Ecuador vs Mexico: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 192 nights in Ecuador and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Ecuador, by 88.3 nights, or 1.85 times that in Mexico.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

EcuadorMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Ecuador has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ecuador at 223.3 nights and Mexico at 142.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Ecuador	Mexico
2014	192	103.7
2013	192.7	103.9
2012	195.6	102.8
2011	193.5	102.9
2010	191.9	101.5
2009	190.7	101.8
2008	190.2	100.1
2007	188.3	99.1
2006	186	99.8
2005	187.4	99.5
2004	190	99.4
2003	188.3	98.3
2002	187.2	99.1
2001	189	98.7
2000	185.3	97.9
1999	181.4	96.6
1998	182.7	95.8
1997	182.4	95.9
1996	176.2	93.8
1995	174.9	92.7
1994	175.8	90.7
1993	170.8	89
1992	166.2	88.5
1991	179.8	93.4
1990	184.5	94.9
1989	178.8	93
1988	173.9	92.1
1987	177.8	92
1986	177.2	90.2
1985	172	90
1984	172.1	88
1983	166.8	86.7
1982	170.8	88.7
1981	177.4	91.5
1980	173.2	90.1
1979	172.1	90.8
1978	172.3	89
1977	172	89
1976	170	89.1
1975	163.9	86.8
1974	169.4	87.9
1973	173.3	88.6
1972	169.5	87.7
1971	167.5	86.8
1970	169.8	86.1
1969	167.4	87.5
1968	168.5	87.1
1967	159.5	86.7
1966	162.2	86.4
1965	163.3	84.9
1964	161.2	84.7
1963	151.1	87.1
1962	168.6	88
1961	169.5	89.5
1960	172.4	89.7
1959	167.3	89.6
1958	170.7	89.1
1957	171.4	89
1956	164	88.5
1955	169	88.2
1954	169.5	88.4
1953	169.6	88.6
1952	170.3	87.8
1951	171.7	89.4
1950	169.5	88.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Ecuador	Mexico
2015	193.3172.3–205.7	106.192.9–118.4
2016	192.7172.2–203.6	107.695–120
2017	195.3178.7–206.8	108.696.3–119.7
2018	194.8178–206.5	10997.1–120.4
2019	193.3173.9–207.6	110.396.4–123
2020	196.2179.1–208	109.696.8–121.8
2021	198.7183.8–209	111.296.9–124.1
2022	200.5181.4–209.9	109.796–121.7
2023	198.3180.6–210.1	111.898.6–125.3
2024	201.5181.4–210.7	112.298.2–126.2
2025	199.9180–212	11298.8–125.8
2026	200.2180.5–211.7	113.999.5–126.4
2027	199.8181.7–210.8	112.999.5–128.3
2028	203.4187–212.4	115.2101.9–127.9
2029	204.6189.9–213	115.6101.9–127.9
2030	200.4183–212.8	115.9101.7–128.4
2031	204.9187.3–214.1	116.1100.9–129.9
2032	205.8191.8–216.5	116.1102.5–129.1
2033	203.3184.3–213.1	117.5102.5–131.1
2034	203.3189.6–218.3	117.2104.1–130.3
2035	204.3187.8–214.4	116.4103.1–130.3
2036	204.8189.9–214.6	117.8105.1–131
2037	207.9195.6–216.5	118.6104.3–131.7
2038	208.5195.8–216.1	121107.5–133.4
2039	206.5190.8–217.1	121.3107–135.6
2040	208.7193.7–219.1	121.9108.1–135.1
2041	208.8194.8–218.1	121.3105.3–134.6
2042	208.6192.5–219.7	122.7107.7–137.1
2043	207.2192.5–217.3	122.4108.1–137.5
2044	207190.4–220.2	121.9108–135.6
2045	209.7196–219	123.1108.8–139.2
2046	213.1196.1–221.1	123.8109.9–139.4
2047	211.9198.3–219.3	125.6111.9–139.4
2048	214.1200.7–222.9	126.3113–140.3
2049	212.8200–221	127111.2–140.8
2050	211.6197.6–222.2	128.1112.6–142.5
2051	213.8197.8–221.4	127.2113.4–140.8
2052	213.3202.2–222.7	126.2112.5–141.1
2053	212.5198.8–221.7	128.4111.5–142.7
2054	213.5201–224.3	128.1113.1–142.3
2055	213.9203–224.9	129114.4–144.7
2056	215.6199.8–223.9	129.5114.3–143.8
2057	214.5198.6–224	130.3113.5–145.9
2058	215.1199.9–225.9	128.8114.1–144.5
2059	217.2200.1–225.2	129.5114.5–144.5
2060	217.1204.7–226.8	131.4115.5–146.5
2061	215.6201.9–225.8	131.3118.4–146.8
2062	216.8201.4–226.9	130.8115.1–146.3
2063	217202.6–226.3	131.2115.6–147.9
2064	216.7203–225	132.2116.5–147.8
2065	217.7204.7–227	133.1115.8–148.6
2066	217.2205.6–227.3	133.3117.2–149.4
2067	217.4201.5–226.7	133.3117–150.3
2068	218.9203.9–228.3	134.6117.4–150.5
2069	216.8201.7–228	134.4117.8–150.9
2070	216.8204.3–228.3	134.2116.7–151.8
2071	219.5205.5–228.7	136.3120.8–152.7
2072	220208.3–229	137.2119.9–153.1
2073	219.5208.1–230.7	136.1119.1–153.6
2074	218.4202.8–228	136119.7–152.2
2075	218.8203.6–227.8	135.2118.5–151.8
2076	220.7207.7–229.9	136.3117.4–154.7
2077	220.7206.9–230.5	136.8119.6–152.8
2078	220207.5–231	137.1118.3–154.2
2079	220.4205.4–229.2	138.1121.3–157.1
2080	220.2204.8–230.7	137.6120.5–157.9
2081	220.2205.5–230.9	137.8120.7–154.7
2082	220.1207.8–229.2	138.7121.6–155.2
2083	221.5208.5–232.9	139.2119.3–158.8
2084	222.3207.1–232.6	140.3123.4–157.5
2085	222.4208.4–234.3	139.2120.9–157.2
2086	219.9207.1–232.4	139.8121–157.8
2087	220.9206.1–231.9	139.5121.5–157.4
2088	221.7206.1–234.8	141121.8–159.9
2089	221.3206.9–232.8	140.4121.7–158.9
2090	221.6208.8–234.3	141.2123–160.7
2091	223.8207.5–233.5	141.8123–161.6
2092	222.7209.7–234.9	141.3122.5–159.3
2093	221.7208.7–235.5	141.4124.3–161
2094	223209.9–234.4	142123.3–159.6
2095	223.9209.9–235.4	143.5124–160.7
2096	221.9209.7–237.3	142.3125–161.3
2097	221.6208.4–232.3	141.2123.2–160
2098	222.1210.2–238.2	142.2122.5–162
2099	222.2207.1–234.4	141.8122.4–160.7
2100	223.3209.1–235.3	142.8124.3–160.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Ecuador vs Mexico: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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