336.5	274.8261.3–286.4
2083	317.4290.6–340.9	274259.6–289.3
2084	321.6293.8–339.8	276.8259–288.8
2085	324.4294.3–341.4	276.2261.5–289.1
2086	319290.7–340.7	275.1260–289.1
2087	318.3291.9–339.6	276.2260.3–288.5
2088	320.9292.9–340	276.8261.6–289.7
2089	322.1293.9–339.8	275.9260.3–288.8
2090	320.4295.5–341.7	275.3260.5–290.5
2091	325.4294.3–343.3	277.7260.4–290.9
2092	321.5294.4–342.4	276.2261.2–290.7
2093	323.1297.8–341.2	276.9262–290.1
2094	323.1296.5–341.1	277262.8–288.9
2095	325.6299.1–343.7	278.4262.3–290.4
2096	321.8296.2–344.1	277.6260.5–292
2097	321.5292.6–342	277261–290.2
2098	324.2295.1–342.8	277.6262.3–291.5
2099	322.8293.7–344.6	277.9260.8–292.4
2100	324.1292.1–344.1	277261.8–290.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time