Ecuador

Tropical nights in Ecuador

Tropical nights in Ecuador: 169.5 nights in 1950 and 192 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
192 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+22.5 nights
Projected, 2100
223.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in EcuadorTropical nights in Ecuador: 169.5 nights in 1950 and 192 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 223.3 nights in 2100, between 209.1 nights and 235.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 223.3 nights in 2100, between 209.1 nights and 235.3 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 195.6 nights in 2012, the lowest 151.1 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearEcuador
2014192
2013192.7
2012195.6
2011193.5
2010191.9
2009190.7
2008190.2
2007188.3
2006186
2005187.4
2004190
2003188.3
2002187.2
2001189
2000185.3
1999181.4
1998182.7
1997182.4
1996176.2
1995174.9
1994175.8
1993170.8
1992166.2
1991179.8
1990184.5
1989178.8
1988173.9
1987177.8
1986177.2
1985172
1984172.1
1983166.8
1982170.8
1981177.4
1980173.2
1979172.1
1978172.3
1977172
1976170
1975163.9
1974169.4
1973173.3
1972169.5
1971167.5
1970169.8
1969167.4
1968168.5
1967159.5
1966162.2
1965163.3
1964161.2
1963151.1
1962168.6
1961169.5
1960172.4
1959167.3
1958170.7
1957171.4
1956164
1955169
1954169.5
1953169.6
1952170.3
1951171.7
1950169.5
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEcuador
2015193.3172.3–205.7
2016192.7172.2–203.6
2017195.3178.7–206.8
2018194.8178–206.5
2019193.3173.9–207.6
2020196.2179.1–208
2021198.7183.8–209
2022200.5181.4–209.9
2023198.3180.6–210.1
2024201.5181.4–210.7
2025199.9180–212
2026200.2180.5–211.7
2027199.8181.7–210.8
2028203.4187–212.4
2029204.6189.9–213
2030200.4183–212.8
2031204.9187.3–214.1
2032205.8191.8–216.5
2033203.3184.3–213.1
2034203.3189.6–218.3
2035204.3187.8–214.4
2036204.8189.9–214.6
2037207.9195.6–216.5
2038208.5195.8–216.1
2039206.5190.8–217.1
2040208.7193.7–219.1
2041208.8194.8–218.1
2042208.6192.5–219.7
2043207.2192.5–217.3
2044207190.4–220.2
2045209.7196–219
2046213.1196.1–221.1
2047211.9198.3–219.3
2048214.1200.7–222.9
2049212.8200–221
2050211.6197.6–222.2
2051213.8197.8–221.4
2052213.3202.2–222.7
2053212.5198.8–221.7
2054213.5201–224.3
2055213.9203–224.9
2056215.6199.8–223.9
2057214.5198.6–224
2058215.1199.9–225.9
2059217.2200.1–225.2
2060217.1204.7–226.8
2061215.6201.9–225.8
2062216.8201.4–226.9
2063217202.6–226.3
2064216.7203–225
2065217.7204.7–227
2066217.2205.6–227.3
2067217.4201.5–226.7
2068218.9203.9–228.3
2069216.8201.7–228
2070216.8204.3–228.3
2071219.5205.5–228.7
2072220208.3–229
2073219.5208.1–230.7
2074218.4202.8–228
2075218.8203.6–227.8
2076220.7207.7–229.9
2077220.7206.9–230.5
2078220207.5–231
2079220.4205.4–229.2
2080220.2204.8–230.7
2081220.2205.5–230.9
2082220.1207.8–229.2
2083221.5208.5–232.9
2084222.3207.1–232.6
2085222.4208.4–234.3
2086219.9207.1–232.4
2087220.9206.1–231.9
2088221.7206.1–234.8
2089221.3206.9–232.8
2090221.6208.8–234.3
2091223.8207.5–233.5
2092222.7209.7–234.9
2093221.7208.7–235.5
2094223209.9–234.4
2095223.9209.9–235.4
2096221.9209.7–237.3
2097221.6208.4–232.3
2098222.1210.2–238.2
2099222.2207.1–234.4
2100223.3209.1–235.3

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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